Duke/wake line

[Ndraider]

Not that I had any eye on this game but
Anyone know why the line is plummeting?
One of my sites just hit -8.5 the other -7.5?
Is Leonard out again?

 

[Smitty]

"Duke quarterback Riley Leonard will miss an "extended period of time" with a left toe injury suffered late in the game against Louisville on Saturday, sources told ESPN.

His absence against Wake Forest on Thursday night means that true freshman Grayson Loftis will get his first career start. He's thrown just five total passes in his career."

i mean, loftis can't possibly be worse than belin, who is dealing with his own injury.

really sucks for leonard and this team. they were beating fsu in the 2nd half before he got knocked out 2 weeks ago.

 

[Ndraider]

Thanks Smitty

 

[Real_Vision]

riley is definitely not worth 5 points, the spirit of Duke is on the other side of the ball…

My read is the total may have drug this line down, and duke might be the play.

I’d play duke on the ML or + pts, if wake can get an early lead or be up in the 3rd q.

I’d definitely be wary of WF in that gap between 12.5 and where the number is now (6.5 - 7.5)

Only a live play though no reason to get involved sooner

 

[Ndraider]

Agree thats a huge drop, Duke Defense can
Still create havoc in this one. And their run
Game is solid.

 

[Real_Vision]

I love line moves like that one. Played duke +2.5 H1, WF over 20, and duke +3.5 for the game.

My methodology (the news matters but in this case Riley L.not playing wasn’t worth 5 pts) is that high % play is another move in the line equal at least to the pregame move. Or the other side if you can get it in-game above the early line.

So duke -2 or better, preferably + pts or ML. Or WF +13 or more. The only opportunities we got were on the duke side but knowing they weren’t goong to put distance btwn themselves and WF the wake over was in play below 21-24.

Similar line action in the pels / pistons game tonight, played pels at the extreme of the move (-3.5) and then played detroit +20.5, +18.5, +16.5 when they were down 20+ at half.

Guess another way to play it is on the dog (wf +6.5) … would’ve covered in this game but lost in nba.