On first glance this line on Duke/Princeton looks a little too high (-17.5). I haven't done much work on it, but that was my 1st impression. Against most teams duke can afford to lay it, but against princeton i'm not so sure they can cover it. Duke lost reggie love to injury...not a big loss, but their bench was short as it is. They simply are not as strong as they have been in the past. Last year, when they were stacked w/ Deng, Ewing etc, they were 22.5 favs against princeton, who held them to an 18 point margin and covered. If princeton can keep it within 18 last year against a stacked dook team, I don't see why they won't against an injured and weaker team. I guess it all comes down to whether or not princeton can dictate the tempo. It's a tall order in Cameron but they are the team to do it if it's possible.
Any ideas?
Any ideas?