Dallas Cowboys @ Seattle Seahawks

Senor Capper

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I know what I being doing during this game :sleep:


It's unreal that Seattle sits atop of their divsion in light of their current 3-5 slide, thanks mainly to an unreliable "D" that has allowed 26 ppg in those 8 outtings.
In off a 200 yard deficit vs the Bills, Hasselbeck ranks a lowly 27th in the league among starting QBs.

But if Seattle is to get healthy, this is the spot as the Cowboys are 0-9 ATS on the non-division road losing by 10, 7.5, 20.5, 8.5, 16, 13, 17.5, 23 & 12 pts.

Big "D" is also 11-24 ATS as a RD off a SU win & just 2-7 ATS off its Thanksgiving Day outting.

Holgren is 5-1 at home after allowing more than 34 pts & Seattle is a 9-3-1 Monday Night host.


Slight lean towards Seattle -6.5 & have already played the OVER 42


Best to all

SC :yawn:
 

surferboy

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SC - I'm with yah!! :clap:

Hopefully we can get a win tonight and LOL all the way to the Bank. :142lmao:

SC - What's the forecast for this coming weekend where your at?

SURFER
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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SB
lows around 40s -- highs around on the 60s.



Boyz throwing stats at me ??

Dallas CowGIRLS are 4-14 ATS AWAY after allowing 10 points or less their previous game....



Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
DALLAS is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DALLAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



Seattle has won the last two meetings.

Dallas is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.
Dallas is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.
Seattle is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games.
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.

Seattle is 3-2 SU and 1-4 against the spread at home this year, while Dallas is 1-4 both SU and against the spread on the road.


Yesterday 11 favorites came in ATS out of 15 games I think we make it 12 ;)
 
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Senor Capper

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The teams that Seattle struggles against are the ones that are excellent at stopping the run (ie. Buffalo). The Cowboys' run defense is decent but not great, and it is an undersized group that will wear down once Alexander gets enough carries. As a result, the Cowboys should hang around for two or three quarters but eventually will wilt against a running attack that will be relentless. Once Seattle can force Testaverde into throw-from-behind mode, that's when the sacks and turnovers will start to add up.


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Misc Write-ups..............


Dallas (4-7) at Seattle (6-5),

Monday, 9:00 (Seattle -7)

Another team with largely undeserved life in the playoff picture, namely the Dallas Cowboys, can pull itself further out of the abyss with a win in Seattle on Monday night. Dallas, which gutted out a 21-7 win over the Bears on Thanksgiving, will be in search of its first victory over a decent team in 2004 (Cleveland, Detroit, and Washington are the others). Bill Parcells' squad didn't play well in a 21-7 win over Chicago on Thanksgiving, but received several positive signs. The first was the play of rookie running back Julius Jones (150 yards, 2 TD), who had a breakout game, and another was the effort of a defense that allowed 140 total yards and forced four turnovers. Quarterback Vinny Testaverde (9-14 passing, 92 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT), who relieved ineffective rookie Drew Henson (4-12, 31 yards, 1 INT) in the second half of last week's victory, will get the start for Dallas. Testaverde will oppose Seattle's Matt Hasselbeck (19-38 passing, 185 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 1 fumble), who was booed by his home fans in a 38-9 loss to the Bills last week. Hasselbeck and running back Shaun Alexander (13 carries, 39 yards) both played poorly in defeat, and an up-and-down defense intercepted three Drew Bledsoe passes but allowed Willis McGahee to rush for 116 yards and four touchdowns. Seattle figures to be determined for a win after last Sunday's debacle, especially on a Monday night, and will knock out a Dallas team still lacking the requisite talent to contend in the NFC.

Seahawks 26, Cowboys 16.


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Cowboys at Seahawks

Time: Monday, 9 p.m. at Seattle, Wash.


Records: Cowboys (4-7); Seahawks (6-5)


The skinny Now you know why the networks want to be able to reschedule their prime-time games during the season? Dallas has made more national TV appearances than John Kerry, primarily because the Cowboys were 10-6 and one of the surprise teams in the league last season. But the only team they're capable of beating this season is Chicago, only because the Bears are so desperate for quarterback help they have to resort to signing Jeff George. At the start of the season, Seattle was 3-0 and looking like a Super Bowl team. After getting hammered at home last week by the Bills, the only positive thing to say about the Seahawks is that they are fortunate to play in the NFC West.


Prediction: Seahawks, 30-17

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Dallas Cowboys (4-7) at Seattle Seahawks (6-5)

Line: Cowboys +7

Let me start by saying the Seahawks will win this game 24-14. Even though the Seahawks will win the West and make the playoffs I think Mike Holmgren is on the way out in Seattle. This team is capable of being one of the elite clubs in football and right now they are holding on for dear life as the Rams and cardinals are right on their tails for the NFC West.

Straight: Seahawks
Spread: Seahawks

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Cowboys (+7) over SEAHAWKS

Vinny Testaverde returns to the Dallas (4-7) starting lineup this week. The fact that he will play and Drew Hansen will sit tells you that Bill Parcells may not be in this for the long haul. The Seahawks (6-5) might be the biggest tease in the NFL. Just when you think they?re back on track? wham! Then they lose a stinker like last week?s 38-9 fiasco. They can?t spot a TD to even the Clownboys.

Take Dallas and the points.

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Senor Capper

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COWBOYS AT SEAHAWKS

Time: 8 p.m., Ch. 7, 670-AM.

Records: Cowboys 4-7; Seahawks 6-5.

Line: Seahawks by 7 (42-1/2).

Trends: The over is 4-1 in the Cowboys' last five road games and 7-1 in the Seahawks' last eight overall.

Outlook: The over has had more success than these teams, both 4-7 ATS. The Seahawks' saving grace: RB Shaun Alexander.

Pick: Seahawks 28, Cowboys 14.

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Cowboys +7.5 -131 (5 units) ********

Cowboys/Seahawks UNDER 44.5 -132 (5 units) ********

I know, I know...I was the guy a few weeks back screaming that Dallas' secondary can't cover anybody. Still, I can't help but think this number, esp bought up to 44.5, is just too high for what we're going to see tonight. Would need a final score higher than 23-21 or 24-20 to lose and based on some strong trends I think we'll see a final quite a bit lower than many might expect:

**Seahawks are 5-0 SU when Hasselbeck attempts 30 passes or less but 0-5 SU when Hasselbeck throws 35+ passes (translation: fewer passes = better chance to win SU)

**Dallas is 1-4 SU on the season when allowing 90+ yards rushing and 0-2 SU when allowing 100+ yards on the ground (translation: you run on Dallas, you usually win)

**Only three running backs have carried the ball 20+ times against the Seahawk defense this season and all three exceeded the century mark. Seahawks have given up 4.1 yards per carry this year, despite not facing any rushing offense ranked better than 12th this season (translation: if you run on Seahawks, you will average 4+ yards/carry)

**Seahawks have the league's 11th-ranked run defense but they have yielded two 100-yard rushers in the last three weeks, allowing 31.5 more yards per game than their season average during that span (translation: 'Hawks have shown some weaknesses vs run lately)

**Seattle leads the NFL in INTs (17) and Vinnie leads the NFC in pickles thrown (14) (translation: Vinnie throws at his own peril)

**Cowboys have scored more than 21 pts just one time this season (31 at home vs Detroit) and average just 14 pts of offense per road game (translation: don't expect Cowboys to put more than 20 on the board)

**Seahawks average 23 pts per game this season...but take away their two blowout wins against SF and their average drops to just 18 pts/game (translation: Seattle has SF figured out but everyone else usually holds them well below 20 pts)

I also like that Dallas has had 10 full days to prepare for this game. Interesting to note that every team this weekend that played Thanksgiving and had the few extra days of preparation won convincingly (Colts 51-Titans 24, Bears 24-Vikings 14, Lions 26-Cardinals 12)...

So in short: Dallas has had extra time to prepare for tonight's game and actually have a remote shot at the playoffs. Parcells will play to win and that means controlling the ball and the c****. It also means keeping their suspect defense off the field as much as possible. Seahawks will also run often to force Dallas' secondary to cheat and then take their shots downfield. Bottom line is all the running and setting up the pass will equate to lots of c**** eating. I suspect when's it over we'll see a final in the neighborhood of 23-17...pick your winner but Seattle probably gets the win SU and Dallas left to cover the spread...and if I'm wrong it won't be the first time!


__________________
 

Bill

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Senor, you have convinced me that I should tease the Hawks with the over. Neither of these teams will get to the post season but usually when you put two pathetic teams together the over come in and with Alexander and Jones running through weak Ds the over may not need a tease. Maybe I'll play just the over and leave the sides alone.

Th public cannot stop betting on the Boys. No matter how bad they are they are still America's Team and that cost a couple of points every week.

GL and GREAT STATS.

Bill
 

MrP

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Senor, Great Stats, Thanks for the writeup, I will coattail.
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Root root root for the Home Team :rolleyes:

FSEA.gif
-6.5 & OVER 42

Best to all

SC
 

surferboy

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I CAN NOT BELIEVE WHAT I AM SEEING.... SEATTLE IS GOING DOWN THE TOILET EARLY :cursin:


WILL HAVE NO PROBLEM COVERING THE OVER BUT I'M GOING TO NEED A MIRACLE TO WIN THIS TEASER....

SURFER
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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I only do straight bets. Didn't watch the game. The total tells me I went 1-1. Earlier this year I seen Az beat the Seahakws so the Dallas upset isn't much of a surprise.

On to Week 14.
 

surferboy

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SC - I TURNED OFF THE GAME EARLY IN THE 3RD QUARTER. GOT TO WORK THIS MORNING AND READ THE NEWS ABOUT THE GAME. CAN'T BELIEVE THAT THEY CAME BACK TO LEAD THE GAME. JUST LIKE SEATTLE TO GIVE IT RIGHT BACK W/ FROM WHAT I GATHER 1:42 LEFT IN THE GAME!!! :cursin:

O'H WELL, LIKE YOU SAID ON THE WEEK 14 :clap:

BY THE WAY, THAT'S THE LAST TIME I BET A TEASER... I WOULD HAVE MUCH RATHER GONE 1-1 LIKE YOURSELF...

THANKS FOR THE PICS ANYWAY SENOR :clap:

SURFER
 
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