Early thoughts week 2...

J

Jord20

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Some quick ramblings...

I think KC will destroy Denver at home on Thursday night. I can't believe this line is only 3 - I may have to hit it today.

Carolina being only -3 at home to Houston to me is funny. I may have to play the Texans again.

GB only -3 vs Seattle is funny too. I think GB will put up a ton of points. prob have to play over the high total.

Bengals are legit. That is a DEFINITE play. Hoping they throw a 3 in the Supercontest. Another easssyyy win for them

People still not buying Buffalo - i'm not certain either, but this spot is too nice for them. Def play.

Probably going to have to close my eyes, hold the nose, and just play the Bears.

Tenn looked Great, and Cleveland was pitiful - prob a good spot to play the Brownies and JFFootball.

St louis may have to be the big public play I can't avoid. We'll see though.

Jets are not good. Colts are very soft though. I'm going to watch this one, because I'm surprised they threw out a 7 - even though Joey Pub loves Luck. This could be a game where they beat up on a shitty team though. That's about what they are good for.
 
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Denver D is pretty legit - while I obviously don't think it will play, I'm locking in 10 units now at 3 -

Chiefs -3 10 units
 
gardenweasel

gardenweasel

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Jord20 said:
Chiefs/Broncos Under 42 10 units
Click to expand...

after watching the Denver d last week(and peyton`s struggles AT HOME) vs my ravens,that under looks pretty interesting...it`s been a running theme that manning is on the inevitable downward slide but I keep expecting him to shake it off and have a big game....old habits die hard, I guess....I may use both k.c. and the under in a teaser just to have something going...

btw,,,maybe it was in part due to the ravens` strong run D,but I was surprised that c.j. Anderson didn`t do more business running the ball....he`d been fairly strong middle to end of 2014...maybe it was the ravens` familiarity with kubiak`s zone blocking schemes(or bronco o line changes)...maybe a combination?....anyway,should be interesting to see if the bronco offense continues to struggle...


appreciate the brief comments/rationale regarding the potential plays/other games...

best of luck with the plays...
 
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Jord20

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gardenweasel said:
after watching the Denver d last week(and peyton`s struggles AT HOME) vs my ravens,that under looks pretty interesting...it`s been a running theme that manning is on the inevitable downward slide but I keep expecting him to shake it off and have a big game....old habits die hard, I guess....I may use both k.c. and the under in a teaser just to have something going...

btw,,,maybe it was in part due to the ravens` strong run D,but I was surprised that c.j. Anderson didn`t do more business running the ball....he`d been fairly strong middle to end of 2014...maybe it was the ravens` familiarity with kubiak`s zone blocking schemes?....anyway,should be interesting to see if the bronco offense continues to struggle...


appreciate the brief comments/rationale regarding the potential plays/other games...

best of luck with the plays...
Click to expand...

Appreciate the feedback and insight. I hear you with the Peyton stubborness - I'm not on board with this one in particular, but I often stick to thoughts too often with respect to players or teams' level of competence. Peyton looks awful. Sure, he will have some good games, but he is no longer elite. He can't move and throws a bunch of ducks. I think the Chiefs are for real - Alex Smith or not, lol. I backed up this play with the under because I do believe that Denver D is very good, and can keep them in the game, and turn it with a big play or 2.

To me, if this was team A vs team B, th eline would be 5.5. Chiefs the better team - I'm not buying the 3 which equates to even. Public not yet sold on Chiefs. They shouldn't be with a win over the Texans, but Thursday night primetime at Arrowhead against a rival on the downswing is a great shot to take, IMO.

Gl
 
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Jord20

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Manning has basically thrown 5 interceptions - seriously lucky to not have at least 4. 2 red zone turnovers for Chiefs. A host of other comical mistakes - and still driving for the win. I guess I will take that
 
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Jord20

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Can't do much but laugh. Reid was a train wreck and it cost them. Denver for every break possible. Total fluke. They should be 0-2, going to be a great fade moving forward
 
gardenweasel

gardenweasel

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Jord20 said:
I've never understood running the ball into the line. If you aren't trying to score, why no knee?!?
Click to expand...

that was kinda like getting caught up in the gears of a combine...pretty horrified but not really shocked(not after watching eli and coughlin last week).....lol....
 
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The "great call" pats on the Broncos game (or any other that comes down to a fluke play or getting super lucky all game) are hilarious to me.

Can't it just be "great win" or "great hit?"

The winning side wasn't always the "right" side. If you don't understand this, you do not understand math or gambling. I sincerely mean this to help.

If I lay 400 to win a 100 on heads and heads it - I didn't make the correct call. I just got lucky that my 50/50 shot came up on that particular toss. Obviously, if I do this all day, I will go bankrupt.

In poker, if I call off all my chips, but then hit runner runner to take the pot, I didn't make the correct call - I got lucky. Again, if I make that call regularly, I will go bankrupt.

I don't care to argue about last nights game - but in principle, you HAVE to understand this.
 
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