One fav, one dog....lets see how it goes.
KC -3 2* The Broncos were a big play last week, and for good reason. Peyton Manning was unproven in the playoffs, or if anything he has proven to be a loser in his postseason experience. Well the public and the linesmakers have turned a 180 after only one game, which was at home in a dome. The Colts pitched about as perfect a game as you can in the playoffs last week, and because of this I think the line here is soft.
When I look at this game I think their are two mismatches that will make the difference: the KC O Line (best in the NFL in my opinion) vs the Colts D line, and the KC return team vs the Colts special team squad. Looking back to that Colts v Broncos game from three weeks ago we all know that the Colts are vurnerable against the run. Also, a few teams have exposed the Colts with big returns. In a game where the spread is this close, both of those mismatches could be the difference. Chiefs have won the past 13 at home for a reason. Arrowhead is a loud, intense place to play, which could make audibles difficult for Manning at the line of scrimmage.
Give me a rested Priest Holmes, at home. 31-24 Chiefs.
Titans +7 1* Got a gift with this line. Saw it jump to +6.5 shortly and took advantage of "Free Half Point Fridays" at Betcom. To me, the Titans may be the best 5 seed in playoff history. Had a nice team win last weekend, but lets face it they were not firing on all cylinders. It has been well documented that the gametime tempature may be at 0, and I get the impression that people precieve the cold will give the Pats a big advantage. I disagree. If it was going to be 22 at kickoff, then sure the team from the Northeast would have the advantage, but that is not the case here. None of these players are used to playing in these potential conditions, since few games have ever been this cold in the playoffs. If the mercury drops far enough, this could land in the top three coldest playoff games of all time.
The Pats strategy over the season has been simple, get up 7-0 then play a field position game. They keep backing you up, and the second you make a mistake they make you pay for it. I'll take my chances with Steve McNair not making that mistake. I expect conservative play calling from both sides, they are going to feel each other out for most of the first half. In a game where the total is now 34, 7 point deviation between sides is huge. This is cliche, but I expect a real dogfight - and with these temps you will be seeing this games' highlights on NFL films in ten years. I'll take the points and the league MVP, whose got the heart of a lion. Don't expect him to make so many mistakes two games in a row.
(Add that since the line of 7 probably won't be available anymore I would still play this one at 6.5 or 6.)
Will be lurking around for halftime of each game - hopefully we get some nice lines like we did last weekend.
GL this weekend - and of course Fly Eagles Fly.
BM
KC -3 2* The Broncos were a big play last week, and for good reason. Peyton Manning was unproven in the playoffs, or if anything he has proven to be a loser in his postseason experience. Well the public and the linesmakers have turned a 180 after only one game, which was at home in a dome. The Colts pitched about as perfect a game as you can in the playoffs last week, and because of this I think the line here is soft.
When I look at this game I think their are two mismatches that will make the difference: the KC O Line (best in the NFL in my opinion) vs the Colts D line, and the KC return team vs the Colts special team squad. Looking back to that Colts v Broncos game from three weeks ago we all know that the Colts are vurnerable against the run. Also, a few teams have exposed the Colts with big returns. In a game where the spread is this close, both of those mismatches could be the difference. Chiefs have won the past 13 at home for a reason. Arrowhead is a loud, intense place to play, which could make audibles difficult for Manning at the line of scrimmage.
Give me a rested Priest Holmes, at home. 31-24 Chiefs.
Titans +7 1* Got a gift with this line. Saw it jump to +6.5 shortly and took advantage of "Free Half Point Fridays" at Betcom. To me, the Titans may be the best 5 seed in playoff history. Had a nice team win last weekend, but lets face it they were not firing on all cylinders. It has been well documented that the gametime tempature may be at 0, and I get the impression that people precieve the cold will give the Pats a big advantage. I disagree. If it was going to be 22 at kickoff, then sure the team from the Northeast would have the advantage, but that is not the case here. None of these players are used to playing in these potential conditions, since few games have ever been this cold in the playoffs. If the mercury drops far enough, this could land in the top three coldest playoff games of all time.
The Pats strategy over the season has been simple, get up 7-0 then play a field position game. They keep backing you up, and the second you make a mistake they make you pay for it. I'll take my chances with Steve McNair not making that mistake. I expect conservative play calling from both sides, they are going to feel each other out for most of the first half. In a game where the total is now 34, 7 point deviation between sides is huge. This is cliche, but I expect a real dogfight - and with these temps you will be seeing this games' highlights on NFL films in ten years. I'll take the points and the league MVP, whose got the heart of a lion. Don't expect him to make so many mistakes two games in a row.
(Add that since the line of 7 probably won't be available anymore I would still play this one at 6.5 or 6.)
Will be lurking around for halftime of each game - hopefully we get some nice lines like we did last weekend.
GL this weekend - and of course Fly Eagles Fly.
BM
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