No time for undercard analysis. Heading out to the track soon. He are some gimmicks I'll probably be playing
CHURCHILL
RACE 1 Pick 3 part wheel (1,6,9) with (3,4,5) with (2,5)
RACE 5 Tri part wheel (2,6) with (2,6) with (1,5,10,11,12) and (2,6) with (1,5,10,11,12) with (2,6)
RACE 7 Pic 3 part wheel (4,5,11) with (1,2,4,7) with (3,8)
RACE 10 DERBY
Exacta part wheel (9,12,16) with (2,15)
Tri part wheel (9,12) with (9,12) with (4,6,8,15,16) and (9,12) with (4,6,8,15,16) with (9,12)
I thought the bombs that most likely to hit the board are Brancusi and Outta Here. Brancusi I've liked all along but the more I look at Outta Here, I can see where he could hit the board. Look at his last 3 races: On Nov.30 he's entered on the turf, which he isn't bred for, and he runs a great race, closing strongly to be beaten less than 2 by Peace Rules. Then he ships to Delta for a $500 K race, which he wins with a 98 Beyer, a very strong 2 YO route number. He only has run once this year, a 4th in the Dubai Derby. But a closer look shows a very solid Timeform rating (107), which is the equivalent of a 98-99 Beyer. Not good enough to win the Ky Derby, but could klunk up for 3rd. He also did finish in front of 10 horses in that race. But I think only 3 horses (Empire Maker, TMW, and Indian Express) have real strong chances of winning. You could make some case for Buddy Gil and Atswhatimtalkinabout but you can't pick everyone.
CHURCHILL
RACE 1 Pick 3 part wheel (1,6,9) with (3,4,5) with (2,5)
RACE 5 Tri part wheel (2,6) with (2,6) with (1,5,10,11,12) and (2,6) with (1,5,10,11,12) with (2,6)
RACE 7 Pic 3 part wheel (4,5,11) with (1,2,4,7) with (3,8)
RACE 10 DERBY
Exacta part wheel (9,12,16) with (2,15)
Tri part wheel (9,12) with (9,12) with (4,6,8,15,16) and (9,12) with (4,6,8,15,16) with (9,12)
I thought the bombs that most likely to hit the board are Brancusi and Outta Here. Brancusi I've liked all along but the more I look at Outta Here, I can see where he could hit the board. Look at his last 3 races: On Nov.30 he's entered on the turf, which he isn't bred for, and he runs a great race, closing strongly to be beaten less than 2 by Peace Rules. Then he ships to Delta for a $500 K race, which he wins with a 98 Beyer, a very strong 2 YO route number. He only has run once this year, a 4th in the Dubai Derby. But a closer look shows a very solid Timeform rating (107), which is the equivalent of a 98-99 Beyer. Not good enough to win the Ky Derby, but could klunk up for 3rd. He also did finish in front of 10 horses in that race. But I think only 3 horses (Empire Maker, TMW, and Indian Express) have real strong chances of winning. You could make some case for Buddy Gil and Atswhatimtalkinabout but you can't pick everyone.
