Div Week!

[MrChristo]

2-1 (won't bother counting the over/under buyback, shouldn't have Seattle fiasco! )

72-39

Jax NE over 47

(I got lucky with this line...Got it Monday afternoon (my time...at the same place I got the 39.5 last week ) and when I checked back the next day it was 49.5!!
So not sure how I'll count it on the record if it lands somewhere between 47 and 50, but hopefully it won't...for my blood pressure as much as anything )

What to say really...Jax haven't scored less than 24 in their last 11...with not one under to be seen!
Their pass D is shaky at best, and I'm sure NE can put up a BIG score on them here...Steelers put up 31with 3 picks and a fumble!
NE's lowest score all year has been 20, on a horrible windy day...av. 36.8!
Giants, Balt, Philli have all shown it's easy to put up points against them too.
A 28-20 kinda game look the least the teams could do! :shrug:


The other games are all a mystery to me! (Will go looking for some player props...)
First thought was a Seattle/GB over, but the 0-21 @ Pits, and 10-13 @ Panthers look real bad!!
I am sick to death of hearing about this "strong Seattle D" tho, so I hope they get pumped! :142smilie

I really like how the Giants have looked lately. Their running game has been very solid indeed...but even in the 2 games v. Dallas they ran for big numbers and still lost.
A solid 24 points @ Tampa tho is impressive...esp. the way the controlled the game...
TO status being ?? makes it tough...Dallas have only scored 9 points in 6 quaters without him...

Giants have to be a live dog if he doesn't suit up, surely!


I feel like liking Indi!...but sneaking home wins over Jax...and KC!!...a loss and 6 INT performance v. SD...
...but then they put up 33 at home to Tampa...without Addai or Harrison!... who (statistically at least) have a better D than SD.

But, SD have beaten some shit teams...all season really...ak x2, Denv x2, KC just once! Detroit, Houston, Chicago all at home...

:shrug: :0corn

Anyway....Good Luck all

 

[ELVIS]

especially agree w/ sea. that tough D beat a team that had a 37 yr old back up qb, one running back, and one receiver that is a midget, the te didn't do much either. that dominant d was never tested deep and will be spread out by favre and co. their will be no helpful crowd noise either.

if favre keeps his head on his shoulders and out of his ass - the score could easily be 31 - 21, but i guarantee that the sea D will give a bunch of points this week even if the game is played in a monsoon.

sea D, please.

 

[MrChristo]

Not sure how well these situations hold up in play-offs, but here's a couple of significant nes for the weekend...

League: 0-15 SU (Av. loss 12.9) as a 7+ dog, off a 7+ ats win as a fav with <28 mins TOP. [Seattle]

Tells us what we all saw last week...an average team that got helped out dramatically by their opp!!
Missed FG by Wash, and then 2 late picks 7's...
Redskins 21 FD's to 14.
13 more total yards and 34.15 to 25.45 TOP!!!
Rediculous result really.

What have Seattle done on the road?
Beaten Philli (8-8)...
...other than that beaten SF and SL, 2 of the 3 worst teams in the NFC.
Lost @ Carolina!!...Zona...Cleveland, Pits...won't count Atlanta...

GB finished 13-3...13-1 to anyone not Chicago!...allowed just 14.4 at home and won by about 13 ppg.

Not sure I would take the spread, but looks a very good ML or tease option.

League: 3-16 under (Av. total 44.2...av. score 35.2) away 7+ dog, total 40+, off a 10+ ats win as away 3+ dog with 30+ mins TOP. [NYG]
0-13 (Av. score 34.5) inside Conf.

Big pissed off I didn't grab this at 47...but might even get back there now it looks like TO will play.
A big plus for the NYG running game here. It was able to control the game and the clock with long sustained drives...and has been for most of the season to be fair.
Their defense is playing aswell as anyone right now...and there has to be some question marks over Dallas, gven they limped into the play-offs with 6, 20 and 6 (depleted)...


I've already played one teaser:
NYG +15/Indi -3
... might well add another, being Jax @ NE over 43/GB -1...

...and think I will take the NYG under when I see another 47

 

[Killian]

Here's a thought on the Sea/GB game.....

Let's take a look at Brett Farve's last eight playoff games.

Here's a fact....... he's 2 and 6 with 17 picks.

 

[MrChristo]

Well...**** me...Seattle are certainties!! :shrug:

 

[Vicc Inzagio]

good luck buddy !!


vicc

 

[MrChristo]

Thanks Vicc...you too my good man. :toast:

...Just a follow up on GB...

...Last week was their second...SECOND...win over a winning team...both were a highly unimpressive 9-7...
...now go to 13-3 GB?!

You're "quality D" can sack Alex Smith, Bulger with the worst O-line in the NFL a thousand times...does it make them any good??

Sacks on the road? 6 @ SF...4 @ SL...0, 3, 0, 1, 2 in the reamining 5 games!
GB allowed the 3rd FEWEST sacks all season...

...the 2 teams ahead of them? Cinci...lost 21-24 @ Seattle on a last minute TD...Seattle ran for 100 on one of the worst run D's in the NFL.

...New Orleans. WON 28-17 @ Seattle.

Now, obviously funny things can happen...If GB turn it over 3-4-5 times they lose...
...but everything else being equal, GB shuold be able to win this one comfortably.

 

[DeadPrez]

too support your GB theory a bit more...

Sea 2-4 ATS on grass

Sea averaged 22 ppg on offense and allowed 22.5 ppg on defense on the road this year

Sea averaged 18.5 ppg on offense and allowed 19.5 ppg on defense on grass this year

...and it's not like Seattle was playing tough road games...they played 1 road game against a playoff team (Pitt) and lost 21-0...

GB 27.4 ppg on O and 18.4 ppg on D @ home this year

GB 26.3 ppg on O and 18.1 ppg on D on grass this year

gl Mr. C

 

[MrChristo]

Green Bay ML (1.33)

Everything been said above really.

Tease: Indi -3/NYG +15

For tomorrow.

May take the NYG/Dallas under if it gets up a bit...definately at 48, possibly at 47.

Anyway, see how that pans out.

Have a good day all...and here's to plenty of points by everyone!! (except Seattle )
:toast:

 

[MrChristo]

Dallas v. NYG under 48 (bought 1/2)

We saw yesterday what happens when one team wants to run and control the clock...Jax/NE snuck up to 51 points, well below their av's.
NYG playing some solid D...4th best pass D for the season, combined with a run first mentality, and I think this one stays under a pretty big number...
...Giants are just 1-7 under on the road when total >38!...0-2 >46.

wtf are the Indi "receivers" doing??!! :00x25

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Nice work on the totals once again C :mj06:

Fawking colts cost me my tease too!
:mj16:

 

[escarzamd]

Take out the tease and you're still tearing it up........strong work