Despair stalks Baghdad as plan falters

Dead Money

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Upstairs watching sports on the big TV.
Wondering if Wease is too busy to weigh in on my questions and points, made now in three different threads. You always have fairly good reasoning in responses, so I'll invite you again.

Something I was thinking about yesterday, with all the warmongers talking about Dems emboldening the terrorists by withdrawel talk. What kind of message would it have sent had we aggressively kept the man- and firepower in Afghanistan and Pakistan for five years and counting, maybe even added to it, asked for support from other countries as we did in the Iraq decision, to once and for all root out Bin Laden and let terrorists know we were really serious about DIRECTLY addressing the threat to our country - and the world. In my estimation, that would have been the single most severe blow to terrorism, and would have prevented such an upswing in terror-related support worldwide.

Whether he is alive or not - nobody seems to know for sure - that simple fact is still motivating terror against both us and our allies. His deputy merely makes a comment that Bin Laden is directing operations, and there is a natural groundswell of excitement in the terror ranks.

What kind of message did it send to the terrorists when we aggressively pulled away from Bin Laden with the majority of our firepower and Republicans and the administration made it a battle cry about how hard it was to locate him and keep that up? Talk about empowering an enemy. This is NEVER talked about in this discussion, and I submit is the single biggest failure in the war on terrorism - and it's layed DIRECTLY at the foot of George Bush. Whether he is pulling the strings or not, it's his responsibility. And he has absolutely failed our troops, and our country.


Save your breath on inviting Weaze to chime in on the obvious.....he resides in his "private happy spot"....
 

djv

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Spytheweb yes I did not use right figure. It's over 130000 private guards. so let those soldiers of fortune take over and we can pack it in. After all our soldiers get less then half the pay those guy get to be killed in some ones civil war. We just don't belong any more. It's to bad we made such a mess of it to start with. But our leader ship just got it wrong and wants to keep doing it.
 

Chadman

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Save your breath on inviting Weaze to chime in on the obvious.....he resides in his "private happy spot"....

I guess you're right. Usually he at least tries to deflect from the point with a rambling moonbat essay, but I guess this one is too sticky-a-wicket for him. I dunno...:shrug:

I'd also like to hear Wayne's opinion on how we pulled away from the terrorist and publicly explained how we could not stay the course where he was, effectively emboldening cells worldwide in the war on terror. What kind of message would it have been to capture or kill Bin Laden, compared to going after the man in Iraq who - if nothing else - kept one of the radical elements in the middle east at bay for years, and was continuing to do so, not to mention the country of Iran?
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Let me try a diff approach Chad--instead of comparing parrallel objectives--lets try this one

If we lose the war in Iraq--Who wins?
Think about it!!
 

Chadman

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I figured you would not want to address my issue, Wayne, no problem. I will address yours about the only way I know how...I personally look at our performance in Iraq two ways (off the top of my head). First, I think we achieved the important goals that we could directly have sensible control over...oust Saddam and his henchmen (except for the holdovers that are now reportedly entrenched in the new Iraq police force), and establish a democratic government to take over running the country. At least that's what you guys keep saying, so I can go with that. We were never in the business of nation building, according to you guys, so that is a non-issue. We came, we shocked, we awed, accomplished the original goals (protect America from WMD's), and we won the original war. The other thing I think is that the people in charge of putting us there either did not understand what it would take (or even if it could ever work) to have the country be stable without our full presence there - or they simply didn't care and did it for other reasons. I think both are possible, and might close to the truth.

The fact that terrorists have been motivated to come to Iraq and kill our soldiers would be stopped largely by us withdrawing. The fact that there are insurgents in the country that have been freed up to kill our soldiers would be stopped largely by us withdrawing. And, what better way for the Iraqi's to step up to the forefront of running their country than for us to leave? Why do they think it important to hurry and get it figured out - if they even have an idea on how? They probably don't, and I don't know why they would think that.

I see you mention again, "if we lose the war." Again, I will pin this subject clearly on your administration, because they are in charge and continually threated the world with that scenario now - by reaffirming that phrase. If we pull out now, we lose the war. And at the same time, the administration puts up the benchmarks for measuring success there, and they are not being met. Your war, your rules, your benchmarks, your win or loss. Democrats have been playing by republican rules for years now...this one is on you guys, not vice-versa.

Call it a win, get the heck out. Seems pretty simple to me. Because staying there indefinitely until you can find a speechwriter to tell the tale effectively - which could have easily been the tack to take - is not going to work to achieve some kind of nebulous win - that can not even be pinpointed by YOUR side.
 

The Sponge

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Hey Weasal i think this is the reason your boys are saying sectarian violence is down 2/3 percent. Its called fuzzy math.

IRAQ WAR
U.S. officials exclude car bombs in touting drop in Iraq violence
By Nancy A. Youssef
McClatchy Newspapers

Mandi Wright, Detroit Free Press
A suicide car bomber detonated outside of the Iskandariyah police station in February 2004.
More Iraq war coverage

WASHINGTON - U.S. officials who say there has been a dramatic drop in sectarian violence in Iraq since President Bush began sending more American troops into Baghdad aren't counting one of the main killers of Iraqi civilians.


Car bombs and other explosive devices have killed thousands of Iraqis in the past three years, but the administration doesn't include them in the casualty counts it has been citing as evidence that the surge of additional U.S. forces is beginning to defuse tensions between Shiite and Sunni Muslims.


President Bush explained why in a television interview on Tuesday. "If the standard of success is no car bombings or suicide bombings, we have just handed those who commit suicide bombings a huge victory," he told TV interviewer Charlie Rose.


Others, however, say that not counting bombing victims skews the evidence of how well the Baghdad security plan is protecting the civilian population - one of the surge's main goals.


"Since the administration keeps saying that failure is not an option, they are redefining success in a way that suits them," said James Denselow, an Iraq specialist at London-based Chatham House, a foreign policy think tank.

Bush administration officials have pointed to a dramatic decline in one category of deaths - the bodies dumped daily in Baghdad streets, which officials call sectarian murders - as evidence that the security plan is working. Bush said this week that that number had declined by 50 percent, a number confirmed by statistics compiled by McClatchy Newspapers.


But the number of people killed in explosive attacks is rising, the same statistics show - up from 323 in March, the first full month of the security plan, to 365 through April 24.
Overall, statistics indicate that the number of violent deaths has declined significantly since December, when 1,391 people died in Baghdad, either executed and found dead on the street or killed by bomb blasts. That number was 796 in March and 691 through April 24.


Nearly all of that decline, however, can be attributed to a drop in executions, most of which were blamed on Shiite Muslim militias aligned with the government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki. Much of the decline occurred before the security plan began on Feb. 15, and since then radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr has ordered his Mahdi Army militia to stand down.


According to the statistics, which McClatchy reporters in Baghdad compile daily from Iraqi police reports, 1,030 bodies were found in December. In January, that number declined 32 percent, to 699. It declined to 596 February and again to 473 in March.


Deaths from car bombings and improvised explosive devices, however, increased from 361 in December to a peak of 520 in February before dropping to 323 in March.


In that same period, the number of bombings has increased, as well. In December, there were 65 explosive attacks. That number was unchanged in January, but it rose to 72 in February, 74 in March and 81 through April 24.



U.S. officials blame the bombings largely on al-Qaida, which they say is hoping to provoke sectarian conflict by targeting Shiite neighborhoods with massive explosions.


Ryan Crocker, who became the U.S. ambassador in Iraq this month, said the bombings are a reaction to the surge of additional U.S. troops into Baghdad.
"The terrorists like al-Qaida would make their own surge," Crocker said this week.



U.S. officials have said that they don't expect the security plan to stop bombings.


"I don't think you're ever going to get rid of all the car bombs," Gen. David Petraeus, the top U.S. commander in Iraq, said this week. "Iraq is going to have to learn as did, say, Northern Ireland, to live with some degree of sensational attacks."


But some think that approach could backfire, with Iraqis eventually blaming the Americans for failing to stop bombings.


"To win, the insurgents just have to prove they are not losing," said Denselow, of London's Chatham House.




Experts who have studied car bombings say it's no surprise that U.S. officials would want to exclude their victims from any measure of success.


Car bombs are almost impossible to detect and stop, particularly in a traffic-jammed city such as Baghdad. U.S. officials in Baghdad concede that while they've found scores of car bomb factories in Iraq, they've made only a small dent in the manufacturing of these weapons.


Mike Davis, who recently wrote a history of car bombs, said that once car bombs are introduced into a conflict, they're all but impossible to eradicate. A few people with rudimentary skills can assemble one with massive effect.


"They really don't have to be very sophisticated; they just have to be very big," Davis said.


Davis said checkpoints are useful in detecting car bombs "until they blow up the checkpoint," and erecting walls is not practically feasible in communities. When U.S. officials proposed building walls around Baghdad's most troubled neighborhoods to fend off car bomb attacks, residents balked, saying the walls would further divide the city along sectarian lines.


Bombers also have shown that they can adapt quickly. When the U.S. military blocked off markets to vehicular traffic, bombers wearing explosive vests were able to walk into the areas.


Finding a defense against car bombs has fallen to the Joint IED Defeat Organization, a Pentagon task force created in 2003 to find ways to protect U.S. troops from roadside bombs, which remain the No. 1 killer of Americans in Iraq.


But car bombs aren't the primary killer of American service members, said Christine Devries, the task force's spokeswoman. Roadside bombs are.




---


ABOUT IRAQI CIVILIAN CASUALTIES


There are no authoritative statistics on Iraqi civilian casualties. The Iraq Study Group in its report last year found that the Pentagon routinely underreports violence. Other groups have criticized the Iraqi government's statistics as unreliable - a moot point since the government recently stopped releasing comprehensive totals. On Wednesday, the United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq chastised the Iraqi government for withholding statistics on sectarian violence.


One study, conducted by Johns Hopkins University's Bloomberg School of Public Health and Mustansiriyah University in Baghdad, estimated that 78,000 Iraqis were killed by car bombings between March 2003 and June 2006.


Iraq Body Count, which keeps statistics based on news reports, finds that there have been just over 1,050 car bombs that have killed more than one person since August 2003, when a car bomb detonated in front of what was the United Nations headquarters, killing 17.


McClatchy gathers its statistics daily from police contacts, and while they're not comprehensive, they're collected the same way every day.
A roundup of Iraq violence is posted daily on the McClatchy Washington Bureau Web site, http://www.mcclatchydc.com. Click on Iraq War Coverage.
 

smurphy

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Let me try a diff approach Chad--instead of comparing parrallel objectives--lets try this one

If we lose the war in Iraq--Who wins?
Think about it!!
Did we not already win the war, Dogs? When the statue fell, when elections were held, when Saddam was tried and hung. ...We did every tangible thing possible to show that the 'war' was won. I'm not sure what the Iraq situation should be called right now, but 'war' does not seem accurate. ...At least not a war where we are a participant on a particular side.
 
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