I believe this will be tight contest. You don?t go on the road and beat Titans and Chiefs and then lay down in big game. I think Bengals will be there at the end.
Dogfight
- Thread starter Dizzayton
- Start date
You may want to pay attention
to how many commercials you see
favoring LA
That should be your clue
(my 2 cents)
to how many commercials you see
favoring LA
That should be your clue
(my 2 cents)
Teams that burnt cash in season also lost the SB ats or s/u
Patriots 2007 10-6 but end of year and Playoffs 2-8 ATS lost the SB to Giants as a huge 12 point chalk
2011 9/7 in season -3 in SB s/u loss to Giants 2nd time Giants beat them in New engalnd also
0-2
2014 Seatle 9/7 ATS -1 S/U Loss to Pats 24-28
0-3
2016 falcons 9/7 ats +3 lost SB in OT 28-34 (note low ranked SOS plus LOST to TB 1st home game )
0-4
2017 Patriots 11/5 in season -4 in SB s/u loss to eagles who also were great ats 10/5 (benched last game ) Patriots had 100% cover jinx of Playbook and madden cover jinx
2018 Rams 7/9 in season +2 in SB LOST 3-13
0-5
2012 49ERS 9/7 ats -4.5 S/U loss in SB 31-34
0-6
2021 CHIEFS 7/9 ats -3 IN superbowl S/U loss 9-31 (vegas goofed they knew Chiefs were injured plus losing thier center in finals but made them a fav.
at end they went 2-6 ats NOT counting final game at home they benched to chargers as a 7 pt home dog
0-7 100% losers in all superbowls
Rams went 7-10 ATS in season Bengals went 10-7 ATS
Patriots 2007 10-6 but end of year and Playoffs 2-8 ATS lost the SB to Giants as a huge 12 point chalk
2011 9/7 in season -3 in SB s/u loss to Giants 2nd time Giants beat them in New engalnd also
0-2
2014 Seatle 9/7 ATS -1 S/U Loss to Pats 24-28
0-3
2016 falcons 9/7 ats +3 lost SB in OT 28-34 (note low ranked SOS plus LOST to TB 1st home game )
0-4
2017 Patriots 11/5 in season -4 in SB s/u loss to eagles who also were great ats 10/5 (benched last game ) Patriots had 100% cover jinx of Playbook and madden cover jinx
2018 Rams 7/9 in season +2 in SB LOST 3-13
0-5
2012 49ERS 9/7 ats -4.5 S/U loss in SB 31-34
0-6
2021 CHIEFS 7/9 ats -3 IN superbowl S/U loss 9-31 (vegas goofed they knew Chiefs were injured plus losing thier center in finals but made them a fav.
at end they went 2-6 ats NOT counting final game at home they benched to chargers as a 7 pt home dog
0-7 100% losers in all superbowls
Rams went 7-10 ATS in season Bengals went 10-7 ATS
reverse psychology / public perception / "bait and switch"
hope this helps to clarify my original comment
(Disclaimer: I've been wrong before)
PS. Showing sb commercials favoring LA is the "bait"
PSS: Your first reply is why the lines maker is able to use this
psychological ploy so effectively.
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Just monopolies appealing to richer base of customers in California and LA has more pizazz. This game as always will be won by who makes the most plays in the biggest moments. LA is my lean, they are so stacked, and have all the right leadership in the right places to handle the moment.
Unless you're betting the ML, it's about "who covers".
The OL is intended to mystify the bettor.
Being "so stacked", right leadership in the right places, etc is irrelevant.
That's already been considered.
He knows what you're thinking and a whole lot more.
That's why the line is set where it is.
Public perception is a factor in his equation.
The linesmaker already knows the outcome.
He wants more than the juice.
He wants you to place your cash
on the wrong side.
And he's wiiling "to bet"
he can make you do just that.
He has more weapons in his arsenal than anyone could imagine.
My post about "subliminal manipulation"
is simply one of his deceitful tricks.
Granted, the jury is still out on it's effectiveness.
But I'm willing to wager the end result is in his favor more often than not.
I'm not watching the game.
I'll be in church.
Good luck.
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What do these corporations want you to think about?
Sportsbooks are no different.
They can and will use SB commercial images to their advantage.
(Where is the subtlety in the Amazon image?
Why isn't the smile centered to make the image symmetrical?)
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All good points! And I've been wrong more than I've been right... That fact that I've been having recent fantasies of loading my trunk of my car up with cash and driving it right through my local casino glass doors, high fiving the security guards out my window, and doing two 360's and coming to a stop at the sportsbook, and telling them to bet the entire vehicle on the LA Rams... You may be on to something...
But.. I remember Tennessee destroying the left side of the Bengals line, 11 sacks. And I remember LA losing in 2018 13-3 to the Pats with an impotent QB at that time but a great defense , which is still anchored by the best in the game on the D line. I remember LA was dominating TB , and all over Brady 2 weeks ago, than let them in the game with 2nd half fumbilitis.. Brady got hit so much he retired and looked out of sorts, can;t blame him, they are destroyers of the backfield. Bengals were out of it against KC, not sure what Andy fed them at halftime, maybe Duncan Doughnuts. Odell is playing his best ball ever, and Stafford had a heck of a confidence booster with his deep pass to win the game with best WR in league. LA has the better defense and the better offense and both are playing at pinnacle . I rate the probabilities are 60% are higher that they cover the number.
No argument from me.
I'm just trying to point out what the linesmaker might do.
He has his minions in place and they will obey his every gesture and nod.
I've seen two SB commercials so far....one favoring LA, the other Cinc.
??????????????????????
FWIW ~
College football / First game of the season / Sportscenter /
Corso and Herbstreit / Gamblers foaming at the mouth to make a wager /
If Corso and Herbstreit are on the same team, take the other side.
(First game of the season......ONLY)
I'm just trying to point out what the linesmaker might do.
He has his minions in place and they will obey his every gesture and nod.
I've seen two SB commercials so far....one favoring LA, the other Cinc.
??????????????????????
FWIW ~
College football / First game of the season / Sportscenter /
Corso and Herbstreit / Gamblers foaming at the mouth to make a wager /
If Corso and Herbstreit are on the same team, take the other side.
(First game of the season......ONLY)
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