didn't play anything last week...finished the regular season at 50-41(54.9%)....nothing great.
in case anybody is interested here are some divisional trends...
rested home teams in the nfl playoffs are 76-24 su....& 57-40-3 ats since 1980....but 10-9-1 ats over the last 5 years.
also since 1980, if you just played on the teams with the better win % in the divisional games..you would have gone....140-92-6 ats (60.3%)...in this year's matchups balt.,phil.,chicago,& s.d. have the better win %.also among those 238 teams,dogs(phil.) were 21-6-1 ats (77.7%).....& teams off a loss (chicago) were 28-8-1 ats ((77,7%).
balt.-3 (buy)...
got this when the line first came out at 3.5...& bought it down.
the question for this game is.....which is indy's true defense..the one who played 16 regular season games or the one who showed up last week against k.c.....i'm betting it's the former.
in last week's game,it showed why k.c. got fleeced by the jets when they had to give up a draft choice to the jets in order to hire a mediocre coach in herm edwards. all indy did last week was play 8 or 9 players in the box ( by placing the safety's up at the line of scrimmage) & dare k.c. to beat them with their passing attack....k.c. didn't make any adjustments & couldn't take advantage of the many holes in the indy defense.
the balt. offense is much better balanced than the k.c. offense was....true balt. doesn't have the same effective running attack as k.c. did, but balt. does have 3 players with at least 65 pass receptions which should open up the running lanes for the balt. backs. in this game if indy stacks the line again...look for balt. to take shots down the middle of the field with todd heap.by doing this, the indy safety's will have to move back which will allow balt. to be able to run against a very small defensive front 7.
since billick has been calling the offensive plays, balt. has averaged about 24 points per game.on the road this year, indy has given up about 27 points per game (every team scored at least 20 points),have allowed an average of 200 rushing yards per game (5.5 ypr) & 64.6 completeion %.
on the other side of the ball, we all know how productive the indy offense is & how stingy the balt. is....but this info caught my attention...balt. has out sacked their opponents 60-17 on the season & 30-1 in the last 6 games. they have a 28/14 int/td ratio. their defense has scored 6 tds, while allowing 21 all season.the balt.
manning is a rhythm passer....i think the balt. defense will try to break up mannings rhythm...they are comfortable playing the 4-3,3-4, or 4-4 defense....they can blitz from all directions, which should cover for any matchup weaknesses.
since they have a veteran team, i also think that it was huge that balt. had a bye last week. i think they are ready & primed to win this game by double digits.
good luck.
in case anybody is interested here are some divisional trends...
rested home teams in the nfl playoffs are 76-24 su....& 57-40-3 ats since 1980....but 10-9-1 ats over the last 5 years.
also since 1980, if you just played on the teams with the better win % in the divisional games..you would have gone....140-92-6 ats (60.3%)...in this year's matchups balt.,phil.,chicago,& s.d. have the better win %.also among those 238 teams,dogs(phil.) were 21-6-1 ats (77.7%).....& teams off a loss (chicago) were 28-8-1 ats ((77,7%).
balt.-3 (buy)...
got this when the line first came out at 3.5...& bought it down.
the question for this game is.....which is indy's true defense..the one who played 16 regular season games or the one who showed up last week against k.c.....i'm betting it's the former.
in last week's game,it showed why k.c. got fleeced by the jets when they had to give up a draft choice to the jets in order to hire a mediocre coach in herm edwards. all indy did last week was play 8 or 9 players in the box ( by placing the safety's up at the line of scrimmage) & dare k.c. to beat them with their passing attack....k.c. didn't make any adjustments & couldn't take advantage of the many holes in the indy defense.
the balt. offense is much better balanced than the k.c. offense was....true balt. doesn't have the same effective running attack as k.c. did, but balt. does have 3 players with at least 65 pass receptions which should open up the running lanes for the balt. backs. in this game if indy stacks the line again...look for balt. to take shots down the middle of the field with todd heap.by doing this, the indy safety's will have to move back which will allow balt. to be able to run against a very small defensive front 7.
since billick has been calling the offensive plays, balt. has averaged about 24 points per game.on the road this year, indy has given up about 27 points per game (every team scored at least 20 points),have allowed an average of 200 rushing yards per game (5.5 ypr) & 64.6 completeion %.
on the other side of the ball, we all know how productive the indy offense is & how stingy the balt. is....but this info caught my attention...balt. has out sacked their opponents 60-17 on the season & 30-1 in the last 6 games. they have a 28/14 int/td ratio. their defense has scored 6 tds, while allowing 21 all season.the balt.
manning is a rhythm passer....i think the balt. defense will try to break up mannings rhythm...they are comfortable playing the 4-3,3-4, or 4-4 defense....they can blitz from all directions, which should cover for any matchup weaknesses.
since they have a veteran team, i also think that it was huge that balt. had a bye last week. i think they are ready & primed to win this game by double digits.
good luck.
