Early Thanksgiving Day Game

hogman14

HBD Sports!
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Nov 24, 2002
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Franklin, MA
Made a nice play on the PHI ML. Also parlay w/the under :mad:

Since Monday starts my week, let's look at the early game of the Thanksgiving Day card, an absolute steal in my opinion:

Detroit +5.5 vs. New England.

The cardinal rule of always betting Detroit on Thanksgiving should hold up again this year. My hometown boys are laying 5.5 on the road against a Detroit team, that is, once again, not a very good team. Regardless, New England has struggled this year. They are 6-5 SU, but a mere 3-8 against the number, a far cry from last year, where bettors cashed in on a 13-5-1 mark ATS. They have yet to cover a game as a favorite yet, posting a 3-3 SU record while laying pts, and 0-6 against the spread.

The Lions of Motor City roll in with a 3-8 record SU, but are 5-6 against the spread. Detroit is 4-2 ATS when spotted 5.5+. They are 2-2 SU as a home dog, but 3-1 at the window. Although constantly posting terrible SU records, they usually post a respectable mark against the number. This team usually does not let the fans down on Thanksgiving, and 2 yrs ago, against the Patriots, they won, 34-9.

The Patriots have struggled against the run this year. Last year what was a finely tuned machine now has well defined weaknesses. KC, SD, MIA, OAK, DEN all have had success this year running on the Pats. James Stewart has been playing very well after a slow start, and should give the Patriots a lot to worry about. Joey Harrington is confident, despite his team's woes, and will no doubt be pumped for this game.

Currently, there is a 2-1 public take on the Patriots. Since the public has rarely seen a favorite it doesn't like, I'll go with the Lions here. I'll be doubling up w/the points, and making a small play on the ML (+220).
 

jmizeus

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Dec 15, 2000
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nice write-up jeremy;)

guy's i would like u to welcome this guy i brought to this board.he's a good man and sure will be just as helpful!

MIZE
 
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