Dec 4-6 CFB - Championship Week

[WildBillPicks7]

Dec 4 - 6

ECU -5 1/2 (1 unit) - :sadwave: ECU hasn't lost at home in quite some time, Senior Night and TV game

Over 55 1/2 UCF/ECU (1 unit) :00hour- ECU TV average over 60 pts

Over 59 NILL/BG (1 unit) - :00hour N ILL big revenge mode over beating LY in Ford Dome

Oregon -13 (1 unit) - :00hour Ducks revenge mode, missing starters are back in first match, AZ off ASU game

Tulane +4 (1 unit) - Temple only favored by 4? Rd game and Temple hasn't played well on rd

SMU +12 1/2 (1 unit) - :00hour SMU winless, U Conn with 2 wins and DD Fav? Well they should be but SMU won't roll over here, it's their last game.

Okla St +19 (1 unit) - :00hour OU should be favored by more here and OK St not going anywhere, this is there bowl game.

Alabama -14 1/2 (1 unit) - :00hour Mizzou faced lesser "D" than Bama and lost at home to Georgia by how much? They lost to Indiana at home by how much? They beat A&M on the rd? Bama beat A&M by how much? Tide rolls here, no pun intendoed, 42 to 17!

Ohio St +4 1/2 (1 unit) - Badgers can run, OSU w/new QB at helm, he's a pocket passer and a beast to get down at 6'5 250, he'll want to impress for his shot cuz he's not an Urban Meyer original recruit, so my hats off to him and being in the dog role? WOW! I'll take Urban Meyer and his game plan over Gary Christensen's game plan of run Gordon left and run Gordon right, Buckeyes d unit know that Gordon will get lots of carries, the key will be stacking him up and making Badgers pass.

Boise -19 (1 unit) - Boise in revenge mode and on a roll. Fresno at 6-6 in a championship game? That's how bad the MWC was this year folks and Boise is happy to be leaving. Playing basically at home Broncs with Ajayi will run through Bulldog swiss cheese "D" and passing game should light them up as well.

Iowa St +34 (3 units) :facepalm: - This is ISU's bowl game. I doubt Rhoads is back after this game is over with, ISU with nothing to play for but Rhoads will have the Cyclones playing as hard as they can. TCU smoked Texas last week, mostly on Turnovers, now face a decent running game in ISU. TCU will win by doubt it by more than 4 tds. TCU 42 ISU 14.

Fla St -3 (5 units) - FSU second shot in Charlotte, last year that played PUKE and beat them down, Ga Tech like Duke, is one dimensional, yet GT lost Smelter but passing isn't something that Tech does well, they run the ball, FSU had trouble with run games this year, but not the passing game and they capitalize on turnovers. Jameis was distracted big time last wk and last 3 weeks with all his picks. He's probably got some girl on his mind :mj07: but seriously, I'll take an undefeated team with everything at stake over a team who on the rd beat who this year other than Georgia? NC State? Pitt? They lost @ UNC and lost at home to PUKE!! FSU has one focus here and that's just WIN! Cook, the lil speed demon back for Noles along with seasoned vet Greene at wideout and O'Leary as another weapon for Noles, all he does is catch TD passes and then there's this DB who is the best that FSU has had even counting Deion Sanders (he sucked anyways, all he had was speed) Ramsey can tackle and he dogs the QB well! Just ask Miami, BC, Florida QBs how they felt after being hit by Ramsey. FSU wins this one 28 - 17!

UNDER 64 FLA ST/GT (5 units)

OVER 68 Marshall/LT (5 units) :sadwave: CUSA Championship, Marshall off home loss, LT one of highest scoring teams in nation, along with Marshall. Marshall 49 LT 42

1 unit......127-113-3, +3.6
3 unit......37-43-2, -32.0
5 unit......31-20-1, +48.0
Teasers.... 1-5-1, -4.8
Totals.....66-68-2
Sides......119-97-2
Money Line..1-3, -7.2
Half time...1-0, +5.0
Game of Year...L'ville -3 (WON) 11/08/14, L'ville 38 BC 19, +10.0 units
TOTAL OF YEAR...0-1, -11.0, Over 43 UCF/Tulane, UCF 20 Tulane 13, 10/18/14
WON...199...LOSS...184...51.96%.. Push...7.....units..+11.6 since 8/28/14

 

[The Situation]

Dec 4 - 6

ECU -5 1/2 (1 unit) - ECU hasn't lost at home in quite some time, Senior Night and TV game

Over 55 1/2 UCF/ECU (1 unit) - ECU TV average over 60 pts

Over 59 NILL/BG (1 unit) - N ILL big revenge mode over beating LY in Ford Dome

Oregon -13 (1 unit) - Ducks revenge mode, missing starters are back in first match, AZ off ASU game

Tulane +4 (1 unit) - Temple only favored by 4? Rd game and Temple hasn't played well on rd

SMU +12 1/2 (1 unit) - SMU winless, U Conn with 2 wins and DD Fav? Well they should be but SMU won't roll over here, it's their last game.

Okla St +19 (1 unit) - OU should be favored by more here and OK St not going anywhere, this is there bowl game.

Alabama -14 1/2 (1 unit) - Mizzou faced lesser "D" than Bama and lost at home to Georgia by how much? They lost to Indiana at home by how much? They beat A&M on the rd? Bama beat A&M by how much? Tide rolls here, no pun intendoed, 42 to 17!

Ohio St +4 1/2 (1 unit) - Badgers can run, OSU w/new QB at helm, he's a pocket passer and a beast to get down at 6'5 250, he'll want to impress for his shot cuz he's not an Urban Meyer original recruit, so my hats off to him and being in the dog role? WOW! I'll take Urban Meyer and his game plan over Gary Christensen's game plan of run Gordon left and run Gordon right, Buckeyes d unit know that Gordon will get lots of carries, the key will be stacking him up and making Badgers pass.

Boise -19 (1 unit) - Boise in revenge mode and on a roll. Fresno at 6-6 in a championship game? That's how bad the MWC was this year folks and Boise is happy to be leaving. Playing basically at home Broncs with Ajayi will run through Bulldog swiss cheese "D" and passing game should light them up as well.

Iowa St +34 (3 units) - This is ISU's bowl game. I doubt Rhoads is back after this game is over with, ISU with nothing to play for but Rhoads will have the Cyclones playing as hard as they can. TCU smoked Texas last week, mostly on Turnovers, now face a decent running game in ISU. TCU will win by doubt it by more than 4 tds. TCU 42 ISU 14.

Fla St -3 (5 units) - FSU second shot in Charlotte, last year that played PUKE and beat them down, Ga Tech like Duke, is one dimensional, yet GT lost Smelter but passing isn't something that Tech does well, they run the ball, FSU had trouble with run games this year, but not the passing game and they capitalize on turnovers. Jameis was distracted big time last wk and last 3 weeks with all his picks. He's probably got some girl on his mind :mj07: but seriously, I'll take an undefeated team with everything at stake over a team who on the rd beat who this year other than Georgia? NC State? Pitt? They lost @ UNC and lost at home to PUKE!! FSU has one focus here and that's just WIN! Cook, the lil speed demon back for Noles along with seasoned vet Greene at wideout and O'Leary as another weapon for Noles, all he does is catch TD passes and then there's this DB who is the best that FSU has had even counting Deion Sanders (he sucked anyways, all he had was speed) Ramsey can tackle and he dogs the QB well! Just ask Miami, BC, Florida QBs how they felt after being hit by Ramsey. FSU wins this one 28 - 17!


1 unit......127-113-3, +3.6
3 unit......37-43-2, -32.0
5 unit......31-20-1, +48.0
Teasers.... 1-5-1, -4.8
Totals.....66-68-2
Sides......119-97-2
Money Line..1-3, -7.2
Half time...1-0, +5.0
Game of Year...L'ville -3 (WON) 11/08/14, L'ville 38 BC 19, +10.0 units
TOTAL OF YEAR...0-1, -11.0, Over 43 UCF/Tulane, UCF 20 Tulane 13, 10/18/14
WON...199...LOSS...184...51.96%.. Push...7.....units..+11.6 since 8/28/14

Love Love that UCF/ECU total. GL sir :0074

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Love Love that UCF/ECU total. GL sir :0074

The lines are jumping now!! GL Situation!! :0074

 

[WildBillPicks7]

OVER 68 Marshall/LT (5 units) CUSA Championship, Marshall off home loss, LT one of highest scoring teams in nation, along with Marshall. Marshall 49 LT 42

 

[tulah]

OVER 68 Marshall/LT (5 units) CUSA Championship, Marshall off home loss, LT one of highest scoring teams in nation, along with Marshall. Marshall 49 LT 42

Looks like rain is expected for the entire game. Does that change anything for you?

 

[bc1379]

Dec 4 - 6

ECU -5 1/2 (1 unit) - ECU hasn't lost at home in quite some time, Senior Night and TV game

Over 55 1/2 UCF/ECU (1 unit) - ECU TV average over 60 pts

Over 59 NILL/BG (1 unit) - N ILL big revenge mode over beating LY in Ford Dome

Oregon -13 (1 unit) - Ducks revenge mode, missing starters are back in first match, AZ off ASU game

Tulane +4 (1 unit) - Temple only favored by 4? Rd game and Temple hasn't played well on rd

SMU +12 1/2 (1 unit) - SMU winless, U Conn with 2 wins and DD Fav? Well they should be but SMU won't roll over here, it's their last game.

Okla St +19 (1 unit) - OU should be favored by more here and OK St not going anywhere, this is there bowl game.

Alabama -14 1/2 (1 unit) - Mizzou faced lesser "D" than Bama and lost at home to Georgia by how much? They lost to Indiana at home by how much? They beat A&M on the rd? Bama beat A&M by how much? Tide rolls here, no pun intendoed, 42 to 17!

Ohio St +4 1/2 (1 unit) - Badgers can run, OSU w/new QB at helm, he's a pocket passer and a beast to get down at 6'5 250, he'll want to impress for his shot cuz he's not an Urban Meyer original recruit, so my hats off to him and being in the dog role? WOW! I'll take Urban Meyer and his game plan over Gary Christensen's game plan of run Gordon left and run Gordon right, Buckeyes d unit know that Gordon will get lots of carries, the key will be stacking him up and making Badgers pass.

Boise -19 (1 unit) - Boise in revenge mode and on a roll. Fresno at 6-6 in a championship game? That's how bad the MWC was this year folks and Boise is happy to be leaving. Playing basically at home Broncs with Ajayi will run through Bulldog swiss cheese "D" and passing game should light them up as well.

Iowa St +34 (3 units) - This is ISU's bowl game. I doubt Rhoads is back after this game is over with, ISU with nothing to play for but Rhoads will have the Cyclones playing as hard as they can. TCU smoked Texas last week, mostly on Turnovers, now face a decent running game in ISU. TCU will win by doubt it by more than 4 tds. TCU 42 ISU 14.

Fla St -3 (5 units) - FSU second shot in Charlotte, last year that played PUKE and beat them down, Ga Tech like Duke, is one dimensional, yet GT lost Smelter but passing isn't something that Tech does well, they run the ball, FSU had trouble with run games this year, but not the passing game and they capitalize on turnovers. Jameis was distracted big time last wk and last 3 weeks with all his picks. He's probably got some girl on his mind :mj07: but seriously, I'll take an undefeated team with everything at stake over a team who on the rd beat who this year other than Georgia? NC State? Pitt? They lost @ UNC and lost at home to PUKE!! FSU has one focus here and that's just WIN! Cook, the lil speed demon back for Noles along with seasoned vet Greene at wideout and O'Leary as another weapon for Noles, all he does is catch TD passes and then there's this DB who is the best that FSU has had even counting Deion Sanders (he sucked anyways, all he had was speed) Ramsey can tackle and he dogs the QB well! Just ask Miami, BC, Florida QBs how they felt after being hit by Ramsey. FSU wins this one 28 - 17!

OVER 68 Marshall/LT (5 units) CUSA Championship, Marshall off home loss, LT one of highest scoring teams in nation, along with Marshall. Marshall 49 LT 42

1 unit......127-113-3, +3.6
3 unit......37-43-2, -32.0
5 unit......31-20-1, +48.0
Teasers.... 1-5-1, -4.8
Totals.....66-68-2
Sides......119-97-2
Money Line..1-3, -7.2
Half time...1-0, +5.0
Game of Year...L'ville -3 (WON) 11/08/14, L'ville 38 BC 19, +10.0 units
TOTAL OF YEAR...0-1, -11.0, Over 43 UCF/Tulane, UCF 20 Tulane 13, 10/18/14
WON...199...LOSS...184...51.96%.. Push...7.....units..+11.6 since 8/28/14

I have been a lurker for years and wanted to pass on some info on the ISU/TCU game as I am a big ISU fan and season ticket holder. I wanted to let you know a few details on ISU that may affect your bet. Rhoads will be back and this will not be his last game. He got the backing from the AD this week and quite frankly, ISU can't afford to buy him out as they just signed him to a $10MM contract a couple of years ago. They are bowling in the south endzone and the funds aren't there to buy him out. Next year will be his do or die year and we will be replace Wally Burham as it sounds like he will probably retire.

ISU's running game is terrible. We are 108th in rushing at 127.7 ypg. I can't imagine they will be able to run against TCU. They are so hurt and banged up, especially on the defensive side, we will never stop TCU unless they stop themselves. ISU's O-line is pourous at best and Richardson runs for his life and he is still our second leading rusher. EJ Bibbs will probably not play and is Richardson's main target in the passing game. The best offensive weapons we have left are Montgomery and Lazard (true freshman) on the outside. Our defense is missing pretty much every key player now either through injury or suspension. The lowest point total we have given up was 20 against Iowa and everyone was healthy. Since then the lowest is 34 and that was against TT and KU.

TCU wants to stay in that top 4. Perhaps they get a big lead and pull starters and ISU can backdoor them, but even as an ISU fan who rarely bets against them, I can't find a good reason to back this team this week.

I just wanted to pass that info along. ISU may cover as perhaps the TCU angle is too obvious. In typical ISU fashion, they will probably win outright and end up screwing the Big12 chance of having a team in the playoff.

Good luck either way.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Looks like rain is expected for the entire game. Does that change anything for you?

No!! Not unless it was a complete blizzard with sub zero wind chills!! Then i'd wait for the public to pound the under to drop the line down 7 pts then go the other way!

GL!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

I have been a lurker for years and wanted to pass on some info on the ISU/TCU game as I am a big ISU fan and season ticket holder.

All valid points and I appreciate the info on Isu. When I capped this game my number came out to TCU should be favored by 36 or more point, it opened lower and the first hit move the line down, money play, since then the line has gone up and why wouldn't it? The public and "sharps" if that's what we really call them, have moved the line, and I hope it goes up a tad higher, then I can get in another play on it when that happens.

My numbers have TCU +24 MOV at home, ISU is -9 1/2 MOV on the rd, only win @ Iowa 20-17 earlier in the year, the last few games on the rd they have lost at KU by 20, Texas by 3 and OK ST by 17, all teams that run the ball, maybe talent wise not as good as TCU, but they ran the ball.

TCU has a monster 3.1 yd per game "D" line against the run, ISU probably will be in run scared mode and pass as much as possible. TCU doesn't need much help sticking in the Final 4 talk, there are 4 games this week that will dictate what happens on Saturday night when the committee comes out with the final 4. They also will likely as you said, play their tops players only a 1/2, not risking injury, but you'll have to pry Boykin out of the game! Patterson will make sure froggies don't look ahead to anything but winning this game here, they only have 1 game for sure left, possibly two.

ISU is 4-6-1 ATS, TCU is 9-2, oddsmakers know this, the power numbers under Sag & the other sets I have have TCU should be favored by more than the current line and the initial opening line, so why did it open lower? So that the public would pound TCU and they will continue to pound it.

So for me, this is more of a gut feeling, I've not done well on 3 unit plays in CFB this year but the system I use using the 3 unit play system has been pretty much 60% on the year in all sports, just not CFB!! LOL :142smilie

I'll take my slim chances on this one as I already played it at +34 , but it'll go to +36 1/2 and I'll hit it again.

If it loses, it loses, I can't win em all even though as competitive as I am, I hate losing! :142smilie

But we'll see what happens as usual!

Would love for an upset on the rd to give this committee something to think about all day Saturday before their final verdict!

GL!

:0074

 

[WildBillPicks7]

All valid points and I appreciate the info on Isu. When I capped this game my number came out to TCU should be favored by 36 or more point, it opened lower and the first hit move the line down, money play, since then the line has gone up and why wouldn't it? The public and "sharps" if that's what we really call them, have moved the line, and I hope it goes up a tad higher, then I can get in another play on it when that happens.

My numbers have TCU +24 MOV at home, ISU is -9 1/2 MOV on the rd, only win @ Iowa 20-17 earlier in the year, the last few games on the rd they have lost at KU by 20, Texas by 3 and OK ST by 17, all teams that run the ball, maybe talent wise not as good as TCU, but they ran the ball.

TCU has a monster 3.1 yd per game "D" line against the run, ISU probably will be in run scared mode and pass as much as possible. TCU doesn't need much help sticking in the Final 4 talk, there are 4 games this week that will dictate what happens on Saturday night when the committee comes out with the final 4. They also will likely as you said, play their tops players only a 1/2, not risking injury, but you'll have to pry Boykin out of the game! Patterson will make sure froggies don't look ahead to anything but winning this game here, they only have 1 game for sure left, possibly two.

ISU is 4-6-1 ATS, TCU is 9-2, oddsmakers know this, the power numbers under Sag & the other sets I have have TCU should be favored by more than the current line and the initial opening line, so why did it open lower? So that the public would pound TCU and they will continue to pound it.

So for me, this is more of a gut feeling, I've not done well on 3 unit plays in CFB this year but the system I use using the 3 unit play system has been pretty much 60% on the year in all sports, just not CFB!! LOL :142smilie

I'll take my slim chances on this one as I already played it at +34 , but it'll go to +36 1/2 and I'll hit it again.

If it loses, it loses, I can't win em all even though as competitive as I am, I hate losing! :142smilie

But we'll see what happens as usual!

Would love for an upset on the rd to give this committee something to think about all day Saturday before their final verdict!

GL!

:0074

PS: One other factor, this game is noon, K St/Baylor is TV 7:45 pm game, so TCU needs to lay the wood, so pressure on them on the early tilt, then the rest will be on Baylor should TCU win ugly, like by 56 or more! But who knows, it's senior day and all and ISU has nothing to play for and I doubt the Cyclones don't come fighting.

Phew!

 

[bc1379]

PS: One other factor, this game is noon, K St/Baylor is TV 7:45 pm game, so TCU needs to lay the wood, so pressure on them on the early tilt, then the rest will be on Baylor should TCU win ugly, like by 56 or more! But who knows, it's senior day and all and ISU has nothing to play for and I doubt the Cyclones don't come fighting.

Phew!

Good stuff WB7. I get what you are saying as I expected the number to be higher as well. I probably won't play a side, but may play the total. It's tough to back a shitty team. I started betting ISU totals as I couldn't figure out if they would cover the side once the injury bug hit. Had the over in the WVU game. They were sitting at 48 at half with a total of 62.5. Needless to say, the ticket was a loser. I will sit back and watch the final chapter of this crappy season. I just wanted to pass along some information from an ISU perspective. Good luck as I hope you win. I enjoy reading your write ups and follow up quite a bit. Best of luck.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Good stuff WB7. I get what you are saying as I expected the number to be higher as well. I probably won't play a side, but may play the total. It's tough to back a shitty te

am. I started betting ISU totals as I couldn't figure out if they would cover the side once the injury bug hit. Had the over in the WVU game. They were sitting at 48 at half with a total of 62.5. Needless to say, the ticket was a loser. I will sit back and watch the final chapter of this crappy season. I just wanted to pass along some information from an ISU perspective. Good luck as I hope you win. I enjoy reading your write ups and follow up quite a bit. Best of luck.

Bc, info you shared is good stuff!! I appreciate it!! I wish more folks shared info on teams they know more often!! GL! :toast:

 

[WildBillPicks7]

UNDER 64 FLA ST/GT (5 units) Cool and wet field conditions, lots of running opps and special teams with field position, FSU with better overall kickers in this one.

GL!!

:0corn

 

[checkmate]

UNDER 64 FLA ST/GT (5 units) Cool and wet field conditions, lots of running opps and special teams with field position, FSU with better overall kickers in this one.

GL!!

:0corn

Good luck tonight!! On em with ya.

 

[Juji-gatame]

I sure hope Fl st gets their asses handed in playoffs. Cost us a ton of $$$$:scared

 

[WildBillPicks7]

7-7, bad unit management losses, FSU backdoored in last few minutes, Boise couldn't lay down the -hammer and Tulane coughs up a SU win at home in last home game! It happens! 3 unit and all 3 - 5 unit plays go down the shitter!

-16 pt 1 units on the week!! Sorry folks!!

Will turn it around in Bowl season!

Thanks!

:0003

 

[WildBillPicks7]

END OF REGULAR SEASON



1 unit......134-116-3, +7.3
3 unit......37-44-2, -35.3
5 unit......31-23-1, +31.5
Teasers.... 1-5-1, -4.8
Totals.....68-70-2
Sides......124-102-2
Money Line..1-3, -7.2
Half time...1-0, +5.0
Game of Year...L'ville -3 (WON) 11/08/14, L'ville 38 BC 19, +10.0 units
TOTAL OF YEAR...0-1, -11.0, Over 43 UCF/Tulane, UCF 20 Tulane 13, 10/18/14
WON...206...LOSS...191...51.76%.. Push...7.....units..-4.5 since 8/28/14

 

[WildBillPicks7]

END OF REGULAR SEASON



1 unit......134-116-3, +7.3
3 unit......37-44-2, -35.3
5 unit......31-23-1, +31.5
Teasers.... 1-5-1, -4.8
Totals.....68-70-2
Sides......124-102-2
Money Line..1-3, -7.2
Half time...1-0, +5.0
Game of Year...L'ville -3 (WON) 11/08/14, L'ville 38 BC 19, +10.0 units
TOTAL OF YEAR...0-1, -11.0, Over 43 UCF/Tulane, UCF 20 Tulane 13, 10/18/14
WON...206...LOSS...191...51.76%.. Push...7.....units..-4.5 since 8/28/14

Will have all my bowl plays, sides, money lines and totals up by Thursday of this week, Dec 19.

GLE!!

:toast: