December 26th - December 30th...Part II
- Thread starter Subcloser
- Start date
I did it too... :shrug:
I'm against playing games on field conditions like that... if they played in Green Bay the field would be heated and have decent footing.
HATE watching guys slipping n sliding around... our team was better, but we lost :nono:
I'm against playing games on field conditions like that... if they played in Green Bay the field would be heated and have decent footing.
HATE watching guys slipping n sliding around... our team was better, but we lost :nono:
Ended the streak of 6 in a row but got the big one and Should end the day 3-1...headed to watch El Dorado, back early with tomorrow?s card
Keep it going Sub, was a very good day. Love ML dog winners, had a couple nice parlays also. Hope we are on the same page again tomorrow.
TOP 25 Bowl Plays for 2017-18...12-3 on Top 25 so far
#1...Virginia Tech +6/+195 (4*)
#2...POY...Purdue +3/+142 (5*)
#3...12/29
#4...1/1
#5...Louisiana Tech +5
#6...Georgia St +5
#7...12/30
#8...Florida St -15
#9...Fresno St +110
#10... Wyoming -2.5
#11...Boston College +2.5
#12...Kansas St -6.5
#13...Troy -5
#14...1/1
#15...12/29
#16...12/29
#17...12/30
#18...Duke -5.5
#19...Utah -6.5
#20...1/1
#21...SDST -6.5
#22...Michigan St -2
#23...Texas Tech +3
#24...Florida Atlantic -22.5
#25...Texas +125
#1...Virginia Tech +6/+195 (4*)
#2...POY...Purdue +3/+142 (5*)
#3...12/29
#4...1/1
#5...Louisiana Tech +5
#6...Georgia St +5
#7...12/30
#8...Florida St -15
#9...Fresno St +110
#10... Wyoming -2.5
#11...Boston College +2.5
#12...Kansas St -6.5
#13...Troy -5
#14...1/1
#15...12/29
#16...12/29
#17...12/30
#18...Duke -5.5
#19...Utah -6.5
#20...1/1
#21...SDST -6.5
#22...Michigan St -2
#23...Texas Tech +3
#24...Florida Atlantic -22.5
#25...Texas +125
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Not Ranked In Top 25
Not Ranked In Top 25
Military Bowl
NAVY -1 +105 (1*)
NAVY tt ov 25.5 -110 (1*)
I know about Mendenhalls record against option teams (9but looks can be deceving...This year they did cover vs. G-Tech but they gave up 36 points. In 2016 they lost to G-tech and gave up 31. In fact most of the ATS wins Bronco has had vs. option teams was against Air Force from 2005-2009. First off Air Force was pretty shitty during that stretch and BYU was very good. This is a virtual home game for Navy today and the weather should favor them...Navy does qualify as a play within the system I use to pick Bowl games they just didn't have a high enough rating to make the top 25, they would have been #26...Only thing that makes me hesitant in this game is the fact the line has moved in the wrong direction...this game like many Navy games will probly come down to turnovers, if Navy holds onto the ball they will win and get to the point total
Not Ranked In Top 25
Military Bowl
NAVY -1 +105 (1*)
NAVY tt ov 25.5 -110 (1*)
I know about Mendenhalls record against option teams (9but looks can be deceving...This year they did cover vs. G-Tech but they gave up 36 points. In 2016 they lost to G-tech and gave up 31. In fact most of the ATS wins Bronco has had vs. option teams was against Air Force from 2005-2009. First off Air Force was pretty shitty during that stretch and BYU was very good. This is a virtual home game for Navy today and the weather should favor them...Navy does qualify as a play within the system I use to pick Bowl games they just didn't have a high enough rating to make the top 25, they would have been #26...Only thing that makes me hesitant in this game is the fact the line has moved in the wrong direction...this game like many Navy games will probly come down to turnovers, if Navy holds onto the ball they will win and get to the point total
Kind words sir...we all have our ups and downs in this racket...Always had a knack for bowl season...gl today
We are mostly in agreement today. As a Navy fan I want them to win, but I just think this is a tough match up for them. It is a smaller play for me anyway as I do not like betting against Navy. I am much bigger on Va Tech and Michigan State, so I am happy to hit those two with hopefully a big upset in the Premier League!
Lets win some more money!
Looks like Navy money in coming in now.
Lets win some more money!
Looks like Navy money in coming in now.
The Navy game is a tough call...I have watched both teams this year and I can't say I have been impressed with Virginia at all defensively...I lean more to the tt over for Navy but my numbers said to play Navy so I'm going with em...Like you said nothing crazy...Agree with you on Va Tech, defense typically trumps offense in these games...I like Michigan St a good bit, I think Wash st will have a hard time competing with the Spartans from a physical standpoint and they fit nicely into my system out ranking the Cougars in all 3 facets that I use. Looks like I will have no play on the side in TCU game, my numbers have this one at a virtual standoff...will probly play something on the 1H total...gonna jump on the Crystal Palace train with ya today, gonna hit the 1/2 for a couple and ml for a bit...lets finish the year strong
I will follow the Navy TT for about half my game bet. I also like the line move. See it as a nice hedge as I think they will have to score that much if they are to win. It is going to be very cold for Annapolis, but sunny.
Historically to most people's surprise football games played in <30 degree temps with no moisture produce lots of points...don't ask why but in the NFL is a money maker just like any gamtime temp >85 degrees take the over...back in a few, found some angles I like in the TCU game
NON Top 25 Play
NON Top 25 Play
Alamo Bowl
TCU -3 -105 (2*)
Again doesn't qualify in the bowl system I use but TCU does outrank Stanford in a number of key categories that historically have proven to be very important during Bowl season...Defense: lowest yards allowed per play, Fewest 1st downs allowed, Rush Def, Yards per rush allowed, Def total yards allowed...This is also reasonable close to home for TCU which is always a big plus, that in itself is enough reason to pull the trigger...for those interested I would take a hard look across the pond this afternoon at Crystal Palace +1/2 +118
NON Top 25 Play
Alamo Bowl
TCU -3 -105 (2*)
Again doesn't qualify in the bowl system I use but TCU does outrank Stanford in a number of key categories that historically have proven to be very important during Bowl season...Defense: lowest yards allowed per play, Fewest 1st downs allowed, Rush Def, Yards per rush allowed, Def total yards allowed...This is also reasonable close to home for TCU which is always a big plus, that in itself is enough reason to pull the trigger...for those interested I would take a hard look across the pond this afternoon at Crystal Palace +1/2 +118
