Since coming to MILW, SUZIKI has NOT been struggling. I hate the guy, go against him on most occassions, but look at the numbers:
Date Played : 08-22 Last 5 Starts...............................
Team Pitcher W L O U
Milwaukee SUZUKI,MA 2 2 1 3
RA HI BB ER Inn P ERA MOB
12 17 12 7 22.6 2.79 11.55
Chicago Cubs TAPANI,KE 1 4 2 2 25 29 2 7 31.6 1.99 8.83
Neither him or TAPANI is struggling. TAPANI is 0-9 in his last 13 starts because the CUBS do NOT score any runs for the guy. Their respective stats for home and road are even more impressive.
YTD Road vs Home ...........................
Team Pitcher W L O U
Milwaukee SUZUKI,MA 2 1 0 3
RA HI BB ER Inn P ERA MOB
6 13 8 3 17.3 1.56 10.92
Chicago Cubs TAPANI,KE 7 5 4 8 44 66 15 18 75.1 2.16 9.71
As you can see, TAPANI is 4-8 UNDER at home and all 3 of SUZIKI's starts have gone under.
CUBS have no offense and without McGriff will be lucky to get more than 2 or 3 from SOSA's homers. TAPANI rarely gives up many runs, 3 at most, so even with the wind going out and a slight OVER UMP, I see this one staying SOUTH and GOING UNDER.
**as a side note: LAST nite's game between CLE/OAK had two pitchers coming in with similar stats, wind going out, OVER UMP, and it ended 2-1. AND that was with the POTENT lineups of the INDIANS and A's. I realize that WRIGLEY is notorious for WIND OUT/OVER games, but yesterday it was blowing out also.
[This message has been edited by Randercity (edited 08-22-2001).]