Does Alfred Morris score tonight?

[tball]

Revenge game of sorts, but that?s gotta be on back burner of OC?s mind. They need?m some points period. Running game -and any offense been non existent last couple weeks. Zeke clearly the engine in offense that makes everything go -and w/o him they?ve been stale to say the least. For last couple years dez hasn?t ever cemented himself as elite receiver that everyone was happy to have him labeled as. Running game less threatening and def (aside from that one tenacious pass rusher they have) look exposed. Beasley, Williams and Brice haven?t been picking up slack of offense and off line was overrun vs ATL - this team looks overmatched in good many areas.


so then, are they able to maintain a semblance of offense vs WASH tonight??? Skins def isn?t world beating by any means but they?re up against a flawed unit in Dallas right now. If ending up having to play from behind finds more usage for rod smith in backfield as better pass catcher.


My question then for the board is, do you see Dallas scoring enough in this one to keep competitive? Further too, will Alfred play tougher vs old squad (or have chance to)?

your take on outcome, flow of tonight?s game??? Whaddya got?

 

[IE]

Rod Smith, Running Back

Although Alfred Morris is likely to get the bulk of the carries, Rod Smith has a better running-style that is much closer to what Ezekiel Elliott does when he?s in the lineup. We?ve been waiting for the bruiser back to explode in the past three games. Against the Redskins in primetime would be the perfect opportunity to do so.

 

[Old School]

Sean Lee is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Washington ( Hamstring )


Boys should have the same problems they had against

GOFF
RODGERS
RYAN
RIVERS
WENTZ

crossing patterns and slants wide open with no Lee in the middle...

then when safties creep up Cousins will go deep ..


IMHO...if past games w/o Lee and Zeke are in fact a pattern...

there 5-0 now....If Morris or Smith haven't established they can run behind that now putrid O line Boys are again playing catch up .

Keep in mind what Redskins were able to OTR vs Seattle......even banged up they deflated the ball and got a W late.So they can get ugly if necessary

Good Luck To All...Asking teams to do right on Thursday is tough anyway...Asking the Cowboys who have scored a total of 19 points in their last 3 games to do something right ..

:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared:scared

 

[DZ]

I'll say this... the carries+targets split between Morris and Smith has certainly not been trending in Smith's favor over the past three games since Elliot has been out. In the Cowboys' first game without their star RB, Morris was the clear favorite for touches, but each game his opportunities have gone down to the point of a 50/50 split between the two, with Smith actually out-touching Morris 11-10 last week and out-snapping him 62%-36% vs the Chargers.

Week 10:


Week 11:


Week 12:


Granted, there is certainly something to fact that the Cowboys were playing from behind for most of the game against the Chargers and Smith has been the back of choice on pass plays and 3rd downs, but if you look back the game flows have been very similar over the last three games with the Cowboys playing from behind for all of, or most, of the second half in each. Given that, one would assume that the Cowboys would need to take a lead and be able to hold on to one to give Morris the opportunities in the run game. As has been the trend over the last few years in the games he has missed, the absence of Sean Lee has been extremely detrimental to their defense and, thus, their ability to hold a lead. Additionally, Morris would need to be getting opportunities close to the opponents' goal line or within the red zone. I will continue isolating the last three games because of the key injuries in that span of Sean Lee and the LT Smith, as well as the loss of Elliot to suspension. In their past three games their trips to the red zone have been extremely limited, having run 17 total plays in that part of the field. Of those plays, most have taken place late in the game when trailing, dictating 12 passes to 5 runs. Of those 5 runs, 2 have gone to Rod Smith for 8 total yards and a TD, one 11-yard TD rush for Prescott and 2 rushes by Morris for a grand total of -1 yards (rushes of 1 yard and -2 yards). Their only 2 plays within the opponents 10 yard line occurred last week against when trailing 16-0 in the 4th qtr, which were successful rushes by Rod Smith for 6 yards and a 2 yard TD. Bottom line, Morris is not getting the opportunities and furthermore, the Dallas coaching staff may be recognizing the fact that Smith has been the more successful rusher of the two (on a per play basis) on designed running plays and early downs, when he does get those opportunities, even when factoring in the results of the entire season.

As for the revenge angle, well, something tells me that the 5-6 Cowboys, in desperate need of a win to keep their playoff hopes alive, cannot afford to put one player's motivation ahead of the team's clear success with another who probably gives them a better chance to win. Either way, one should take the small sample size of the past three games with a heavy grain of salt, because anything can happen in a single game. My guess is that Morris' best chance of scoring a TD would come on 1st or 2nd down from a yard or two away from goal line after a pass interference call in the end zone. It's possible, but I wouldn't bank on it.

All that said, watch him break a 40-yard TD and make me look silly with this long drawn-out reply :lol:

 

[IX_Bender]

my mathematical numbers have DAL as the first team to score, not by much, but I trust the numbers


that being said, I don't trust dez the psycho or have any +ev value on anyone else


I'm taking Alfredo to not only score, but score the 1st td

a dozen times this year ive had the right team and even the right position and lost.


So, prob will be rod smith but I simply cannot stomach getting a bRB at less than 10/1


Skins D is allowing near 5 ypc last month or so and Dallas KNOWS they must own the TOP battle to win


GL

(not a full unit big bet, but I don't play for 'fun' so still pays 4 figs)

 

[DZ]

Sean Lee is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Washington ( Hamstring )


Boys should have the same problems they had against

GOFF
RODGERS
RYAN
RIVERS
WENTZ

crossing patterns and slants wide open with no Lee in the middle...

Took a strong look at this earlier with consideration to making another play on a Skins TE prop, but then I remember how Davis burned us last week against the Giants and combine that with fact that Ertz (PHI) had a relatively quiet game in week 11 against the Boys and I couldn't pull the trigger on that one. I did play a couple of props, which I'll post shortly in the in-game thread. -gl

 

[tball]

I have Morris in fantasy and believe he reaches it over end line for a TD in this one. Also habe the over in 1h -think offenses might click early on -we?ll see, GLA

 

[bleedingpurple]

I have Morris in fantasy and believe he reaches it over end line for a TD in this one. Also habe the over in 1h -think offenses might click early on -we’ll see, GLA

They might not get a first down.