ytd: a dazzlin 19-18, -.2*
Over 41, 3*
One on hand, a certain someone has "guaranteed" this over and is said to be wagering about $640,000 to win $580,000. On the other, the services are all over the under. Tough break there.
Seriously, though, these are bad defense, especially Green Bay vs. the pass and Bears vs the run. The books seem to be getting hammered on GB without moving the line up, which leads me to believe they like the Bears at least a bit. In that case, the Bears are probably going to score some points (which, for the Bears, may just mean 13, 14 or 17).
I think GB scores 30 or more, though. Bears have been allowing a generous one point per 10 yards, GB scoring one per every 13. Looking at GB topping 28 or 30 and Chicago chipping in with 10 to 20.
So why am I not taking GB minus the points? Too damn popular and too damn easy.
Over 41, 3*
One on hand, a certain someone has "guaranteed" this over and is said to be wagering about $640,000 to win $580,000. On the other, the services are all over the under. Tough break there.
Seriously, though, these are bad defense, especially Green Bay vs. the pass and Bears vs the run. The books seem to be getting hammered on GB without moving the line up, which leads me to believe they like the Bears at least a bit. In that case, the Bears are probably going to score some points (which, for the Bears, may just mean 13, 14 or 17).
I think GB scores 30 or more, though. Bears have been allowing a generous one point per 10 yards, GB scoring one per every 13. Looking at GB topping 28 or 30 and Chicago chipping in with 10 to 20.
So why am I not taking GB minus the points? Too damn popular and too damn easy.
