sorry for the late post. been out of the country for a few weeks but here is my last post to verify my record - http://www.madjacksports.com/forum/showthread.php?560623-Easy-Money-Week-4-(23-9-YTD)
GL today I like a few later games a lot. not enough time to do full analysis but here are a couple quick picks for this week. ill add more games throughout the day
TCU +8 - one of the better defenses in the country, TCU quarters formation will be able to match up with Baylor air raid attack. TCU by far the best team Baylor has faced this year. Last year they held them to only two offensive TDs. Boykin has been excellent - TCU keeps this close
Purdue +22 - Mich State hasnt beaten Purdue by more than 20 in the last 13 meetings. Letdown spot for MSU as Purdue will be fired up at home. Plays against road favorites ? an excellent offensive team that averages at least 34 PPG against an average defensive team (21-28 PPG), after a win by 6 or less points are 29-7 (80.6%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. MSU wins but doesnt cover
Washington +3.5 - CAL defense giving up 40.4 points per game versus offenses that are only averaging 29.2 points per game. CAL will be out of gas after 4 straight shootouts and this Husky team is much improved under Peterson. Wrong team favored here
Alabama -9.5 - seems too good to be true but I'm sticking with my gut here. Bama will be fired up, no way they lose two in a row. The way to beat Bama is to spread them out and expose this inexperienced secondary - Arkansas is the exact opposite with a power running attack that Bama will be able to slow. Alabama is 35-19 ATS in their last 54 road games after a contest in which they failed to cover the spread, while Arkansas is just 19-35 ATS in their last 54 games against teams who are allowing 285 or less total yards/game
Auburn -2 - Auburn is by far the best team MSU has seen this year. Tough letdown spot after last weeks big win for MSU. Auburn has way more weapons on offense and features a top 15 defense vs MSU's #86 ranked D. Take the better offense in a shootout
Oregon -2 - both teams have offensive line issues but I give the edge to Oregon on both sides of the ball. UCLA has really done nothing all season, this should be a bigger spread. Mariota tends to respond well after a loss, he will outplay Hundley and do enough to get a win for Oregon
Penn State +2 - think they win outright. impossible to back Michigan as a favorite with the way theyve been playing. Michigan 0-4 SUATS in this series, and 1-3 ATS last four as a host in this series
TEASER - ND-10, Alabama -2.5, TCU +14, Auburn +4 and Washington +10.5
GL today I like a few later games a lot. not enough time to do full analysis but here are a couple quick picks for this week. ill add more games throughout the day
TCU +8 - one of the better defenses in the country, TCU quarters formation will be able to match up with Baylor air raid attack. TCU by far the best team Baylor has faced this year. Last year they held them to only two offensive TDs. Boykin has been excellent - TCU keeps this close
Purdue +22 - Mich State hasnt beaten Purdue by more than 20 in the last 13 meetings. Letdown spot for MSU as Purdue will be fired up at home. Plays against road favorites ? an excellent offensive team that averages at least 34 PPG against an average defensive team (21-28 PPG), after a win by 6 or less points are 29-7 (80.6%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. MSU wins but doesnt cover
Washington +3.5 - CAL defense giving up 40.4 points per game versus offenses that are only averaging 29.2 points per game. CAL will be out of gas after 4 straight shootouts and this Husky team is much improved under Peterson. Wrong team favored here
Alabama -9.5 - seems too good to be true but I'm sticking with my gut here. Bama will be fired up, no way they lose two in a row. The way to beat Bama is to spread them out and expose this inexperienced secondary - Arkansas is the exact opposite with a power running attack that Bama will be able to slow. Alabama is 35-19 ATS in their last 54 road games after a contest in which they failed to cover the spread, while Arkansas is just 19-35 ATS in their last 54 games against teams who are allowing 285 or less total yards/game
Auburn -2 - Auburn is by far the best team MSU has seen this year. Tough letdown spot after last weeks big win for MSU. Auburn has way more weapons on offense and features a top 15 defense vs MSU's #86 ranked D. Take the better offense in a shootout
Oregon -2 - both teams have offensive line issues but I give the edge to Oregon on both sides of the ball. UCLA has really done nothing all season, this should be a bigger spread. Mariota tends to respond well after a loss, he will outplay Hundley and do enough to get a win for Oregon
Penn State +2 - think they win outright. impossible to back Michigan as a favorite with the way theyve been playing. Michigan 0-4 SUATS in this series, and 1-3 ATS last four as a host in this series
TEASER - ND-10, Alabama -2.5, TCU +14, Auburn +4 and Washington +10.5
