Espn Contrarian plays wk 3

[Taximike]

Going to give the old contrarian angle a play for a while and see where it takes me. For those who don't know, basically you are picking against the public; if a large percentage of pickers likes team A in a game, then i bet on team B. A good example would have been last weeks browns/bengals game; over 80% were on the bengals so the contrarian play would've been to bet the browns.

I'm going to use two sources, Espn's contest where you pick games against spread, and the site that has wager in its name. (pretty sure i can't post it here)

I will be betting one unit each on the top 3 least picked teams on both sites. ( 1.5 units on the top game at each site)


Week 3 games.......
Not sure if this will hold true throughout the year, but both sites have the same teams as this weeks plays.


Wager*****: Atlanta 21% vs Carolina, Houston 30% vs Indy and Jacksonville 31% vs Denver

Espn: Atlanta 15%, Houston 21%, and Jacksonville 23%.



So the bets are:
Atlanta +4 3 units L
Houston +6.5 2 units W
Jacksonville +3 2 units W

Updated YTD Record:

2-1
+.7 units


Espn YTD Record:
2-1
0-1 Best bet

Wager***** YTD Record:
2-1
0-1 Best bet

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

I really like all 3 of these plays.

GL today.

 

[Taximike]

Going to give the old contrarian angle a play for a while and see where it takes me. For those who don't know, basically you are picking against the public; if a large percentage of pickers likes team A in a game, then i bet on team B.

I'm going to use two sources, Espn's contest where you pick games against spread, and the site that has wager in its name. (pretty sure i can't post it here)
I will be betting one unit each on the top 3 least picked teams on both sites. ( 1.5 units on the top game at each site)


Last week went 2-1, thanks to DeAngelo Hall being an idiot.

Week 4 games:

Wager*****- Atlanta 28%, Cincy 30%, and Minnesota 32%

Espn- Atlanta 16%, Arizona 21%, Minnesota 25%


This weeks bets........

Atlanta +2.5 3 units
Minnesota +1.5 2 units
Arizona +6 1 unit
Cincy +7.5 1 unit

ytd record:
2-1
0-1 Top plays
+.7 units

Espn & Wager***** ytd records:
2-1
0-1 top plays
+.35 units

 

[sonicHeart]

I like this thread alot --- keep up the good work.

I'm already on Atlanta this week and leaning toward Arizona. I'm staying away from the Minny game altogether, but alot of sharp money is on them. Personally I can't bring myself to bet against this GB team until they show signs of weakness. If GB and Atlanta both win i'm hammering zona.

 

[rrc]

I think I'll tag along today.

Quick question...where on the espn website do you find the contest picks?

Thanks

 

[Taximike]

Here is link; only problem is i wish they would show the previous weeks picks/results, but they do not.

http://games.espn.go.com/pigskin/whopickedwhomSpread?entryIDFrom=null&change=no