Div Week.

[MrChristo]

4-1 last week...only let down by that stiff Flacco. :mj07:

Baltmore @ Tenn under 35

League: 4-23 under, any non-Div road game off a 14+ ats win as a road fav. [Balt]

Home favs of 3 or less off a BYE are solid gold under's aswell...
...two of the very best D's in the NFL...both run first, throw if necessary teams.
Baltimore have been putting up some big scores, but it's all a bit smoke and mirrors.
As well as playing some poor defensive teams, they've also had a lot of D/ST scores...in 8 games v. top 11 D's they've av' just 15.5 offensive points...and that includes the end of the Dallas game. kurby
Both teams allowing under 15 ppg, obviously including a 10-13 game this season.

SD @ Pits under 38.5

Speaking of smoke and mirrors...SD's resurgence.
Said last week how their season ended against some bad teams...then they score just 17 (in reg. obvously) at home v. an average D.
Now travel to the best defense in the country. :shrug:
The Charges have played just 2 teams all season in the top 10 for y/play allowed...20 and 17 home v. Indi, and 10 @ Pittsburgh.
Of course they did hold Pits to 11 (or 18 :0corn ) last game...Steelers likely to run, run, run with Big Ben one hit away from seeing stars...
...20-13 kinda game. :shrug:

 

[edludes]

Thanks for posting this season,your threads are always a worthwhile read.GL this weekend!!

 

[baby johnson]

thanks mc, will coattail ya for added luck :mj06:

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Good luck C. Count me in brother :toast:

....hey only 30 days til AFL kicks off !! WOO-HOO!!

:00hour

 

[AR182]

mr. c..

glad to see you on the under in the pitt game...i think that's my only play for this weekend...

good luck

 

[thomas_howard]

Good luck C. Count me in brother :toast:

....hey only 30 days til AFL kicks off !! WOO-HOO!!

:00hour

thought they canceled the arena league this year?

or are you talking about something else.........

 

[MrChristo]

Australian Football League.

You know, the game with no shoulder pads, helmets or fair catches. kurby

(Although Sav Rocca and Ben Graham's accountants may beg to differ on which game is better! )

Well, doesn't look like the Giants line s on the way down any time soon, so...

NYG -4

League: 16-3 ats (Av. win 15.8!) as a Divisional favourite off a BYE if they lost the last meeting by 10+ ats. [NYG]
6-0 (Av. win 22.5!!) if opp had <30 mins TOP last week.

Teams also 0-7 SU (Av. loss 8.1) as a road og off a 7+ ats win as road fav with <28 mins TOP. [Phil]

Seems like an extra week to plot revenge is a very good thing.
What have Philli done on the road this year? Lost @ Dallas, Chicago, Balt, Wash...couldn't beat Cinci...only other wins were @ SF and Seattle. :shrug:
Westbrook had a monster day @ NYG last time out which is unlikely to happen again.
Giants struggled own the stretch, but Jacobs was hurting, and they dominated Carolina (25 FD's to 16...over 8 more mins TOP in reg.)
Philli is their only home loss on the year, and I thnk it will stay that way.

Good Luck all

 

[USCMD]

bol Mr C........ enjoyed your posts much of the year, appreciate the work.

I really wish you weren't on NY. I think its Philly's turn for a wc run deep into the playoffs. Bal and Philly, reprising Dangerfields line....."I get no respect."

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Australian Football League.

The three sticks and the tea break, right?

 

[MrChristo]

:mj07:

That'd be cricket, BBC. :142smilie

...the game that can be played for 5 days and still end in a draw. :0corn

Yet, somehow it's still infinately more interesting than baseball! kurby

Offensive pass interference?...Never heard of it
:00hour

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Ahh . . . the tight shorts game. It's hard keepin' all these third world games straight.

Good Luck on the AFL this year!

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Ahh . . . the tight shorts game. It's hard keepin' all these third world games straight.

Suffice to say that in the "third world" our sportsmen don't fawk around when it comes to catching the ball!! :0corn

 

[MrChristo]

lol.

Poor Richo. Still getting hosed in the off-season! :mj07:

Yep, Pawa...can't wait. :toast:

McClain & McGahee -12.5 rushing and receiving over Johnson & White (2.10)

Not thrilled that they are 12 yard fav's, but I think the price makes up for it.
White has been a total non-factor v. top 12 run D's.
v. the Jets, Pits, Chic, Minni and of course Balt, he has av'd 15.6 ypp @ just under 2 ypr!...only topped 14 one time even.
Johnson's numbers also drop off dramatically v. the best in the business...he av's ~ 45 @ 3 v. those same teams.
Their run D is a little bit skewed too from playing some poor rushing teams...thye've only played 4 teams in the top 13, and been out-rushed in 4 of the 5 games...the one time was ther first meeting v. Houston, but 36/123 (combined) to Slaton's 18/116 in a big win.
Baltimore have played 9 games against the top 12 run D's!!...and have covered this spread in 8 of them! (Only loss @ NYG)
Can't see them getting blown out and having to go away from the ground game.

kurby