FAWK I just can't do it laying on HUGE favs ML or -?. I did that the first week and they all seemed to ****in tie or lose their ass. I think i'm gonna stick to my bases method and just grind it out. No more favs for me. I have never made money betting FAVS in my life anyways, why I thought I could do it in pucks is beyond me. I give myself a goal of picking winners at at 48% -52% clip on DOGS only. Then again I'm probably just a SQUARE pucks player.
best advice I can give you is to take ML when playing dogs. the lower payout with a +1/2 or +1 isn't worth it in long run.
Thanks brother, I have these 4 i'm looking at.
Pho +200
Pitt +180
Min +202
SJ +135
So playing PHO, and Min +? +150 would not be worth it? No pun intended either. I do know my capping, but definitely not in Pucks. Always willing to learn here.
Pho +200
Pitt +180
Min +202
SJ +135
So playing PHO, and Min +? +150 would not be worth it? No pun intended either. I do know my capping, but definitely not in Pucks. Always willing to learn here.
You can pick your spots well and play dogs, but there is no
point forcing picks on big dogs expecting them to come thru.
I agree totally with the high juice:nono:
But sometimes, especially in Hockey you have to suck it up and risk the juice because some outcomes a inevitable(sp).
I'm sure there will be many different opinions.
Vince
point forcing picks on big dogs expecting them to come thru.
I agree totally with the high juice:nono:
But sometimes, especially in Hockey you have to suck it up and risk the juice because some outcomes a inevitable(sp).
I'm sure there will be many different opinions.
Vince
well Antonio............I myself do like the +1.5 and the +0.5 .....but that discussion has gone on here about 50 times......and we never agree.........
my opinion is wait until after the game...then once you know who won bet on them.......I find that works 100 % of the time
my opinion is wait until after the game...then once you know who won bet on them.......I find that works 100 % of the time
This is just my personal opinion. I don't really start pounding dogs until maybe 2 weeks to 1 month into the season. The 1st 3 days of the season was just a freak of nature, and the dogs barked big time over the next 3 days. So it all evens out. I agree with Vince, you Still gotta pick your spots just like MLB, and not playing them blindly. Like Minny tonite for example, the odds are overwhelmingly against them to beat Colo because they knocked them out of the playoffs last yr, and knocked Patty Roy into retirement. Playing without Gaborik, Dupuis, and Park, facing a team with big time improvement on offense, waiting all off-season to get another shot at Minny for revenge, makes this big dog very unattractive. Minny might pull the upset, after all, they still have to play the game. But I wouldn't bet them with your money. You know what I mean??
Good luck, buddy
Good luck, buddy
for sides
.... low line movement from your sharp books(you know which ones)from overnight opening, then line change to the dog late with eastern money at approx 6:40 est too closing will keep you afloat.
.... low line movement from your sharp books(you know which ones)from overnight opening, then line change to the dog late with eastern money at approx 6:40 est too closing will keep you afloat.
archive and paste into microsoft access the livelines page from
bestbettor
no better resource out there...if you work at it i think.
bestbettor
no better resource out there...if you work at it i think.
I bet virtually all dogs. In my personal opinion it is better to take the 1/2 puck even if it means you are paying a price over +100. I do play a favorite from time to time. When I do in most cases is is -1/2 plus money.
I think it is like anything else where you have to find the type of wagers you are comfortable with.
I think it is like anything else where you have to find the type of wagers you are comfortable with.
I'm at work so I don't have the numbers for previous seasons.
For this year, we have 11 ties out of 67 games so far. That's a tie in 16.4% of the games.
I read it elsewhere last year but can't find it. You can run the numbers yourself but based on the percentage of ties, the cost of that half goal isn't worth it in the long run.
For this year, we have 11 ties out of 67 games so far. That's a tie in 16.4% of the games.
I read it elsewhere last year but can't find it. You can run the numbers yourself but based on the percentage of ties, the cost of that half goal isn't worth it in the long run.
I know I will get people calling me crazy here, but I think NHL is the only game where you have to vary your units played on games to make a profit. The favorites do cover more in the NHL than in any other sport, but they get extremely expensive very quicky in pucks, I have already seen lines at -250 which is suicide in the long run, but bumping a play to 2 or 3 units when you really like a favorite of -140 or less is OK in my book. Personally I only bet a favorite at home, I just don't like playing road chalk in the NHL. I will also take +.5 on a dog IF I DO NOT CROSS THE JUICE LINE, meaning I don't want to lay even 10 cents juice when I could be getting +money if I take em straight up, I will just live with the tie if that happens, on the opposite side I am willing to lay the half goal if it crosses the line from laying juice to getting juice, personally I think losing the occasional tie is worth the estra money I make on winning bets, and don't forget the money you save when your favorite loses outright. NHL more than anything is about the juice you are laying or not laying, it is similar to baseball in that sense, but in bases you are betting different pitchers every night, and bullpens come in to play along with weather, wind, etc... in hockey the goalie may change now and then, but for the most part what you see is what you get.
Penguinfan
Penguinfan
