Do I EVER have a story foryas today...
- Thread starter Jimboski
- Start date
Sorry boutt thatt
Sorry boutt thatt
So much for the introduction...
Make that - "HAS A 90% + CHANCE OF LEADING FOR 7/8THS OF THE DANG RACE".
They pretty much ruined the rest of the races for today for me with all the scratches and turf races. You know, like 12 horse fields cut in half to 6 starters like the 10th race. Turf races are not too friendly to me.
No "90 percenters" to today, but here are some thoughts for the remaining races...
Upcoming 7th race 5 mins to post.. no. 5 and no. 9. There's a "LOOKER" in this race, no. 4. BTW, the no. 1 was one hell of a LOOKER in today's 2nd race. More about that race in the story for today.
Sorry boutt thatt
So much for the introduction...
Make that - "HAS A 90% + CHANCE OF LEADING FOR 7/8THS OF THE DANG RACE".
They pretty much ruined the rest of the races for today for me with all the scratches and turf races. You know, like 12 horse fields cut in half to 6 starters like the 10th race. Turf races are not too friendly to me.
No "90 percenters" to today, but here are some thoughts for the remaining races...
Upcoming 7th race 5 mins to post.. no. 5 and no. 9. There's a "LOOKER" in this race, no. 4. BTW, the no. 1 was one hell of a LOOKER in today's 2nd race. More about that race in the story for today.
That's a bit BETter
That's a bit BETter
UGH, I didn't even mention what wace twack I'm "talkin" about... PHILADELPHIA PARK (that's what I call it; others call it PARX... YUCK!). Some people around here know that Philly is the ONLY track I play.
Ok, no. 5 did get the place at 10/1 in the 7th.
The 8th and 9th are a joke, 2 picks in the decimated 10th left - no. 6 which is a 90 percenter and no. 10 which is a hoss I almost jump on EVERY time it runs. That one, Kobel, is one TOUGH, TOUGH, front runner but I he could get challenged today and that means keeping the bet on the kinda low. Didn't even look at the 11th cause I'm still in shock about what happened in the 2nd wace
That's a bit BETter
UGH, I didn't even mention what wace twack I'm "talkin" about... PHILADELPHIA PARK (that's what I call it; others call it PARX... YUCK!). Some people around here know that Philly is the ONLY track I play.
Ok, no. 5 did get the place at 10/1 in the 7th.
The 8th and 9th are a joke, 2 picks in the decimated 10th left - no. 6 which is a 90 percenter and no. 10 which is a hoss I almost jump on EVERY time it runs. That one, Kobel, is one TOUGH, TOUGH, front runner but I he could get challenged today and that means keeping the bet on the kinda low. Didn't even look at the 11th cause I'm still in shock about what happened in the 2nd wace
Here's the whole deal -
Here's the whole deal -
I cannot expect anybody to believe the paranormal events (like.. ah, SPOOKY) that went on at my desk yesterday. There sure as hell some spooky stuff going on yesterday around here cause there's no way I'm gonna successfully HANDICAP each of the 3 HUMUNGUS payoffs I collected. Check out that 2nd race.... the 4, 6, and 11 were the 3 horses I capped for the 2nd half of the daily double. Now, how did I come up with the no. 1 hoss? Well, if you checked my OLD posts, you'll see the word "LOOKERS" and that hoss was a L@@KER. That is, had all the things I look for when they were in the paddock and in the post parade. No way that I could have handicapped that bomber. Yeah, I did a nice job finding the 4 horses I came up with for that race. You know ... the 4 HORSES THAT COMPLETED A 10 CENT SUPER THAT PAID $6,000+. . Dang, what a screw up betting wise... every exotic bet winner for that 2nd race was in my hand and what kind of ticket did I cash?... A stinkin $2 w/pl ticket on no. 1. Actually, I can't complain about that I guess.
Little did I know what was ahead for me. Check out the 9th race which I am gonna take credit for cause I did handicap that wiener. But the funny thing was the way the 11th race went. After I hit the 9th bonanza, I bet the 11th and didn't even watch the race. Instead I went in another room to tell my wife about hitting the tri. in the 9th and told her got my favorite exacta nos. going for me in the 11th, nos. 2-6 boxed. I told her I'd shit a brick if that 32/1 shot over the 14/1 shot would complete the exacta. I just could not believe what I saw as entered the computer room just in time to catch the stretch run for the 11th. JUST UN freakin real. If I didn't bet over a thousand races in my life - I didn't bet ONE. But, I NEVER EVA saw anything like the day I had yesterday.
I copied my report (Twine Spires makes these reports foryas). The cut and paste thingy comes out like crap here, but it is all here. Bottom line is at the end of the report... total bet for the day, $109, collected $1,029.05. Even a little Mickey Mouse bettor can make it happen with the help of a little magic.
BTW, I try to do a better job posting today. See the new thread.
Here ya go...
COMPLETED: 3af67-d053e
PRX
#11
$1 Exacta BN, 6, WT, 1, 2, 3, 8, 9 none $10.00
$447.00
+ $437.00
COMPLETED: 464d1-46e76
PRX
#11
$2 WP 6 none $4.00
$94.00
+ $90.00
COMPLETED: 5b645-ffac9
PRX
#11
$0.50 Trifecta 1, 8, WT, 3, 4, WT, 1, 3, 4, 8, 9 none $6.00
$0.00
- $6.00
COMPLETED: df962-b29b1
PRX
#11
$1 Exacta 3, 4, WT, 1, 4, 8, 9 none $7.00
$0.00
- $7.00
COMPLETED: b7094-9b242
PRX
#9
$6 Place 1 none $6.00
$15.00
+ $9.00
COMPLETED: 2740d-2ded1
PRX
#9
$10 Win 1 none $10.00
$0.00
- $10.00
COMPLETED: cd789-26ab9
PRX
#9
$0.50 Trifecta 1, 6, 7, 8, WT, 2, WT, 1, 6, 7, 8 none $6.00
$0.00
- $6.00
COMPLETED: 3e7f9-ca78c
PRX
#9
$0.50 Trifecta 2, WT, 1, 6, 7, 8, WT, 1, 6, 7, 8 none $6.00
$289.65
+ $283.65
COMPLETED: 89f1b-54a2e
PRX
#7
$1 Exacta BN, 5, WT, 9 none $2.00
$0.00
- $2.00
COMPLETED: f77cd-1f557
PRX
#7
$1 Exacta BX, 4, 5, 9 none $6.00
$0.00
- $6.00
COMPLETED: ee154-cea9a
PRX
#4
$2 WP 7 none $4.00
$0.00
- $4.00
COMPLETED: 1f40d-6977e
PRX
#4
$1 Exacta 6, 7, 8, WT, 3 none $3.00
$0.00
- $3.00
COMPLETED: 27c1b-570e1
PRX
#4
$2 Exacta 3, WT, 6, 7, 8 none $6.00
$0.00
- $6.00
COMPLETED: 35f7f-acbf9
PRX
#2
$2 WP 1, 4 none $8.00
$177.40
+ $169.40
COMPLETED: 1d555-160ef
PRX
#1
$2 Double 1, WT, 4, 6, 11 none $6.00
$6.00
$0.00
COMPLETED: e1421-b72cd
PRX
#1
$2 Double 4, WT, 4, 11 none $4.00
$0.00
- $4.00
COMPLETED: 6c465-2be01
PRX
#1
$3 Double 4, WT, 6 none $3.00
$0.00
- $3.00
COMPLETED: 77405-283dd
PRX
#1
$3 Double 7, WT, 4, 6, 11 none $9.00
$0.00
- $9.00
Account Balance: $1,117.20
Total (accepted wagers): $106.00 $1,029.05 + $923.05
Here's the whole deal -
I cannot expect anybody to believe the paranormal events (like.. ah, SPOOKY) that went on at my desk yesterday. There sure as hell some spooky stuff going on yesterday around here cause there's no way I'm gonna successfully HANDICAP each of the 3 HUMUNGUS payoffs I collected. Check out that 2nd race.... the 4, 6, and 11 were the 3 horses I capped for the 2nd half of the daily double. Now, how did I come up with the no. 1 hoss? Well, if you checked my OLD posts, you'll see the word "LOOKERS" and that hoss was a L@@KER. That is, had all the things I look for when they were in the paddock and in the post parade. No way that I could have handicapped that bomber. Yeah, I did a nice job finding the 4 horses I came up with for that race. You know ... the 4 HORSES THAT COMPLETED A 10 CENT SUPER THAT PAID $6,000+. . Dang, what a screw up betting wise... every exotic bet winner for that 2nd race was in my hand and what kind of ticket did I cash?... A stinkin $2 w/pl ticket on no. 1. Actually, I can't complain about that I guess.
Little did I know what was ahead for me. Check out the 9th race which I am gonna take credit for cause I did handicap that wiener. But the funny thing was the way the 11th race went. After I hit the 9th bonanza, I bet the 11th and didn't even watch the race. Instead I went in another room to tell my wife about hitting the tri. in the 9th and told her got my favorite exacta nos. going for me in the 11th, nos. 2-6 boxed. I told her I'd shit a brick if that 32/1 shot over the 14/1 shot would complete the exacta. I just could not believe what I saw as entered the computer room just in time to catch the stretch run for the 11th. JUST UN freakin real. If I didn't bet over a thousand races in my life - I didn't bet ONE. But, I NEVER EVA saw anything like the day I had yesterday.
I copied my report (Twine Spires makes these reports foryas). The cut and paste thingy comes out like crap here, but it is all here. Bottom line is at the end of the report... total bet for the day, $109, collected $1,029.05. Even a little Mickey Mouse bettor can make it happen with the help of a little magic.
BTW, I try to do a better job posting today. See the new thread.
Here ya go...
COMPLETED: 3af67-d053e
PRX
#11
$1 Exacta BN, 6, WT, 1, 2, 3, 8, 9 none $10.00
$447.00
+ $437.00
COMPLETED: 464d1-46e76
PRX
#11
$2 WP 6 none $4.00
$94.00
+ $90.00
COMPLETED: 5b645-ffac9
PRX
#11
$0.50 Trifecta 1, 8, WT, 3, 4, WT, 1, 3, 4, 8, 9 none $6.00
$0.00
- $6.00
COMPLETED: df962-b29b1
PRX
#11
$1 Exacta 3, 4, WT, 1, 4, 8, 9 none $7.00
$0.00
- $7.00
COMPLETED: b7094-9b242
PRX
#9
$6 Place 1 none $6.00
$15.00
+ $9.00
COMPLETED: 2740d-2ded1
PRX
#9
$10 Win 1 none $10.00
$0.00
- $10.00
COMPLETED: cd789-26ab9
PRX
#9
$0.50 Trifecta 1, 6, 7, 8, WT, 2, WT, 1, 6, 7, 8 none $6.00
$0.00
- $6.00
COMPLETED: 3e7f9-ca78c
PRX
#9
$0.50 Trifecta 2, WT, 1, 6, 7, 8, WT, 1, 6, 7, 8 none $6.00
$289.65
+ $283.65
COMPLETED: 89f1b-54a2e
PRX
#7
$1 Exacta BN, 5, WT, 9 none $2.00
$0.00
- $2.00
COMPLETED: f77cd-1f557
PRX
#7
$1 Exacta BX, 4, 5, 9 none $6.00
$0.00
- $6.00
COMPLETED: ee154-cea9a
PRX
#4
$2 WP 7 none $4.00
$0.00
- $4.00
COMPLETED: 1f40d-6977e
PRX
#4
$1 Exacta 6, 7, 8, WT, 3 none $3.00
$0.00
- $3.00
COMPLETED: 27c1b-570e1
PRX
#4
$2 Exacta 3, WT, 6, 7, 8 none $6.00
$0.00
- $6.00
COMPLETED: 35f7f-acbf9
PRX
#2
$2 WP 1, 4 none $8.00
$177.40
+ $169.40
COMPLETED: 1d555-160ef
PRX
#1
$2 Double 1, WT, 4, 6, 11 none $6.00
$6.00
$0.00
COMPLETED: e1421-b72cd
PRX
#1
$2 Double 4, WT, 4, 11 none $4.00
$0.00
- $4.00
COMPLETED: 6c465-2be01
PRX
#1
$3 Double 4, WT, 6 none $3.00
$0.00
- $3.00
COMPLETED: 77405-283dd
PRX
#1
$3 Double 7, WT, 4, 6, 11 none $9.00
$0.00
- $9.00
Account Balance: $1,117.20
Total (accepted wagers): $106.00 $1,029.05 + $923.05
yup philly park i still call it as in like late 70's through 80's i was race track every weekend and many times during week
HERES some solid handicapping tips that will eliminate many horses on your card every race
1st off toss out any horse that has been out of action one month or more after a win.
thats the reg claimers and allowance horses
2nd never bet the favorite just because it's the favorite or NOT bet the favorite because it is the favorite
always always watch out for a recent winner vs field of losers even if horse only won a madien race
never bet the 1 post in a field of 9 or more in any sprint unless that horse has outstanding speed and stay clear of the the others best time at every call 1/4 half 3/4 and close
above all speed is result of everything else being in place
DO NOT bet a horse out of it's class especially if horse got nipped or barely won last race blowing a huge lead ....
This argumaent has gone on for eons speed boys vs the guys who classed thier horses
Remember only one horse wins the race
BUT a second place longshot will pay better than a 1-9 or 3/5 winner
blew it last week 1st race trotters northfield couldnt bet it winner wasa solid at 1-9 but mo fuking 45 -1 longshot runs solid 2nd 2 lenghts behind 1-9 chalk
paid $18.80 to place and fucking $9.20 to show :facepalm:
Throughbreds and trotters are two differnt types of handicapping
Trotters are easier to handicap you need these horse to race agin within 10 days of last race if it won or ran good race
Throughbreds 2 - 3 weeks for claimers and allowance horses
one factor in history of all racetracks world wide the 4 winningest post positions are the 2 - 4 - 6-7
many people will over bet favorites because a top jockey is riding it.
i seen so many false favorites run up the track it's amazing
also workouts mean nothing the horse is just alone on the track being timed for short distances.
simlple way to handicap every race no matter where you are.
you need the racing form 1st off betting without it is stupid
a calculator also
using at laest 6 races for this year divide number of races into total money won if less than 6 races use last years also
looks like this say horse in post 2 ran 10 races with 1 win 4 places 2 shows won $12,000
so horse gets class rating of earning 1200 per race now add to that number using last 6 races
50 points for each 3rd place finish 100 for each second place and 300 for each win
say this horse had 2 shows and two 2 nd place;;; no wins add 300 to the 1200 horse gets rating of 1500 which means this horse is a contender to get in the money
also there only 4 horses to contend in every race forget the odds board no matter what that board says rember the public handicappers and the guys talking influence bettors
I cant tell you how many super longshots i had and people always ask how i came up with it
i quickly show them how i handicap every race at only ONE FUCKING RACE TRACK
many times the 4 horses i cap fall in order to thier ratings exactly
say i get winner at 2680 next horse is 2620 3rd place is 1970 4th rated is 990
luckily the players feell for phony chalk that was last gasp winner by a nose in a head to head speed duel bet down to 1/5 favorite my winner was sweet 5-1 the fav faded badly after 1/2 to dead last :00hour
many people dont belive in weights well trust me a horse carrying 122 pounds better be way better than the ones carying 110
yes horses are huge but think about it they feel that weight on thier backs even in sprint races for how long 1 min 12 secs most in 6 furlongs
Trotters break stride do to pushing the slower horse to keep pace with horses 1 1/2 seconds faster than thier best time is
another fact that cause horse who fron run is Head winds in back stretch >>> they are sucking a 10 MPH or more that horse will fade in home stretch and wind up off the board no matter what lead they have ealry even 10 lenghts
the tracks i know that have closers a lot Maedowlands, Balmoral; Philly Park or PARX
Penn national
many horses ran in bad conditions last race maybe muddy or rain wet was favored and got hammered ran 10th 30 lenghts behind winner throw out that last race if back on fast dry surface
one thing matters in all your reg horse races they must be raced into condition.
YOU want ahorse that ran decent at end of last race saty in same conditions like purse and nonj winners of 3 races this year
you mark off horses that were ahead at 3/4 but lost lenghts at end EX:
back by 1 lenght in 2nd finshed 4th by 5 lenghts that = a minus 4
no matter how high that horse rating is look else where
yes sometimes every horse is negative still theres usally 1 or 3 who get a + or say 0 like they held that spot at finsih
I know this all seems like a lot to do ...... but it works most races you have 20 mins between them
i can handicap any field in 15 mins elimanting half of horses in seconds
IF i lose a race to a horse i threw out i go back to see WTF i missed and always find it.
ALSO no one has gun to your haed to bet that race if you cannot establsh 4 clear horses with at laest 1 of them to get in the money pass go to next race start handicapping
:00hour
HERES some solid handicapping tips that will eliminate many horses on your card every race
1st off toss out any horse that has been out of action one month or more after a win.
thats the reg claimers and allowance horses
2nd never bet the favorite just because it's the favorite or NOT bet the favorite because it is the favorite
always always watch out for a recent winner vs field of losers even if horse only won a madien race
never bet the 1 post in a field of 9 or more in any sprint unless that horse has outstanding speed and stay clear of the the others best time at every call 1/4 half 3/4 and close
above all speed is result of everything else being in place
DO NOT bet a horse out of it's class especially if horse got nipped or barely won last race blowing a huge lead ....
This argumaent has gone on for eons speed boys vs the guys who classed thier horses
Remember only one horse wins the race
BUT a second place longshot will pay better than a 1-9 or 3/5 winner
blew it last week 1st race trotters northfield couldnt bet it winner wasa solid at 1-9 but mo fuking 45 -1 longshot runs solid 2nd 2 lenghts behind 1-9 chalk
paid $18.80 to place and fucking $9.20 to show :facepalm:
Throughbreds and trotters are two differnt types of handicapping
Trotters are easier to handicap you need these horse to race agin within 10 days of last race if it won or ran good race
Throughbreds 2 - 3 weeks for claimers and allowance horses
one factor in history of all racetracks world wide the 4 winningest post positions are the 2 - 4 - 6-7
many people will over bet favorites because a top jockey is riding it.
i seen so many false favorites run up the track it's amazing
also workouts mean nothing the horse is just alone on the track being timed for short distances.
simlple way to handicap every race no matter where you are.
you need the racing form 1st off betting without it is stupid
a calculator also
using at laest 6 races for this year divide number of races into total money won if less than 6 races use last years also
looks like this say horse in post 2 ran 10 races with 1 win 4 places 2 shows won $12,000
so horse gets class rating of earning 1200 per race now add to that number using last 6 races
50 points for each 3rd place finish 100 for each second place and 300 for each win
say this horse had 2 shows and two 2 nd place;;; no wins add 300 to the 1200 horse gets rating of 1500 which means this horse is a contender to get in the money
also there only 4 horses to contend in every race forget the odds board no matter what that board says rember the public handicappers and the guys talking influence bettors
I cant tell you how many super longshots i had and people always ask how i came up with it
i quickly show them how i handicap every race at only ONE FUCKING RACE TRACK
many times the 4 horses i cap fall in order to thier ratings exactly
say i get winner at 2680 next horse is 2620 3rd place is 1970 4th rated is 990
luckily the players feell for phony chalk that was last gasp winner by a nose in a head to head speed duel bet down to 1/5 favorite my winner was sweet 5-1 the fav faded badly after 1/2 to dead last :00hour
many people dont belive in weights well trust me a horse carrying 122 pounds better be way better than the ones carying 110
yes horses are huge but think about it they feel that weight on thier backs even in sprint races for how long 1 min 12 secs most in 6 furlongs
Trotters break stride do to pushing the slower horse to keep pace with horses 1 1/2 seconds faster than thier best time is
another fact that cause horse who fron run is Head winds in back stretch >>> they are sucking a 10 MPH or more that horse will fade in home stretch and wind up off the board no matter what lead they have ealry even 10 lenghts
the tracks i know that have closers a lot Maedowlands, Balmoral; Philly Park or PARX
Penn national
many horses ran in bad conditions last race maybe muddy or rain wet was favored and got hammered ran 10th 30 lenghts behind winner throw out that last race if back on fast dry surface
one thing matters in all your reg horse races they must be raced into condition.
YOU want ahorse that ran decent at end of last race saty in same conditions like purse and nonj winners of 3 races this year
you mark off horses that were ahead at 3/4 but lost lenghts at end EX:
back by 1 lenght in 2nd finshed 4th by 5 lenghts that = a minus 4
no matter how high that horse rating is look else where
yes sometimes every horse is negative still theres usally 1 or 3 who get a + or say 0 like they held that spot at finsih
I know this all seems like a lot to do ...... but it works most races you have 20 mins between them
i can handicap any field in 15 mins elimanting half of horses in seconds
IF i lose a race to a horse i threw out i go back to see WTF i missed and always find it.
ALSO no one has gun to your haed to bet that race if you cannot establsh 4 clear horses with at laest 1 of them to get in the money pass go to next race start handicapping
:00hour
