I am very strongly backing the Indianapolis colts+7-, I will play the total in that game to go under 53, but am playing Indy very large. Also playing San Diego +10. Denver will win by 1-4 I think. I bought a point on under 48- (-130) on Seattle /n. o . Total. I am strongly considering Indy ml as well, think they win by 7. This is the best of what I've got this week, may post a play on sf total later.
Divisional Playoffs
- Thread starter edludes
- Start date
Indy is the only wildcard team to advance and not cover vs the opening line. They opened at -2- last week. This translates to me as playing below expectations, even w an exciting one point win. This increases the chances of them playing above expectations this week. On the other side the patriots won and went over twice back to back the last two games before entering the playoffsscoring 41 v Baltimore and 34 v Blo. This is almost the same position Cinn was in last week. when a team covers, goes over, and scores top heavy amount of points ( defined as 30 or more) two weeks in a row, they become a bet against and or under look the third week. Great offensive dynasty's in the past might add a third, fourth or in some rare cases a fifth week but these instances are the exception. It means to me that NE is ripe to not cover vs a team that advanced without covering last week. I know who I'm playing every time in this case. Also the Lem Banker method of forecasting the final score shows Indy winning 17-10. Getting 7-. The same method show Denver and sd around28-27. Denver has also covered its last two before playoffs scoring in the thirtys both times. San Diego s defense has been very underrated . Playing s chargers plus points.
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The score forecasting is only one of the tools I use, and I like it when it supports other reasoning, which it does big time in Indy/ne side and total. It showed Indy winning with a really low total. It can b wrong by 2tds side and total and ill still win.w that much "margin for error" I feel confident . The score forecasting supported San Deigo covering comfortably, and it showed 27 points scored in Seattle w the hawks winning 17-10. It does not support the over in Carolina , and I may buy that one back after reading steve smiths comments on the paper today. There are other very strong reason s to play Indy, I outlined a few above. Same w San deigo. Thanks for asking.
Buying a point and playingNew Orleans +11 (-130). Should b bare knuckle defensive struggle . My opinion is Seattle by seven and way under. Already posted my under. Seattles offense has not jelled yet from my viewpoint, and the 3rd and 4th best corners are playing w those two amazing safeties and that worries me against this opponent for obvious reason. I think both defenses play their asses off and the points r too many.
Parlayed the under 45 seattle when it was at 45 yesterday w Indy+7 and under 51 New England. On Tuesday I parlayed Indy+71, under 52- New England and Denver+9. Each 500to win 3000. Lot of over play in the New England game people thinking about Indy last week and thinking Brady will have his day. I think The total will b a clear under and am putting my money on it.
A clear and flagrant hold by mankind on the second td run goes uncalled and in acknowledged by the announcers he had his arms around the guy he was " blocking"
They crawl back with an eye poppingly accurate td pass by luck. No one has been so good so young since Dan Marino .
Lost as clearly as one could lose on the Indy game and total. Congrats to the smart ones who went the other way. Got over 40 in caro game, got sd +9 from earlier in the week buying a point on the caro total as previously posted and am adding over 53 -130 buying a point. Playing this total for the max.
Sure he threw the intys, but his accuracy and arm strength the speed the ball gets there reminds me of Dan Marino . Dan dierdorf recognized him for having great down the field accuracy then mused about how great he would b in the future. I guess I'll b happy to b in the company of Dan the hall of fame nfl player and professional color man than yyz, spewing his hourly dose of negativity because his life is so empty and bad
Dan Dildorf is the same clown who thought it was bad that NE gave up a safety instead of laying on the ball on the two yard line and letting the Dolts score 3 or 7 instead.
That's priceless.
Hang in there on these late plays.
