Do you put much weight in consensus and line moves?

[Penguinfan]

Tonight is a good example in the Buffalo v NIU.

77% of wagers on Buffalo yet the line moved down a point to -3. I'm with the majority here and think Buffalo has the better offense and should win by more than a TD, but with everyone thinking that and the line going the other way I'm concerned.

Any thoughts?

 

[taoist]

...been trying to make that point for the last few weeks. :0008

 

[taoist]

:shrug:

 

[53defense]

:shrug:

Both of you raise interesting points.... ....

And I remember you mentioning it T ....

seems like this has happened multiple times in recent weeks :shrug::shrug::shrug:

Think you read them as much as you would any other "trend"....... Some put more weight to trends than others.

 

[taoist]

...trends don't pay the rent. :nono:

 

[arrow]

ok

ok

in 40 years of handicapping i have learned that line movements that don't involve weather are meaningless to me after the first 1 hour of posting.

 

[ejthree]

Generally for me if the game moves and NEVER any opposition usually sharp and solid...Generally a 1-3 point move i look for...IMO

 

[PJ12]

IMO Lines move to equalize books action therefor all those line moves on consensus sites will look crazy and will confuse the shit of line watchers. Fading moves this year have been pretty profitable for myself but isn't rock solid. It is tough to pick your spots but fading 65%+ sides workin pretty good at 1 of those sites :0074

GL

:toast:

 

[IX_Bender]

Nope, nothing to see here folks. Don't worry about the 23% on N.Illinois.