D Henry player props... what am I missing?

Randercity

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Derrick Henry rushing yards o/u 98.5
Derrick Henry receiving yards o/v 15.5

His only game not eclipsing both these numbers was Game 1 vs Arizona who has a very solid defense and the Titans went down early 17-0. Tannehill was forced to pass a lot more than usual and Henry ended with 20 touches TOTAL. Since then he is averaging nearly 9.5 ypc and nearly 3 receptions per game despite none last week vs JAX when they blew them out. His last 4 games he's averaging 145 ypg rushing, nearly 4.5 ypg and he's getting fed the ball 31 times a game... :shrug:

I must be missing something, because I cannot see how you lose BOTH of these props. He's the biggest/best weapon in all the NFL, you got to let the man EAT!! :popcorn2Neither prop makes any sense because he's dropped one pass all season, again Game 1, his OL was missing starters but have now gelled, I just feel the TITANS will try to control clock, run Henry a bunch to keep Allen and the Bills on the sideline, and if they do fall behind, Henry will still need to see the ball on screens, so any two catches likely pushes it over the 16 yards needed.

Appreciate any feedback... :0008
 

yanno

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Rushing yards low is likely explained by Buffalo being the #1 rushing Defense in the League right now.

His passing yards may make more sense to play if Tenn has to go to the pass.
 

Randercity

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#fakenews

#fakenews

Rushing yards low is likely explained by Buffalo being the #1 rushing Defense in the League right now.

His passing yards may make more sense to play if Tenn has to go to the pass.

Yes... because they haven't faced anyone in the Top 15 rushing offenses yet... :nono: easy to put up solid numbers when the other team sucks at running the ball, then you put them down by 10-20 points and voila, your RUSH DEF numbers look golden!! Only 1 of five opponents averages over 110 ypg, and that was Miami who got shut out so never had a chance to establish the run.

I think BUF has a very solid team... one of if not the BEST in the AFC. However, they have not been challenged on the ground in my opinion, tonight will be their first real test. If they hold Henry to under 100, I'll be a believer but I think he sees the rock at least 25-30 times... their opponents so far total rushes:

Pittsburgh 21
Miami 20
W F T 25
Houston 18
KC Chiefs 23

Obviously it's possible their RUSH DEF is that good, coaches abandon the run knowing it goes nowhere. But in most cases, BILLS lead early and force the team to pass... having some second rate back in the backfield is not the same as having 250 pounds of 4.6 speed pounding into you over and over. I think D Henry wants to make a statement tonight... #1 against the run MY ASS!!! :D

Good luck as always!! :0074
 

gardenweasel

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i was looking at devin singletary`s stats.....over 30.5 rushing seems doable(he averages 56.8)...i think he`s solid..........
 

gardenweasel

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i was looking at devin singletary`s stats.....over 30.5 rushing seems doable(he averages 56.8)...i think he`s solid..........

23 yards at the half singletary had(on 4 carries)...singletary ended up with 5 f`ing carries total.........on some of those play fakes where allen didn`t hand him the ball,he could have run for days the holes were so big.....but glory hound allen wants to throw the ball 50 times...

glad you lost...i hope this one costs you homefield in the playoffs..:0005....
 
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Pookiesdad

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23 yards at the half singletary had(on 4 carries)...singletary ended up with 5 f`ing carries total.........on some of those play fakes where allen didn`t hand him the ball,he could have run for days the holes were so big.....but glory hound allen wants to throw the ball 50 times...

glad you lost...i hope this one costs you homefield in the playoffs..:0005....

Hey dumb dumb. Why is Allen a glory hound? If u had any clue about the game of football which you obviously do not he was NOT supposed to hand the ball off on the plays. It's called a "play action pass" Ever heard of it. It happens in every game we watch where it looks like a big whole is there for hand off but QB fakes hand off and does a pass play. glad YOU lost your bet ur such a whiner. Learns football then come back
 

MadJack

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Hey dumb dumb. Why is Allen a glory hound? If u had any clue about the game of football which you obviously do not he was NOT supposed to hand the ball off on the plays. It's called a "play action pass" Ever heard of it. It happens in every game we watch where it looks like a big whole is there for hand off but QB fakes hand off and does a pass play. glad YOU lost your bet ur such a whiner. Learns football then come back

You have no clue about weasel. He forget more than you know. Take a week off and when you can post again remember to NOT bash other members.
 

MadJack

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You have no clue about weasel. He forget more than you know. Take a week off and when you can post again remember to NOT bash other members.

Oh FFS it's YOU again. I should have known. Let's make that 2 years. :0008
 

Randercity

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Oh FFS it's YOU again. I should have known. Let's make that 2 years. :0008

:mj07::lol::mj07:

But HEY!!! Let us NOT forget the brilliant mind and analysis that brought you all in here to begin with... Randercity was SPOT ON with his assessment of the BUF DEF being #1 and D Henry ran right over and through them as predicted. The receiving yards came up 2.5 short, only because Tannehill was so awful most of the time... but the TITAN defense stepped up when needed.

By the way... the guy with the multiple 5 team parlays and teasers... he hit the $11K last night & sent me his halftime play... he didn't hedge, but doubled up on the TITANS +3.5 for another $10K.
 

gardenweasel

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Oh FFS it's YOU again. I should have known. Let's make that 2 years. :0008

ha !!!.....my brother....easy(lolol)....that`s not necessary....i was just venting after an ass-chafing beat ......his point about "play action" is well taken...my point would be that those play action fakes are even more effective when the qb actually hands off a few times....that`s probably why those holes were so damned big(the defense knew allen was just going through the motions)....but seriously,i`m a big allen fan myself(top 3,in my book)...and i like pookeiesdads fervor:shocked:....


don`t suspend anybody for some minor shin-kicking(theres way too much stress in our society today...:mj07:.)....
 
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