Dallas at -1.5?

Terryray

Say Parlay
Forum Member
Dec 6, 2001
9,836
2,299
113
Kansas City area for who knows how long....
according to the stats <a href="http://www.sportsnetwork.com/default.asp?c=sportsnetwork&page=nhl/stat/nhl-one-or-more-goals.htm "> here</a> when Dallas wins at home this season, 17 of those 21 are by 2 goals or more--81%! (thanks bringiton!).


official site sez Arnott will play tonight


any thoughts?


But piece below in Dallas News sez Calgary may really get it up for this game:






January loss to Stars left Calgary vengeful

Flames veteran insists payback remarks made in heat of moment


02/19/2003

By CHUCK CARLTON / The Dallas Morning News


In most ways, the game was indistinguishable from the other recent Stars' wins.

They built a substantial lead in workman-like fashion and added an empty-net goal for insurance in a 4-1 victory over the Calgary Flames on Jan. 29. The game got a little chippy at the end, with the Stars' John Erskine fighting Steve Begin as time expired. But to the Stars, it was just one of 82 games.

The Flames viewed it differently through the prism of the loss and the final minute.

In their eyes, Jere Lehtinen was showboating, and tough-guy Aaron Downey was the root of the problem. Because of the pent-up anger, they even suggested Mike Modano might pay the price in their next visit, which happens to be Wednesday at American Airlines Center.



Any residual anger could present a new challenge for the Stars. Then again, promises of hockey vengeance usually disappear at the opening faceoff, and seem to have diminished with Calgary's five-game winless streak

The Calgary players let that ire be known to The Sports Network cameras the day after the last meeting.

"There were a few players on that team that did some things at the end of the game," Flames captain Craig Conroy said. "I think Lehtinen, the way he scored that empty-net goal, looking around ... those are the things we're going to remember. Their better players, we're going to go after them.

"At the end, it's 4-1. They don't need to put Downey and those guys out. I think we're going to set the tone. That sends a message to us. You know what, we're not going to go after Downey, we're going to go after Modano and those other guys."

Veteran defenseman Bob Boughner initially echoed Conroy, minus the specific hit list. But he was calmer Tuesday.


"It was in the heat of the moment," Boughner told The Calgary Sun. "Besides, after taking nine penalties in St. Louis and 12 against Los Angeles, we can't afford to be going after Mike Modano."

While Downey took some of the blame, the overall Stars reaction Tuesday was a collective: Huh?

Lehtinen, a possible Lady Byng Trophy candidate for sportsmanship and a player known for his reserve, seemed stunned.

"Yeah. Wow. That's weird," Lehtinen said.

Modano thought that the comments might have been caused by the frustration of a disappointing season.

Coach Dave Tippett said he wasn't sending any message with his lineup combinations in the final minute. He refused to fan the Flames, suggesting the comments were made "in the heat of the moment."

Downey, who got involved with Rob Niedermayer in a scrum at the end, admitted he should have reacted differently. He was also shocked that an opponent would target Modano for his actions.

"It was a dumb ending," Downey said. "It was too bad it had to be like that. I apologize. I'm not that type of player.

"I usually don't do that. I call it 'punch drunk syndrome,' like a brain cramp. I didn't mean to do what I did. It was stupid of me."

Briefly ...

Center Jason Arnott, who missed the 3-1 win over San Jose with a sore knee, has a new brace and will probably play Wednesday. ... The earliest that defenseman Richard Matvichuk (cracked fibula) can return would be late in the Stars' upcoming four-game road trip.
 

Chenker

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 2, 2001
3,481
0
0
CA
I would not touch the Flames- If I were to play the game I would play the Stars - 1 1/2- the rest of the prices are too expensive for me- good luck tonight:D
 

Terryray

Say Parlay
Forum Member
Dec 6, 2001
9,836
2,299
113
Kansas City area for who knows how long....
good stuff guys!

good stuff guys!

yeah Chenker, does look like the only value lies in the 1.5 line. just have to convince myself they will then win...


stormie--I didn't like the 1.5 leafs last night 'cause they have lots of 1 goalers at home, and usually do against carolina anyway (who have been playing better and close games of late)

I have been told by guys that work in books that this stuff is never considered when setting the 1.5 line. that line and it's juice is nearly all set (and in baseball too) based on the line and juice for SU win or loss.

and I do notice now that Calg usually does play Dallas close--two of last three were ties. and we don't have Turco in net now...


any more thoughts?
 

Chenker

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 2, 2001
3,481
0
0
CA
personally I think they are better games out there tonight-

Ottawa is my top play- really like the Ducks but have not decided if I want to lay the 1 1/2 the other lines are getting too expensive in that one:shrug:
 

cooz3

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 2, 2002
6,026
2
0
boston
dallas by far the more talented team here....but calgary is a team thats hard to get a grasp on...i personally will never lay 1.5 i dont care who is playing...too many times i see teams winning 4-2 or 3-1 the whole game and then a late meaningless goal makes it 4-3 or 3-2 with less than two minutes left...dallas is a tough bet against at home....but they lose just like any one else and they dont cover all the time like everyone else...but i saw that stat above stating they win at home they predominately win by 2 goals...so there is obvious support for laying 1.5 here...but you have too remember that stat is correlated to having TURCO in net ...tugnutt played good the other night but he looked bad against anh...my personal opinion ..is that i wouldnt lay that kind of number with tugnutt just yet...he has only been in net for two games....

now these same goalies already went head to head this year at calg ( turek/tugnutt) im assuming turek will start tonight..and it was a 3-3 tie....calg had 42 shots on net in that game...

calgary is 3-1 ATS in last 4 at dallas


dallas is just 1-2-1-1 last 5 at home vs. calgary

dont forget tugnutt at times looks spectacular but this is the same goalie that lost 4-1 to tampa at home on 22 shot against
and lost 4-2 to anh at home with 19 shots against

if calgary scores a fluke first goal..you now need 3 unanswered goals to cover ..which is not out of the question...as the blues did to this same team the other day...but its difficult none the less ( and then your back to the 3-1 scenario ..lol.)

of course you know just playing devils advocate here..and not saying you shouldnt do it...lots of good cappers lay the 1.5 personally i just dont like doing it ..and i dont like laying the 1.5 in this matchup...

BEST OF LUCK TONIGHT...and if you do it..i hope they kill em'

cooz
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top