Div Round trends

[Dizzayton]

I know it is tempting seeing a team play well in the wildcard round and then putting money on them in the divisional round. But I have learned the hard way that divisional home teams usually come through.

Does anyone out there have the trends for success rate of home teams in divisional round to cover the spread?

The one that really stands out to me is Colts -8.5. Colts are right there with NE as the best team. Meanwhile, the Chargers are on a win streak albeit against pretty shitty teams. With Gates status up in the air, I like the Colts alot here before the spread goes up to double digits. Rivers is not that good and Manning and Colts will put points on board for sure. 34-17 Colts.

 

[Emersonboozer]

Thats good advice my friend. All too often a team does well in the wildcard round only to get overwhelmed by the rested team waiting for them with that extra week of healing. My guess is 3 out of four of the home teams roll and cover this weekend. Maybe all four

 

[MrChristo]

Totally agree as well.

All home teams are deserving of their big fav tags...

...I really like Indi the best too. They've scored well at home all season...
...is the last game v. SD a worry with Manning's 6 INT's?? Not sure...
...but if Tenn can march up and down the field all day (fumble in red-zone...missed FG, no TD's) then surely Indi can lay some serious points on them.

I was origianlly thinking 'under', but look what Indi did at home to Tampa...

(And no, sorry mate. I don't have any Play-off stats. )

 

[gjn23]

fyi

pretty sure that last year round 2 home teams went

2-2 straight up (bears + saints barely holding on vs phil and sea, sd + balt losing outright)

0-4 ats

 

[ThomasJ]

All teams Played as home team as a Favorite Last 5 years playing in week 19

6-10 ats
5-11 su
7-9 o/u

-7.0 to -9.5 home Favorite Last 5 years playing in week 19

4-2 ats 5-1 su and 3-3 o/u

-10.0 or more home Favorite Last 5 years playing in week 19

0-1 ats, su and o/u

Pitt beat Indy outright as 10 point dogs in '05

 

[GOLFSTUD]

Good info ThomasJ
Thanks

I like all the dogs except SD. I agree they look pretty weak and Indy is rested and ready to roll.