I have tried to post Nascar stuff here before, but it seemed like there wasnt any followers or interest. I will try it again though! Here we go!
DAYTONA 500 ANALYSIS
The week has been dominated by DEI and Childress Racing, and I don?t see why Sunday should be any different. Dale Earnhardt Jr. has been the class of the field with his ?blocker? Michael Waltrip right behind him. Before I get started let me say this?..if Michael Waltrip is intent on blocking for Little E during this race?he WILL get punted. This is the biggest race of the year, and that aint racing. Wanna know why Earnhardt Sr isn?t here with us anymore? Look no further than blocking for the two drivers that he owned at the time,?.his son and Waltrip. With that being said?.don?t put your life savings on Waltrip in winning the race or matchups as he might end up at the back of the pack. Following are drivers that may make some noise on Sunday.
1)Dale Earnhardt Jr- He is my pick to win it, as it is the pick of many. He said that he has even more power in store for Sunday. He is being humble and he is ready to win this race. He has the best car and knows the track as well as anyone. It is his year. Too bad you can only get him at 3-1. If you can find him in some matchups against big name drivers with bad historys at Daytona?take it (Tony Stewart) You may find some value there. But if Dale Earnhardt Jr is not on your betting card for Sunday?you may be in for a bad day.
2)Michael Waltrip- Easily the second best chance to win here, if not for his teammate. As I stated before, he is content to take second place every time here, and after already winning this race once, he will be glad to do it again. Unless he gets punted, which is possible. Be careful betting on Waltrip. But definatly the second best car here.
3)Sterling Marlin- He knows how to win here, he has done it twice, and should have been three times. He has the best chance of the Dodge cars. He looks to be having a good week and the injury is behind him. His only problem is that he may not have any help?and he will need to draft with others to get to the from and stay there. He is my number three pick, and deserves some attention in matchups against DEI drivers?just due to value purposes.
4) Jeff Gordon- No way can you leave this guy off the list. As far as friends, he doesn?t have any out there, and that is always a problem for him out here. He is a step below the Top 2 on my list, and for that?he probably isn?t going to win?but he is a shoo-in for a Top 10, and more than likely a Top 3. He is money in a matchup against Tony Stewart, which you can get for about even money.
5) Richard Childress Racing- This is Jeff Green, Kevin Harvick, and Robby Gordon. All three have had their moments this week. I cant decide which I like the best?but the best shot to win is Kevin Harvick. He knows how to win and his car is first on the totem pole in this team. He coincidentally is the biggest underdog to win it! He is 28-1 and definatly deserves attention. He could very possibly be our biggest money maker come Sunday due to value. Unfortunatly Jeff Green is overvalued at this time due to being on the pole, and the same may be said about Ronby Gordon for winning the Twin 125. Harvick is solid, in a solid car, and knows how to win.
6) The only others I view with a feasible shot at this race are: Dale Jarrett, Ward Burton, and it is a stretch, but Mark Martin. Dale Jarrett is the leading money winner at Daytona, and has won it more than any active driver. He hasn?t had a great time lately, and Fords arent the class of the field, so he will race well, and more than likely go home with a Top 10-15 finish. Ward Burton is great at restrictor plate races, and has been under the radar this week. He should fare well, but he will not repeat unless the stars are aligned just right. Mark Martin won the IROC race this week and he knows the track and races it very well. He has never won it, but recently has been very good here. I give him an outside chance to taking the checkered flag.
With that being said?here are my bets for the race. I will try to post any changes to this.
TO WIN
Earnhardt Jr at 3-1 (10 units)
J Gordon at 10-1 (5 units)
S Marlin at 15-1 (3 units)
K Harvick at 28-1 (2 units)
MATCHUPS
J Gordon (-110) over Stewart
Harvick (+120) over J Johnson
M Martin (+105) over J Burton
W Burton (+105) over Sadler
S Marlin (+167) over R Wallace and J Johnson
W Burton (+170) over Sadler and Nemachek
Harvick (+195) over B Elliott and B Labonte
M Martin (+200) over Kenseth and Newman
GOOD LUCK!!!!!
DAYTONA 500 ANALYSIS
The week has been dominated by DEI and Childress Racing, and I don?t see why Sunday should be any different. Dale Earnhardt Jr. has been the class of the field with his ?blocker? Michael Waltrip right behind him. Before I get started let me say this?..if Michael Waltrip is intent on blocking for Little E during this race?he WILL get punted. This is the biggest race of the year, and that aint racing. Wanna know why Earnhardt Sr isn?t here with us anymore? Look no further than blocking for the two drivers that he owned at the time,?.his son and Waltrip. With that being said?.don?t put your life savings on Waltrip in winning the race or matchups as he might end up at the back of the pack. Following are drivers that may make some noise on Sunday.
1)Dale Earnhardt Jr- He is my pick to win it, as it is the pick of many. He said that he has even more power in store for Sunday. He is being humble and he is ready to win this race. He has the best car and knows the track as well as anyone. It is his year. Too bad you can only get him at 3-1. If you can find him in some matchups against big name drivers with bad historys at Daytona?take it (Tony Stewart) You may find some value there. But if Dale Earnhardt Jr is not on your betting card for Sunday?you may be in for a bad day.
2)Michael Waltrip- Easily the second best chance to win here, if not for his teammate. As I stated before, he is content to take second place every time here, and after already winning this race once, he will be glad to do it again. Unless he gets punted, which is possible. Be careful betting on Waltrip. But definatly the second best car here.
3)Sterling Marlin- He knows how to win here, he has done it twice, and should have been three times. He has the best chance of the Dodge cars. He looks to be having a good week and the injury is behind him. His only problem is that he may not have any help?and he will need to draft with others to get to the from and stay there. He is my number three pick, and deserves some attention in matchups against DEI drivers?just due to value purposes.
4) Jeff Gordon- No way can you leave this guy off the list. As far as friends, he doesn?t have any out there, and that is always a problem for him out here. He is a step below the Top 2 on my list, and for that?he probably isn?t going to win?but he is a shoo-in for a Top 10, and more than likely a Top 3. He is money in a matchup against Tony Stewart, which you can get for about even money.
5) Richard Childress Racing- This is Jeff Green, Kevin Harvick, and Robby Gordon. All three have had their moments this week. I cant decide which I like the best?but the best shot to win is Kevin Harvick. He knows how to win and his car is first on the totem pole in this team. He coincidentally is the biggest underdog to win it! He is 28-1 and definatly deserves attention. He could very possibly be our biggest money maker come Sunday due to value. Unfortunatly Jeff Green is overvalued at this time due to being on the pole, and the same may be said about Ronby Gordon for winning the Twin 125. Harvick is solid, in a solid car, and knows how to win.
6) The only others I view with a feasible shot at this race are: Dale Jarrett, Ward Burton, and it is a stretch, but Mark Martin. Dale Jarrett is the leading money winner at Daytona, and has won it more than any active driver. He hasn?t had a great time lately, and Fords arent the class of the field, so he will race well, and more than likely go home with a Top 10-15 finish. Ward Burton is great at restrictor plate races, and has been under the radar this week. He should fare well, but he will not repeat unless the stars are aligned just right. Mark Martin won the IROC race this week and he knows the track and races it very well. He has never won it, but recently has been very good here. I give him an outside chance to taking the checkered flag.
With that being said?here are my bets for the race. I will try to post any changes to this.
TO WIN
Earnhardt Jr at 3-1 (10 units)
J Gordon at 10-1 (5 units)
S Marlin at 15-1 (3 units)
K Harvick at 28-1 (2 units)
MATCHUPS
J Gordon (-110) over Stewart
Harvick (+120) over J Johnson
M Martin (+105) over J Burton
W Burton (+105) over Sadler
S Marlin (+167) over R Wallace and J Johnson
W Burton (+170) over Sadler and Nemachek
Harvick (+195) over B Elliott and B Labonte
M Martin (+200) over Kenseth and Newman
GOOD LUCK!!!!!
