Early Bowl Leans

Corley1011

Hail State!
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Dec 13, 2006
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Had an OK year... Struggled over the past couple of weeks. Here are a initial leans to the games...

EagleBank Bowl
Wake Forest -3 Rematch from earlier this year. Wake wants revenge.

New Mexico Bowl
Fresno St. -3 Like Fresno in this spot. Both teams dont have a defense. The over could be a possible play.

St. Petersburg Bowl

Memphis +13 USF makes too many penalties. Grothe loves to throw it to the other team. Memphis has a good offense and a decent defense. Ill take the points.

Las Vegas Bowl
Arizona -3 Both teams have good offenses, but Arizona's D is way better. Plus Zona will be pumped up to be in a bowl.

New Orleans Bowl
S. Mississippi +5 USM is very hot right now and their offense is very good. I think they will be pumped to be in a bowl after winning 4 straight games including beating C USA champing ECU.

Poinsettia Bowl
TCU -2 Like TCU here... Awesome D and Good O... Boise is pissed they got snubbed out of a BCS game.

Hawaii Bowl
Hawaii -1 Hawaii on the island is tough. Period

Motor City Bowl
C. Michigan -6 Basically a home game for CMU. I think this might end up in a blow out.

Meineke Car Care Bowl
N. Carolina Basically a home game for the Heels who are playing in their first bowl game in a while.

Champs Sports Bowl
Wisconsin +5 Badgers might not win but they will keep it close.

Emerald Bowl
Cal -7 Home game for the Bears. Canes havent looked good on the road this year losing their last 2. This might get ugly.

Independence Bowl
Louisiana Tech +2 Who's playing again??? Haha I like La Tech in what is basically a home game for them.

Papa Johns Bowl
NC State +7 NCST is a hot team right now and they will put up a dog fight. 7 points is too many IMO. Love the over in this game too.

Alamo Bowl
Northwestern +14 Mizzou just doesnt have any fight anymore. This a disappointing year for them. They will win but not by 2 TD's.

Humanitarian Bowl
Nevada -1 Got burned on Nevada last year as they laid an egg in their bowl. Long way to travel for the Terps. Like Nevada here.

Texas Bowl
Rice -3 Home game for the Owls. Both teams have good offenses but WMU cant keep up with Rice.

Holiday Bowl
Oregon +4 Both teams are equal on paper. Im gonna take the points here because I think this one comes down to a last second FG.

Armed Forces Bowl
Air Force +3 Why's the #1 offense in the country only a 3 point favorite?? Because their D is ranked 103. How do you beat a good offense? Keep them off the field by controlling the clock. How do you do that? RUN RUN RUN and AF does that good.

Sun Bowl
Pitt +3 Gotta believe OSU is extremely down after blowing the chance to play in the Rose Bowl. I think McCoy will have a big day.

Music City Bowl
Boston Coll. -4 Vandy sucks... IMO are extremely lucky to be in a bowl game. BC wins easily.

Insight.com Bowl
Minnesota +11 This is way too many points IMO. KU is NOT the same team as last year. Minny has a good enough offense to stay in this game.

Chik-fil-a Bowl
Georgia Tech-4 LSU is having a dismal year while GT is flying high. GT beat UGA who went to Baton Rouge and handled LSU easily. Les Miles will be out coached big time in this one.

Outback Bowl
Iowa -3 S. Car is faded the past couple of weeks while Iowa has heated up. Iowa runs all over the Cocks.

Capital One Bowl
Georgia -7 Mark Richt will have the dawgs ready to play. UGA has too many weapons IMO. Then you add in the speed. UGA wins this by atleast 10.

Gator Bowl
Clemson -2 Nebraska's lack of D will hurt them in this one. Davis and Spiller run wild.

Rose Bowl
USC -10 This line is calling for PSU $$ IMO. Home game for the Trojans.

Orange Bowl
Cincinnati -1 Cincy has too many playmakers IMO. Cincy pulls away in the 4th

Cotton Bowl
Ole Miss +6 Ole Miss has the offense to hang around with TT. I think the Rebs will win this one SU.

Liberty Bowl
E. Carolina -1 UK's offense is terrible. Their D will wear down. ECU will win the TO battle.

Sugar Bowl
Alabama -10 Utah is over matched in this match up. Bama is too big and strong for the Utes. Bama will run down their throats.

International Bowl
UCONN -4 UB is good but UCONN will control the ball and clock in this game.

Fiesta Bowl
Texas -9 Will the Horns not care about this game??? NOT A CHANCE. Reminder, this IS a BCS game. Ohio St will be humiliated AGAIN in a big bowl, but this time it's not a SEC team :mj07: Hook 'em Horns

GMAC Bowl
Ball St. -3 This game will easily hit the over. I think BSU has too many weapons for Tulsa.

National Championship
Florida -3 Both teams have explosive offenses, but this game will come down to the Gators 9th ranked D and the Gators speed. Don't get me wrong, OU is good and will put up a fight, but their D just doesn't stop people.
 

el JB

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 6, 2006
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Mexico/Texas
think alike in many

think alike in many

Agree on most of the early ones and the christmas bowls....except in the final Bowls i see a strange hand making the way of the unknown appear and will certainly surprise everyone.
 

Corley1011

Hail State!
Forum Member
Dec 13, 2006
11,744
62
48
40
Madison, MS
what you mean? I value all input... these are jus leans and my thoughts on the games. Love to hear other opinions.
 

el JB

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 6, 2006
3,605
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0
Mexico/Texas
mean Bama Texas USC not showing till it's time to close

mean Bama Texas USC not showing till it's time to close

seen too many games where the obvious and easy favorite just decided to play it slow and not try hard to finish their less rated but motivated opponent untill the last minute and win in a minute or two but not cover the spread ...dogs of 8+ points spread ATS wins have been the outcome in many games in past bowls and has made me skeptical about what to play in those games, and found some ppl in this forum has done their part of the math too:

Originally Posted by AR182

got this from another site....& haven't verified it but thought that it was interesting.....


Since 2003.....Bowl dogs between +7 and +16.5 are 40-21....65.6%
 
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