*DISCLAIMER...i`ve had such a rotten week personally,not gambling wise(although i lost a boxing wager tonight-over 10 rounds...the guy survived the 10th,but didn`t get off his stool for the 11th...that`s a loss...a tough loss),that i highly suggest fading all these picks...i `m due for a bad week,,,,and a few of these plays turned out to be very public plays(missou...texas...lsu)....i made these early,before i knew,but them`s the breaks....
such a bad week,that i considered buying back everything....i will say that i bought back some of the larger wagers to even out the damage,if it comes to that.......
fade me this week...it`s gotta pay..what a week....be glad to get this one over with...whew...g.l....11/15/03...1:54 a.m. eastern time...
leans only....not final....sort of first impressions...some of these may change...
4)duke+14.5......could there be a better scheduling spot than this?....a team that seems to be getting some momentum....and can really run the ball.....clemson can struggle vs good ground games.....
2)tulsa pick....flying under the radar...play the pass well...have a balanced offense....played boise tough at boise....beat hawaii(another pass happy bunch) 27-16.....they do defend the pass...
3)lsu...i know... an unranked home team vs a ranked visitor...but,lsu is coming off a bye.... their run defense is lights out...and they love the road....lsu has to have as much motivation as anyone can...they are one usc slip up away from the bcs title game.... alabama has played pretty tough at home....but i don`t think 6 is outrageous....still looking....
1)missou tigers-13....this may be the strongest play....missou outgained colorado last week 447-276.....out first downed them 27-19...turnovers killed `em....tx a+m `s last 3 road games they have yielded 58,48 and 77 points.....yeah,they`ll be pissed after oklahoma...but can they do anything about it with that defense?...i don`t think so...missou`s last 2 home games they beat nebraska 41-24 and tx tech 62-31......missou coming off a loss in which they pretty much dominated....with a win here,they may have an 8 or 9 win season...whittemore-less kansas pushed this tx a+m defense around 2 weeks ago at tx a+m to the tune of 489 yards.......then kansas goes to nebraska and pretty much gets shut out...a+m`s defense is right up there with tx tech`s on the futility meter..the tigers still need one division 1a win for bowl eligibility......what scares me is that this line looks about 4 to 6 points off....why?
1b)also... a little on over 60....missou tigers may hit 60 themselves...if for some reason missou doesn`t cover,it will have to be because a+m`s offense was cranking.....
games that caught my eye but haven`t looked at in depth .....uconn +10(will have to check their rushing defense stats).....rice-6(qb herm is a little dinged up)......
texas -16...hate laying chalk,but,i gotta do what i gotta do....texas is on an incredible run.....they are blowing everybody out.....their defense gets better every week.....they only yield 154 ypg passing.....have a stout pass defense vs the prolific t.t. passing game.....they have revenge off last year`s loss.....the last 2 match-ups AT texas were 42-7 and 56-7.... and cedric benson and that running game should shred the porous t.t. defense keeping the offense on the sidelines.........texas will continue the momentum vs their rival.......after this only tx a+m(whew...talk about two shit-y defenses)..on the road vs decent offenses t.t. has given up 49 to nc st...49 to ole miss...51 to okie st and 62 to missou.......this one could get real ugly.... payback...
any opinions are welcome before i make final decisions
such a bad week,that i considered buying back everything....i will say that i bought back some of the larger wagers to even out the damage,if it comes to that.......
fade me this week...it`s gotta pay..what a week....be glad to get this one over with...whew...g.l....11/15/03...1:54 a.m. eastern time...
leans only....not final....sort of first impressions...some of these may change...
4)duke+14.5......could there be a better scheduling spot than this?....a team that seems to be getting some momentum....and can really run the ball.....clemson can struggle vs good ground games.....
2)tulsa pick....flying under the radar...play the pass well...have a balanced offense....played boise tough at boise....beat hawaii(another pass happy bunch) 27-16.....they do defend the pass...
3)lsu...i know... an unranked home team vs a ranked visitor...but,lsu is coming off a bye.... their run defense is lights out...and they love the road....lsu has to have as much motivation as anyone can...they are one usc slip up away from the bcs title game.... alabama has played pretty tough at home....but i don`t think 6 is outrageous....still looking....
1)missou tigers-13....this may be the strongest play....missou outgained colorado last week 447-276.....out first downed them 27-19...turnovers killed `em....tx a+m `s last 3 road games they have yielded 58,48 and 77 points.....yeah,they`ll be pissed after oklahoma...but can they do anything about it with that defense?...i don`t think so...missou`s last 2 home games they beat nebraska 41-24 and tx tech 62-31......missou coming off a loss in which they pretty much dominated....with a win here,they may have an 8 or 9 win season...whittemore-less kansas pushed this tx a+m defense around 2 weeks ago at tx a+m to the tune of 489 yards.......then kansas goes to nebraska and pretty much gets shut out...a+m`s defense is right up there with tx tech`s on the futility meter..the tigers still need one division 1a win for bowl eligibility......what scares me is that this line looks about 4 to 6 points off....why?
1b)also... a little on over 60....missou tigers may hit 60 themselves...if for some reason missou doesn`t cover,it will have to be because a+m`s offense was cranking.....
games that caught my eye but haven`t looked at in depth .....uconn +10(will have to check their rushing defense stats).....rice-6(qb herm is a little dinged up)......
texas -16...hate laying chalk,but,i gotta do what i gotta do....texas is on an incredible run.....they are blowing everybody out.....their defense gets better every week.....they only yield 154 ypg passing.....have a stout pass defense vs the prolific t.t. passing game.....they have revenge off last year`s loss.....the last 2 match-ups AT texas were 42-7 and 56-7.... and cedric benson and that running game should shred the porous t.t. defense keeping the offense on the sidelines.........texas will continue the momentum vs their rival.......after this only tx a+m(whew...talk about two shit-y defenses)..on the road vs decent offenses t.t. has given up 49 to nc st...49 to ole miss...51 to okie st and 62 to missou.......this one could get real ugly.... payback...
any opinions are welcome before i make final decisions
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