Early Look NCAA 10/28 to 10/30

Master Capper

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MISLEADING FINALS AND BACKDOOR & FRONTDOOR COVERS - Georgia had a 21-12 FD edge vs Arkansas and 513-278 yd edge but UGA (-8) only won by 6. The Dawgs settled for a 31 yd FG and missed a 31 yd FG. Arkansas also got an 18 yd fumble return for a TD in the 1H to lead 14-10. UGA also had a 1st & goal at the 7 but were stopped on 4th & goal at the 1. UGA missed a 46 yd FG and had a 1st & goal at the 8 with 9:12 left when a TD would have given them the cover but they settled for a 24 yd FG and ended the game at the Arkansas 15 taking a knee...

Temple trailed Connecticut 45-17 with 6:09 to play but got a 24 yd TD pass, rec’d the onside kick and added a 6 yd TD pass with 2:51 left for the backdoor cover. Connecticut rec’d the onside kick and ran out the clock ending at the Temple 20...

While it wasn’t a backdoor cover for Northwestern, it was a backdoor push. Wisconsin, despite playing without star DE’s James and Welsh and MLB Cribbs, shutdown NU in the 1H holding QB Basanez to 5 of 18 passing for 34 yds and UW led 24-0 in the 3Q. NU missed a 32 yd FG but drove 68 yds for a TD. They went for 2 which cost them the cover, 24-6. They rec’d the onside kick and drove 49 yds for a TD early 4Q for the backdoor push. After an exchange of punts, UW took over at their own 25 with 7:29 left and went on a 16 play 65 yd drive being SOD at the NU 10 with :20 left. Badger backers would have liked them to have kicked the FG on 4th & 1 but they did not...

N Texas lost starting RB Patrick Cobbs for the season but Jamario Thomas who rushed for 256 yds last week, broke the school and SBC records for the 2nd game in a row with 258 yds vs New Mex St. NMS had scored a TD with 5:03 left but Thomas’ 77 yd run set up a TD with 3:11 left and NT got the frontdoor cover.


BIG GAME ENDING PLAYS - TCU lost starting QB Brandon Hassell and top RB Lonta Hobbs to injury but Tye Gunn and Robert Merrill had plenty of starting experience and stepped to lead TCU to a 34-15 lead. Houston nearly got the backdoor cover getting a pair of TD’s, the last with :02 left in the game but they missed the xp and TCU held on for the cover! On UH’s previous TD, they had missed a 2 pt conversion!...

Tulsa/Nevada went to 3 OT’s but in the 3rd OT NU scored a TD but missed their 2 pt conversion. Tulsa had a shot at the win with a 1st & goal at the 5 but fumbled out of the EZ for a TB and took a tough loss.


KEEPING THE BACKDOOR SHUT - Akron led Ball St 35-10 early 4Q but after giving up a couple of TD’s, the spread was in peril. UA was SOD at the BSU 16 and BSU was SOD at the UA 30 with just 2:48 left. UA was punting with :19 left and their P fumbled the snap at their own 27 but BSU’s pass was int’d in the EZ and ret’d to the 12.
 

Master Capper

Emperior
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Tonight playing Geo Tech plus 6, got to go with home dog in a match pitting two decent defenses and with Va Tech only playing basically their second away game.
 

AR182

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mc,

doesn't this line seem strange to you ?

one team is 4-2 & is getting points at home (a generous amount i may add) to a team that is 5-2. this game should be pickem at the least.

very strange line, imo.

good luck.
 

Master Capper

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AR,

Line is strange and I would have to agree with the movement as Va Tech is the better team here, but Geo Tech has not had Daniels for mush of the year so their running game was off and forced too much onto the passing game. By removing the pressure off Reggie Ball to carry the offense then they should be able to allow Ball to create off play action passes as long as Daniels is a threat in the backfield. I would not back Geo Tech too strongly here as this play just barely qualified as more than a lean for me as they may be one of the most erratic teams in the country as they are completely up and down. I played against Tech the last time they were on the road against Wake and I took a tough beat as Wake drove the ball consistently and three times were inside the ten and came away with only 3 points!
 

Master Capper

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Season System Plays 92-58
Last Week 15-10
This Week 0-1
Halftimes 3-2
NFL 1-0
Rushing Dog Theory 7-5


Damn my ass still hurts from that loss on Georgia Tech, just one of those games that the loss is hard to swallow. Posting games early today as I am off to the Canton McKinley and Massillon high school game!

Rushing Dog Theory
Oklahoma State
Air Force
Mich State
Eastern Mich
Nebraska


Trend Play (my play)
South Carolina+1, this trend is based on Lou Holtz, as when a Holtz coached team coming off a bye and playing a ranked team the holtz coached team has covered the spread 13 out 14 times.

System Plays
Purdue over 53
Ohio State-5
Mizzou-2
OleMiss +18
Cuse-2.5
Army-2
Texas Tech +3.5
Iowa State+5
Miss St -2.5 (bought hook)
Colorado +14
Florida+7.5
Cal-16
Kent -1
CFU+26
Tulane+10
UL Monroe+9


Good Luck Cappers,
 

Joe De

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Good luck...

going with you on S. Carolina but only in a 6 point teaser with Penn State ....Don't bust a gut laughing on Penn State
 

jordan23

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Master Capper,

May i ask what your system is??? I haven't seen it posted. Thanks
 

Master Capper

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Jan 12, 2002
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2-3 early adding Baylor +25.5, OSU-7 and Rice-1

Jordan,

dont havetime to break everything down right now but a combination of trends and a computer module I have created.

Mckinley Bulldogs going to the state playoffs!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Good Luck Cappers!!!!!
 

Master Capper

Emperior
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Jan 12, 2002
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If Miss State covers I should be arrested for theft as they have done nothing all day, I already have a warrant out for Ohio State as there points were a fluke
 

jordan23

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Feb 26, 2001
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MasterCapper,

Would you mind getting my email from Jack and when you have time breaking it down. Thanks
 

rint

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Sep 30, 2004
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another solid day MC, may i ask when you get condradictory calls by your systems which do you go with ex. mizzou was a rushing dog and neb. was a system play.

by the way thanks for all the insight you provide. always take you into consideration on my plays. appereciate all of the time an effort you put into your plays
 
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