E. KTY -15' @ Tenn State

[buddy]

In their L 4 games, Tenn State versus the closing number is -12' ats, -12' ats and -11 ats and -5 ats.

For someone who follows ats trends, I can tell you this is not good. This is less than a half-hearted effort by Tenn State.

My interpretation of this trend is this is a team that does not deserve to cover.

I'm jumping on the E. KTY -15' bandwagon.

 

[djv]

All right I will agree lets nail this sob.

 

[IX_Bender]

For several weeks now Ive been fading Tenn St, but that number seems much closer to the actuals Im getting. Perhaps the lines are catching up a bit? EKU is no powerhouse and its much easier to bet ON a good team than AGAINST a bad one. When you have both and a reasonable line.........

I'd never play Tenn St. here, but anywhere between a 10-20 pt margin would not suprise. GL

 

[Cappin Kirk]

:nono: Be careful with this one, I've seen EKU in action, not pretty.

 

[bear]

10-2

10-2

Buddy,

Until they cover a pointspread (maybe tonight.......I doubt it) I will fade Tennessee St. How can you not? This team Plays NO D........none........nada.........zilch. teams average 20 more than their season avg. vs T St. They Give up 92ppg .....allow 52% from the floor and 42% from 3
Thats NO Defense

If their last 12 games were at +15 and you had been fading T St.
you would be 10-2 ...................and it seems to be getting worse.

Last 4 ....including 2 at home were all 20pt or more losses. E Kentucky has already put up century numbers against this team and tonight they are home.

Who knows??? but I'll continue to fade

GL
bear

 

[IX_Bender]

This line caught my eye last night on openers at 15' (as has every TSU game in the past few weeks), its now down to 15 at most shops. Far be it from me to go against their ATS trend, but some money is pushing that and it might drop to 14' if you wait. Not sure why its moving that way but it is.

Similarly when I played Tenn-Martin over them last Thursday the line was 9'/10 at some places. At tipoff that line dropped and I saw some 7's out there. That's pretty significant for an 'added game' on a team with five consecutive spread losses coming in. Had no luck in finding out what rationale was behind it.

T Martin ended up winning by 20 but I rate them much higher than EKU. My mathematical numbers had that game at 14, which makes for a 7 pt differential come game time. My numbers tonight are only a point and a half higher than the current line.

Just FYI

Again, GL tonight

 

[IX_Bender]

This line caught my eye last night on openers at 15' (as has every TSU game in the past few weeks), its now down to 15 at most shops. Far be it from me to go against their ATS trend, but some money is pushing that and it might drop to 14' if you wait. Not sure why its moving that way but it is.

The line at OLY is now 13'

 

[loophole]

think #2 pos guard for e ky is out.

 

[vinmaj]

Hey.......Loophole........Lets Play Craps......

Hey.......Loophole........Lets Play Craps......

I Like E. Kentucky..................

Last game, E. Kentucky won by 26 on the road!!! E. Kentucky is a mediocre team,that gets beaten up at times. These teams have a tendency to get it cranked up and salivating, knowing or a night they can look lie world beaters and have fun. A final note on this game, that tells me Tennessee has quit on the season. Since confrence play began,their last 3 losses have averaged 25
points per loss,the highest margain of any 3 consecutive games this year!!!! None under 20 so it wasn't like there was a big blowout that slanted the numbers.


GL

V.

 

[Master Capper]

I looked at this game but couldnt pull the trigger on EKU, Tenn State is brutal and would struggle against a few NAIA division 2 schools.

 

[loophole]

there's just been too much movement on this game for me to play it either way unless i thought i was stone cold onto something. i don't so i didn't.

 

[bear]

Hey Buddy,

Nice Call...............$$$

bear

 

[Grama]

great call :hail