Early Look for 9/23 and 9/25

[Master Capper]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Thursday, September 23rd
Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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9/23 301 AKRON
4:00p 302 KENT 4? 5?

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9/23 303 MIAMI FLORIDA 25? 25?
4:30p 304 HOUSTON U

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Friday, September 24th
Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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9/24 305 BOWLING GREEN
4:05p 306 NO ILLINOIS 1 1

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9/24 307 BYU
7:05p 308 BOISE STATE 17 18

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Saturday, September 25th
Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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9/25 309 IOWA
9:00a 310 MICHIGAN 13 13

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9/25 311 BOSTON COLLEGE
9:00a 312 WAKE FOREST 2 3

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9/25 313 PURDUE 18? 18?
9:00a 314 ILLINOIS

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9/25 315 ARMY
9:00a 316 CONNECTICUT 21? 21?

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9/25 317 MICHIGAN STATE 3 3
9:00a 318 INDIANA

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9/25 319 NC STATE
9:00a 320 VIRGINIA TECH 6? 7?

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9/25 321 KENTUCKY
9:30a 322 FLORIDA 17? 17?

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9/25 323 VANDERBILT
10:30a 324 NAVY 6? 8?

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9/25 325 LOUISVILLE 6? 7?
10:30a 326 NORTH CAROLINA

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9/25 327 TEXAS TECH 4? 4?
11:00a 328 KANSAS

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9/25 329 MISSISSIPPI 5? 5?
11:00a 330 WYOMING

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9/25 331 AIR FORCE
12:00p 332 UTAH 17? 18?

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9/25 333 WASHINGTON U
12:30p 334 NOTRE DAME 11? 11?

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9/25 335 SYRACUSE
12:30p 336 VIRGINIA 21 22

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9/25 337 CLEMSON
12:30p 338 FLORIDA STATE 19 19

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9/25 339 WASHINGTON STATE
12:30p 340 ARIZONA U

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9/25 341 PENN STATE
2:45p 342 WISCONSIN 3? 3?

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9/25 343 MARYLAND
3:00p 344 DUKE

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9/25 345 TEMPLE
4:00p 346 TOLEDO 8? 8?

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9/25 347 CINCINNATI U 13 12?
4:00p 348 EAST CAROLINA

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9/25 349 MEMPHIS 1 1
4:00p 350 UAB

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9/25 351 USC 20? 20?
4:00p 352 STANFORD

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9/25 353 ALABAMA
4:00p 354 ARKANSAS 6? 6?

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9/25 355 BUFFALO U
4:00p 356 OHIO 13 13

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9/25 357 SO MISSISSIPPI 13? 13?
4:00p 358 TULANE

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9/25 359 SOUTH FLORIDA
4:00p 360 TCU 7? 8

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9/25 361 RICE
4:00p 362 TEXAS 30 30

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9/25 363 LOUISIANA TECH
4:00p 364 TENNESSEE U 2 24?

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9/25 365 SAN JOSE STATE
5:00p 366 SMU 1? 1?

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9/25 367 WESTERN MICHIGAN 2? 3
5:00p 368 BALL STATE

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9/25 369 MISSISSIPPI ST
5:00p 370 LSU 29 29

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9/25 371 NEVADA
6:00p 372 SAN DIEGO STATE 13? 14

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9/25 373 NORTHWESTERN
6:00p 374 MINNESOTA U 14 15

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9/25 375 OREGON STATE
7:00p 376 ARIZONA STATE 6? 6?

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ADDED GAMES

Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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9/25 377 NORTH TEXAS 3? 3?
11:00a 378 BAYLOR

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9/25 379 IDAHO
12:30p 380 OREGON 32? 32?

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9/25 381 ARKANSAS STATE
4:00p 382 UL MONROE 6? 6?

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9/25 383 MIDDLE TENN ST 2? 2?
4:00p 384 UL LAFAYETTE

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9/25 385 TROY STATE
4:00p 386 SOUTH CAROLINA 14 14

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9/25 387 NEW MEXICO 7? 7?
5:05p 388 NEW MEXICO STATE

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9/25 389 UTAH STATE
7:00p 390 UNLV 13 13

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[Master Capper]

8-4 last week, here is my early leans looking at the lines for the first time. Please feel free to post any games that stand out to you or if you have any input that can help us all win this week!


Akron
Boise
Wake
NC St
Vandy
Wyo
Wisky
UAB
BAma
Rice
NW
Ntex
MTSU
NMexSt

 

[ZMAN]

wisc, indiana, vandy, alabama, oregon st, wake, nc state.

 

[AU999]

Not sure about the Bama pick. Croyle is out for the season and they will most likely start a RS Freshman against Arkansas. Couple that with freshmen receivers playing on the road in Arkansas and I see the Hogs winning big.

 

[Scott4USC]

My leans and opinions!

Miami -26.5
Houston SUCKS and Miami should blow them away. Especially if you get some punt/kickoff returns.

BYU +21
This is very good scrappy team. Their defense is very tough to play against and 21 pts is a lot of pts for Boise St. to cover. IMO a lot of value.

Michigan St. -2.5 (BEST BET)
If MSU starts the QB that came in the 2h against ND MSU will easily cover this number. I think his name is Stanton and when he came in the game the MSU offense looked very good. Indiana can only win if they receive gifts!

Washington +11
I think this is too many pts for ND to be giving up especially after beating Michigan and Michigan St. back to back weeks. UW is 0-2 but played a very tough Fresno St. team and a very good offensive team in UCLA.

USC -21
USC easily could have scored 60pts against BYU but officials took away at least 2 TD's away from USC and USC kicker missed 2 FG's. This is the opening Pac 10 game and so far this season USC has been very vanilla on offense and defense. USC WR's are coming along. I do not know exactly how good Stanford is but I think USC can cover the -21. THis will be USC last game before the big showdown against CAL (who I think is a top 5 team). I know for a fact USC will be throwing a lot to get the young WR's more experience and prepared for CAL.USC also has a lot of revenge against Stanford for 2 cheap shot injuries to USC in last years game. USC is 2-1 ATS this year and 3-0 ATS in the 2h.

Rice +31
Rice is a pretty good team and I won big on them last week. I do not think Texas will be too pumped playing Rice and 31pts is a lot of pts.

LSU -28.5
Saban will run up the score and try and show how great his team is against a weak opponent. Miss. St. is a horrible team and LSU should score at least 48pts. Plus LSU needs a lot of work on offense which means a lot of pts!

Arizona St. -6.5
ASU looked very good last week and playing at home ASU should cover this number. I do not think Oregon St. is over that LSU loss. Losing to the #4 team in the country because of 3 missed PAT's is devastating. ASU is rolling right now!

 

[Sun Tzu]

I had Rice too and I have watched 2 of their games and let's be very clear - they are not good. I dont lay lumber, but there is a very good chance they will not score on a Texas team that is better defensively than last year - when Rice didnt score until the last minute against the walk-ons. Apparently Mack told the team this week's goal is a shutout.

 

[waymac]

Louisville -7 over @North Carolina the cards have the advantage on both sides of the ball; plus getting good value with tar heels big win over ga tech JMO

 

[Scott4USC]

Sun Tzu after reading your post and thinking about it, Texas prob. will cover that number. I looked at what Texas did last year against Rice caliber teams and they destroyed them. You are prob. right and I am taking Rice off my lean list.

 

[Lost Hillbilly]

Posted earlier last week that Al Groh would run up the score on the zips to impress pollsters....Look for him to try and run all over Syracuse even at -22. Like Miami, Texas...Disagree on NCST. Tech has terrific team speed and at home, granted not WMU or Duke, but USC can attest, the Hokies are fast on Defense much quicker than OH ST. Piss on UConn...lost two weeks in a row on them. Like Troy on the road.

 

[AR182]

rice has a light, quick defense that plays well vs. teams such as houston & hawaii. but they will get steamrolled vs. the power houses. rice is the type of team that texas feasts on.

at quick glance i like.........

iowa
bc
n. car.
virginia
toledo
mid. tenn. st.
n. mex. st.
utah st.

 

[Mr Hockey]

Pinnacle has totals up for all the games right now. I played a bunch already. Here were the #'s:

Maximum Wager: 10000.00 USD 5000.00 USD 5000.00 USD
Sat 9/25 309 Iowa +13 +104 OVER 43 -105
09:00 AM 310 Michigan -13 -114 UNDER 43 -105

Sat 9/25 311 Boston College +1.5 -104 OVER 47.5 -105
09:00 AM 312 Wake Forest -1.5 -106 UNDER 47.5 -105

Sat 9/25 313 Purdue -20.5 -105 OVER 59 -105
09:00 AM 314 Illinois +20.5 -105 UNDER 59 -105

Sat 9/25 315 Army +22 -107 OVER 51 -105
09:00 AM 316 Connecticut -22 -103 UNDER 51 -105

Sat 9/25 317 Michigan State -3 -106 OVER 53 -105
09:00 AM 318 Indiana +3 -104 UNDER 53 -105

Sat 9/25 319 NC State +7.5 +107 OVER 47 -105
09:00 AM 320 Virginia Tech -7.5 -117 UNDER 47 -105

Sat 9/25 321 Kentucky +19.5 -107 OVER 59 -105
09:30 AM 322 Florida -19.5 -103 UNDER 59 -105

Sat 9/25 323 Vanderbilt +7 +107 OVER 50 -105
10:30 AM 324 Navy -7 -117 UNDER 50 -105

Sat 9/25 325 Louisville -8 -104 OVER 59.5 -105
10:30 AM 326 North Carolina +8 -106 UNDER 59.5 -105

Sat 9/25 327 Texas Tech -4.5 -103 OVER 65.5 -105
11:00 AM 328 Kansas +4.5 -107 UNDER 65.5 -105

Sat 9/25 329 Mississippi -4.5 +104 OVER 46 -105
11:00 AM 330 Wyoming +4.5 -114 UNDER 46 -105

Sat 9/25 331 Air Force +20.5 -106 OVER 56 -105
12:00 PM 332 Utah -20.5 -104 UNDER 56 -105


Sat 9/25 333 Washington U +11 -105 OVER 50.5 -105
12:30 PM 334 Notre Dame -11 -105 UNDER 50.5 -105

Sat 9/25 335 Syracuse +24.5 -108 OVER 56 -105
12:30 PM 336 Virginia -24.5 -102 UNDER 56 -105

Sat 9/25 337 Clemson +19 -112 OVER 48.5 -105
12:30 PM 338 Florida State -19 +102 UNDER 48.5 -105

Sat 9/25 339 Washington State OVER 42.5 -109
12:30 PM 340 Arizona U UNDER 42.5 -101

Sat 9/25 341 Penn State +3.5 -105 OVER 48 -105
02:45 PM 342 Wisconsin -3.5 -105 UNDER 48 -105

Sat 9/25 343 Maryland OVER 49 -105
03:00 PM 344 Duke UNDER 49 -105

Sat 9/25 345 Temple +8.5 -107 OVER 61.5 -105
04:00 PM 346 Toledo -8.5 -103 UNDER 61.5 -105

Sat 9/25 347 Cincinnati U -11.5 -107 OVER 57.5 -105
04:00 PM 348 East Carolina +11.5 -103 UNDER 57.5 -105

Sat 9/25 349 Memphis -1.5 -112 OVER 53 -105
04:00 PM 350 UAB +1.5 +102 UNDER 53 -105

Sat 9/25 351 USC -21 -116 OVER 57.5 -105
04:00 PM 352 Stanford +21 +106 UNDER 57.5 -105

Sat 9/25 353 Alabama +5.5 -104 OVER 44 -105
04:00 PM 354 Arkansas -5.5 -106 UNDER 44 -105

Sat 9/25 355 Buffalo U +13 -105 OVER 44 -105
04:00 PM 356 Ohio -13 -105 UNDER 44 -105

Sat 9/25 357 So Mississippi -12.5 -106 OVER 48 -105
04:00 PM 358 Tulane +12.5 -104 UNDER 48 -105

Sat 9/25 359 South Florida +9 -105 OVER 49 -105
04:00 PM 360 TCU -9 -105 UNDER 49 -105

Sat 9/25 361 Rice +31 -102 OVER 58 -105
04:00 PM 362 Texas -31 -108 UNDER 58 -105

Sat 9/25 363 Louisiana Tech +24 -105 OVER 53 -105
04:00 PM 364 Tennessee U -24 -105 UNDER 53 -105


Sat 9/25 365 San Jose State +1.5 -102 OVER 49.5 -105
05:00 PM 366 SMU -1.5 -108 UNDER 49.5 -105

Sat 9/25 367 Western Michigan -3 -105 OVER 49 -105
05:00 PM 368 Ball State +3 -105 UNDER 49 -105

Sat 9/25 369 Mississippi St +28.5 +100 OVER 44 -105
05:00 PM 370 LSU -28.5 -110 UNDER 44 -105

Sat 9/25 371 Nevada +16 -108 OVER 51 -105
06:00 PM 372 San Diego State -16 -102 UNDER 51 -105

Sat 9/25 373 Northwestern +15 -103 OVER 65.5 -105
06:00 PM 374 Minnesota U -15 -107 UNDER 65.5 -105

Sat 9/25 375 Oregon State +7.5 -107 OVER 57 -110
07:00 PM 376 Arizona State -7.5 -103 UNDER 57 +100

Sat 9/25 377 North Texas -3 -116 OVER 46 -105
11:00 AM 378 Baylor +3 +106 UNDER 46 -105

Sat 9/25 379 Idaho +35 -109 OVER 54.5 -105
12:30 PM 380 Oregon -35 -101 UNDER 54.5 -105

Sat 9/25 381 Arkansas State +6 -105 OVER 53 -105
04:00 PM 382 Ul Monroe -6 -105 UNDER 53 -105

Sat 9/25 383 Middle Tenn St -2 -107 OVER 54 -105
04:00 PM 384 UL Lafayette +2 -103 UNDER 54 -105

Sat 9/25 385 Troy State +14 +100 OVER 37.5 -105
04:00 PM 386 South Carolina -14 -110 UNDER 37.5 -105

Sat 9/25 387 New Mexico -6.5 -108 OVER 45 -105
05:05 PM 388 New Mexico State +6.5 -102 UNDER 45 -105

Sat 9/25 389 Utah State +13.5 -106 OVER 50 -105
07:00 PM 390 UNLV -13.5 -104 UNDER 50 -105

 

[BigSlick]

UF
TCU
Rice
Vany
Bama (even w/QB out)
Oreg St

 

[Sun Tzu]

As much as I hate chalk, isnt Oregon going to score 60+ this week?

 

[BigSlick]

UW and Clemson too...

 

[tulah]

leans are
ASU
Purdue
Oregon
maybe ND-11 .UW very poor defense (couldn't tackle anyone vs UCLA) ND shakey O can do well against UW. UW allowed 230+yds rushing to Drew in the first half.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Already Played:
- Louisville(-7')
- Arizona State(-7)

Liking early:
- USC(-21')
- Virginia(-24)
- Boston College(+1')
- Alabama(+5)

GL

 

[Master Capper]

Mr. Hockey:

Nice to see the totals this early which ones did you jump on early?

Sun Tzu

The reason that I leaned to Rice was that they have a seasoned backfield but you are more than likely right that Texas will steamroll them. I like your Oreg play but maybe the over in this game would be a better option since 32 is a ton of points to lay.

AU1999

Thanks for the inside on Bama I scratched it but I bet this game gets a ton of action as I believe it's CBS game of the week.

 

[Master Capper]

INJURIES OF NOTE - UNLV QB Kurt Nantkes was ?doubtful? heading into the Air Force game, and got in just three pass attempts. The Falcons dominated with 24-12 first down and 417-258 yard edges as backup QB Steichen hit 12-of-24 for 160 yards...

With Alabama up 38-0 versus Western Carolina, starting QB Brodie Croyle went down to a knee injury and was lost for the season...

North Texas was without top RB Patrick Cobbs and backup Kevin Moore was left at home for disciplinary reasons, but still piled up 507 yards versus Colorado. That was by far its best offensive performance of the year with Jamario Thomas rushing for 247 yards

It was questionable if Washington State QB Josh Swogger would hold on to his starting job heading into the Idaho game. He had a solid performance hitting 12-of-19 for 196 yards, but injured his knee early in the fourth quarter and did not return. WSU still trashed UI, leading 49-0 before UI got its only TD with :17 left...

SMU?s defense was hit hard by injuries, including the loss of its top two middle linebackers. The Mustangs were no match for Oklahoma State in the 59-7 loss...

South Carolina was without starting QB Dondrail Pinkins, but Syvelle Newton hit 13-of-23 for 324 yards and South Carolina dominated South Florida with a 530-191 yard edge. Ironically during the week, South Florida?s opening-game starting QB Pat Julmiste got injured. Amazingly, the offshore sportsbooks and Vegas took the game ?off the board? for the unheralded Julmiste who did play and hit just 2-of-10 passes. Ronnie Banks, the more experienced QB, got the start and is actually the better QB. Julmiste?s absence should have lowered the line as opposed to raising it or taking it ?off the board.?

 

[Master Capper]

BACKDOOR AND FRONTDOOR COVERS - Virginia Tech blew numerous scoring opportunities throughout the game versus Duke, and settled for 21 and 28 yd FG?s. The Hokies actually did not get ahead of the spread until 5:45 was left in the game on a Cedric Humes TD run, which appeared to salt away the ATS win. However Duke, which had just 11 first downs and 133 yards to this point, went 64 yards in nine plays. On fourth and 11 with :44 left, Duke got a 35 yard TD pass for the backdoor cover...

The Arizona State/Iowa side was clear, as ASU thoroughly thrashed Iowa with 23-6 first down and 511-100 yard edges with the Hawkeyes gaining 47 of their yards on their final drive of the game. The frontdoor cover happened for the total. ASU clearly wanted the shutout, and rejoiced every time they stopped Iowa and appeared to have the shutout in hand. With just :18 left in the game, the Sun Devils punted from their own 36. Iowa simply returned the punt 83 yards for a TD, putting the game ?over? the 47-point total, 44-7...

The Penn State Nittany Lions caught a bad break before the half when they were driving for another TD in what would have been a 28-3 lead, but an interception returned 59 yards set up a UCF field goal to pull within 21-6. Also, a 54-yard punt return by UCF with 7:41 left in the game put UCF in the backdoor. PSU went three and out, but roughing the passer gave the team a first down. The Nittany Lions continued on a 73 yard, 10-play drive and got a 22-yard touchdown run by Gasparato with :44 left for the frontdoor cover...

Toledo led Eastern Michigan 42-17, but EM would get the final two TD?s including one for a two-point conversion and got the backdoor push with 2:15 left.

MISLEADING FINAL - The misleading final in the Nebraska/Pittsburgh game came in the fact that 41 points were scored, and neither offense was effective. The Cornhuskers had just 265 yards, and Pitt 258. Sixty-one of the Panthers? yards came on their final desperation drive. NU got a minus three-yard drive for a 26 yard FG after an interception and a three-yard TD drive after an interception in the first half. Pitt got a 96-yard KO return for a TD for its points. Pitt?s only offensive TD was set up by a NU interception with 4:53 left, and the Huskers got a 35-yard TD pass. Pitt did end the game at the NU 15-yard line with its final pass falling incomplete in the end zone.

DOMINATION BUT NO COVER - Oregon State dominated New Mexico with a 398-114 yard edge. The Beavers had the ball for more than 38:00, but somehow laying just 13 points, only won the game by 10. During the game, OSU was stopped on downs at the NM 35, missed 43 and 34 yard FG?s, settled for a 35-yard FG and finished the game at the NM 20-yard line running out the clock. NM?s ONLY TD came when OSU appeared ready for a 21-0 lead. The Beavers had a first and goal at the NM 5, but were sk?d & fmbl?d and NM returned the fumble for a TD and amazingly got the cover...

Georgia?s D dominated Marshall with an 18-7 first down edge, but the key play in the game happened with MU trailing 10-3 and facing a fourth and goal at the UGA 2. The Thundering Herd went for the TD, but the pass fell incomplete and UGA got its third straight lackluster win at home. Georgia is a dismal 0-3 ATS this year...

Houston RB Anthony Evans rushed for 282 yards versus Army. UH piled up a 32-13 first down edge, and the Cougars had 647 yards while Army had just 337. UH settled for a 27-yard field goal, fumbled at the Army 19, settled for a 39-yard FG and was intercepted in the end zone in the first half. At the end of the game, they were in Army territory driving, but simply took a knee on the final play and won by 14 while laying 15.

 

[Mr Hockey]

Mr. Hockey:

Nice to see the totals this early which ones did you jump on early?

Sun Tzu

The reason that I leaned to Rice was that they have a seasoned backfield but you are more than likely right that Texas will steamroll them. I like your Oreg play but maybe the over in this game would be a better option since 32 is a ton of points to lay.

AU1999

Thanks for the inside on Bama I scratched it but I bet this game gets a ton of action as I believe it's CBS game of the week.

I played these totals so far:

Over 43 Iowa-Michigan -105
Under 59 Purdue-Illinois -105
Over 51 Army-Connecticut -105
Over 53 Michigan State-Indiana -105
Over 59.5 Louisville-North Carolina -105
Over 65.5 Texas Tech-Kansas -105
Over 56 Air Force-Utah -105
Over 56 Syracuse-Virginia -105
Under 48 Penn State-Wisconsin -105
Over 61.5 Temple-Toledo -105
Over 57.5 USC-Stanford -105
Over 53 Louisiana Tech-Tennessee -105
Over 65.5 Northwestern-Minnesota -105
Over 54.5 Idaho-Oregon -105
Under 37.5 Troy State-South Carolina -105

---------

Edited to add the total I played on the Miami-Houston game as I played u60.