F1 2018

[Snafu]

weekend so far 0 - 5 -6u

pending
to win
Hamilton +137 1u and +275 3u

R?ikk?nen spoiled his pole in last corner and starts 6th, he is only one in top 6 starting with softer tyres.
Means Merc goes 2 -1 vs Vettel = one car copies Vettels strategy and other car counters it.

All speculation and guessing is unnecessary here at Baku track, anything can happen and we will see safety car and possibly several crashes ( Safety car YES -600 :mj07: ).


Winnig car
Mercedes +162 x 3u

Most team points
Mercedes +125 4u

^imo excellent odds for this situation


Kimi and Max starting side by side... what could go wrong... they will go H2H at some point of the race

Both cars to be classified ?
Ferrari NO +333
Red Bull NO +162 x 2

Leader after
1st lap
Hamilton +350
Bottas +1000

5 laps
Hamilton +350
Bottas +1200

10 laps
Hamilton +400
Bottas +1600
R?ikk?nen +1100

1u each :scared these bets are immediately f'd up if there is 1st lap accident = safety car

Number of classified drivers
UNDER 15? -163 3u


should be good one :toast:

 

[Snafu]

as excepted, you can't make this shit up.

So close to be either complete fuck up or jackpot, now this landed somewhere in between :0042


race +8.72u
-qual -6.00u
--------------------------
weekend 2.72u


:0008

 

[Snafu]

Barcelona GP

Practice 3
Bottas +275 1u

Pole
Hamilton +137 3u
Bottas +333 2u

qual H2H
R?ikk?nen +225 2u - Vettel
Ricciardo -120 x 2 - Verstappen

qual winning margin
UNDER 0.15 secs +100 x 4
well known track for teams and drivers (gap was 2017 0.053 secs)

Winning car (race)
Mercedes -150 x 4u
a bit steep but i'll bite


:0008

 

[Snafu]

Bottas misses practice 3 best time by 0.013 secs...

pole by 0.040 secs...

and Ricciardo loses to Verstappen by 0.002 secs...

:0002


but some profit anyway: +0.71u

Mercedes starts 1-2 so pending winning car bet looks good:

Winning car (race)
Mercedes -150 x 4u
a bit steep but i'll bite

 

[Snafu]

Barcelona GP is usually pretty boring race, so let's hope it's boring today too :0corn
Small chance of rain showers but not counting on it, temp coolish +18C
Tactically one or two stop strategies very close, we might see teams splitting strategies between two cars.


pending:
Winning car (race)
Mercedes -150 x 4u
no reason to hedge this

to win
Hamilton -163 x 3
a bit chalky but i'll take it

fastest lap
R?ikk?nen +700
he and Vettel have new sets of "super soft" tyres unlike Merc

top six finish
Alonso YES +120 2u

both cars to be classified (finish race)
Williams NO +100 x 3u
Toro Rosso NO +150 x 2


nothing much to bet and i don't wan't to push it

GL :0008

 

[Snafu]

as excepted nothing much happened, williams crashed with max and spun out of the track but still some how both cars managed to finish

weekend profit +4.71u :0074

 

[Snafu]

busy weeks ahead around Europe, next one Monaco this weekend.
Mercedes doesn't fit to a few of the tracks at all, and Monaco is one of them.

Quickest in practice 1 thursday
R?ikk?nen +800
Alonso +6600 :SIB
1u each

:0008

edit:
max bet at bet365 for Alonso was....

wait for it....

$21

looks like they are limiting winnings from one bet to under $1500 :nono:

 

[Snafu]

-2u

Qual
pole
Ricciardo +187 2u

qual h2h
R?ikk?nen +225 2u - Vettel


Race
podium finish ?
Verstappen NO +175 3u
he finds the way to screw his race up...

 

[Snafu]

fastest in P3
Hamilton +550 1u

qual winning margin
Over 0.250secs +300 2u
worth a shot, new kind of tyres and unpredictable traffic around the track

pole
Hamilton +400 2u

both cars points finish
Ferrari YES -188 2u
i usually play against this but that's actually very decent odds. if we look back last three years and top three team finishes, 2/3 races all six cars scored points ( 2/18 over all, if i remember right 2016 Max an Kimi knocked each others out, other than that = points finish to top team cars).

:0008

 

[Snafu]

3rd + qual -3.26u - 2u = -5.26 so far

winnin gap was 0.229 so it was pretty close

pending race picks:

both cars points finish
Ferrari YES -188 2u

podium finish ?
Verstappen NO +175 3u
nothing to say here, glad he isn't in top six but starts dead last and will crash
at some point of the race with someone...

won't be around much tomorrow so here are race picks:

to win
Vettel +275 3u
R?ikk?nen +2000 1u
i think Ferrari will wear tyres less than RB and Merc. If so, when Ricciardo & Hamilton pits
Vettel takes lead and have free track a few laps unlike pitting cars that return to the track
in the middle of traffic.

safety car ?
NO +600 1u
i hope VSC is enough when something happens, up to Max this one :SIB

Number of classified cars
O15? +200 2u
20 cars will start, i hope boys take it easy... teams haven't had much technical problems this weekend.


GL :0008

 

[Snafu]

a few more:

"Combination podium finish" (bet365 like most of my F1 bets)
Will Hamilton and Ricciardo finish on the podium YES -125 3u

both cars points finish (top 10) ?
Red Bull YES -120 2u
McLaren YES +150 2u


:0008

 

[Snafu]

Monaco GP +10.99u


:00hour

 

[Snafu]

Canadian Grand Prix :canada1

probably another borefest after quals. Merc's track, i doubt Ferrari or RB can keep up.

to win
Hamilton +137 4u


winning car
Mercedes +100 4u

1st practice
Bottas +275 1u

opcorn2

 

[Snafu]

-1u


3rd practice
Merc has been saving soft tyres:
Hamilton +137 3u

quals

pole
Hamilton -102 3u

qual winning margin
O 0.2 secs +150 2u


if you like chalk, Vettel has new engine update vs R?ikk?nen's older type and used engine.
quals H2H is Vettel -300. playing it to some parlay but not as a straight bet.


:0008

 

[Snafu]

-9.06u

Hamilton has shitty weekend going and he just can't perform on his level. He should have been slightly quicker than Bottas that missed pole by 0.093secs.

From my pending bets view i'm afraid that Vettel takes this but i guess i just let these pending bets run without counter bets and hope for the best. Ferrari has decent race pace and this is difficult track to make passes. Vettel also has new updated engine.

to win
Hamilton +137 4u (now +348)

winning car
Mercedes +100 4u (now +200)

race bingo:
leader after 1st
Bottas +400
Hamilton +1600

after 5laps
Bottas +400
Hamilton +1400

10laps
Bottas +350
Hamilton +1400
^1u each...

Verstappen starts with "hyper soft" so he might cause some chaos... he also makes earlier pit stop with Ricciardo than Ferrari and MB.

End of 1st lap position:
Verstappen 4th or worse +175 2u

most team points
Mercedes +110 x 4u

i see both Mercedes cars on podium...

both cars points finish
Force India YES -138 3u

winning margin
O6 secs -120 3u

good luck, i guess i need some to pull profits out of this race... :s5:

 

[Snafu]

what an disaster of a race: -30u :0008

Hamilton got done shit and had lamest race i can remember.

 

[Snafu]

funny thing: someone flagged chequered flag while race was still going on (just when Vettel started his last lap). When Vettel actually finished race (70laps) gap between him and Bottas was 5.8secs.

BUT since flag was shown prematurely race results are from end of the lap 68.
At that moment gap was +7secs = winning.


So, not so unlucky after all.... :00hour

 

[Snafu]

Paul Ricard aka France GP

3rd practice
Hamilton -150 2u

to win the race
Hamilton -138 5u

 

[Snafu]

-3u

Weather looks good so i'm just gonna ride this early Hamilton bet with small action plays, he starts from the pole and Mercedes looked good so far.

to win the race
Hamilton -138 5u

podium finish
Vettel YES -175 2u

leader after 10 laps
Hamilton -225 4u
yep, steep but imo worth it...

:toast:

 

[Snafu]

Vettel crashed in first corner, good job...
R?ikk?nen was 3rd, so Vettel should have had easy podium but nooo

weekend +2?u :0008