Digging thru the Unders

Spock

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crappy defence yesterday cost me the games. Went 1 - 3 yesterday and 1-0 in nba cost me 4.7 % of bankroll. I will bring up the importance of moneymanagement. Gotta live to fight another day. Reminds me of the dialogue from Wall Street: You win some You lose some. You keep on Fighting.

found a couple of plays worth playing

staying off the boston total as it seems to be a trap to me.
will not touch atlanta total under any circumstances
blues have given up on defence and yet score so they are a definite no-no

Like the Phoenix under 2 1/2 but turek has horrible numbers against phoenix. will stay off.

Jackets under 2 1/2 .hmm .. but roy is not the same roy of yesteryears and I will not pay -160 for this play

Going with

Nashville Predators Under 2 1/2 Goals

Rangers coming off a huge win usually dont play good against a bad team. I am banking on the fact that they know this. The only thing Rangers coach was repeating the other day was the importance of getting the 2 points. I hope this has been drilled into the Rangers players. They cannot take Nashville lightly. Nash has been putting up a good show recently.

The key here is the play of Dunham. Playing for the first time against his old team he will definitely be out to prove a point.
I am sure the importance of this game in this aspect has been discussed in the locker room. Dunham was brought to Rangers as they needed an experience goaltender after Richter went down and he has been playing well. All he needs is no turnovers and good defence.

I am not going to go into stats at this point but over the last 5 games Preds have been averaging 25.2 shots on goal while Rangers have allowed 27 shots on goal each game.

Power Play of both teams is horrible .. Nash Power Play is around 8% in last 5 but Rangers Penalty Kill is @ 94.1% in last 5 games.

Rangers have given up 1.4 goals in last 5 games while Preds have been scoring 2.2 goals per game in last 5.

I think Rangers win here outright. Whether they do or not hopefully they give me a solid defensive effort.

Good luck
Spock

$ have one more play. be back with it soon.
 

Spock

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Adding

LA KINGS Under 2 1/2 Goals

Minny has been putting up a stellar effort even after their goaltender went down. Roloson I must say has done a fantastic job. There is tremendous motivation on this team in their drive towards the playoffs.

from sportsline:
Roloson has started every game since, going 3-3-0 with a 1.32 goals-against average and .949 save percentage. He has allowed just eight goals during the stretch, and now ranks second in the NHL with a 1.92 GAA and a .930 save percentage.

MIN is 5th on defense allowing 2.17 gls/gm

In last 5 games LA has scored @ the clip of 2 goals per game
In last 5 games Minny has given up 1.2 goals per game

2.0 goals per game in LA's last 5 looked high to me .. so after checking around i found out that if u exclude yesterday's shootout against the Ducks in which they had 5 goals they had combined for 5 goals in the previous 4 games going 1, 0, 1 and 3 goals.

Last time these two teams met Minny lost 2 - 3 on jan 6. I am sure this is fresh in their mind. Look for a very good defensive effort in this game. Roloson gave up 3 goals in this one . hmmm .. but wait a min .. this was his first game back after manny went down. the last game he had played before this was mid november. looks like has got adjusted now.

LA is averaging 23.8 shots on goal in last 5 games
Minny is giving up 26.2 shots on goal in last 5 games

Minny has not given up a power play goal in 5 straight games. I hope this continues.

Another key factor here is LA is playing back to back. AFter the exhausting offensive and defensive effort yesterday - with all the injured bodies they have around I am sure this is gonna make a difference today in their offensive intensity. Hopefully offensive.

I think LA scores 1 goal today but would love for Roloson to get a shutout.

Good luck
Spock
 

Spock

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Spock said:
LA KINGS Under 2 1/2 Goals

I think LA scores 1 goal today but would love for Roloson to get a shutout.

too bad Roloson did not get the shutout. As I thought LA gets one goal.

The under gods were with me today


Recap

Nashville Predators Under 2 1/2 Goals *** Win ***

LA Kings Under 2 1/2 Goals *** Win ***



Good luck
Cheers !!!

# One of the things i am still trying to improve on is cutting down my plays to the best plays possible. For all those who read my first post I have posted my thoughts on the games as regards to the total. Helps me to think clearly. Hopefully this results in a higher % of wins.
 
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