Favorites with single and double revenge

[shawn555]

last years results
http://www.madjacksports.com/forum/...-revenge-in-conference-tournaments&highlight=


single revenge (11-12-1)

3/5 Charleston Southern -6 (W)
3/7 NC Asheville -1 1/2 (W)
3/7 Winthrop -2 (P)
3/7 E Kentucky -1 1/2 (W)
3/8 UT Chatt -3 (L)
3/9 Manhattan -6 (W)
3/11 NC A&T -1 (L)
3/11 North Texas -5 (L)
3/11 Marshall -2 (W)
3/11 Delaware State -1 (L)
3/12 Notre Dame -3 1/2 (L)
3/12 Miami Fla -6 (L)
3/12 Geo Mason -5 (L)
3/12 Oral Roberts -7 1/2 (L)
3/12 No Texas -2 1/2 (L)
3/13 Colorado -1 (W)
3/13 Morgan -5 1/2 (W)
3/13 LSU -2 1/2 (W)
3/14 Duke -8 1/2 (L)
3/14 La Tech -1 (W)
3/14 Akron -1 (L)
3/15 MSU -1 1/2 (W)
3/16 VCU -4 1/2 (L)


double revenge (7-3)

3/7 Samford -1 (W)
3/9 Cos Carolina -2 1/2 (W)
3/12 Seton Hall -1 1/2 (L)
3/13 Alabama A&M -1 1/2 (W)
3/13 Bakersfield -3 (W)
3/13 Memphis -2 1/2 (L)
3/14 Geo Wash -1 (W)
3/14 Baylor -1 1/2 (W)
3/15 ULL -3 1/2 (L)
3/16 MSU -2 1/2 (W)


WOMENS

single revenge (8-5)

3/5 Eastern Kentucky -4 1/2 -120 (W)
3/5 SIU edwardsville -3 1/2 -120 (L)
3/5 Virginia -6 1/2 -120 (W)
3/5 Missouri -1 1/2 -120 (L)
3/6 Georgia -2 -120 (W)
3/6 LaSalle -2 -120 (W)
3/6 auburn -8 -120 (W)
3/6 lsu -7 1/2 -120 (W)
3/8 Fordham -7 1/2 -120 (W)
3/9 Winthrop -5 1/2 -120 (W)
3/9 tennessee -5 1/2 -120 (L)
3/11 NC Central -2 1/2 -120 (L)
3/12 East Carolina -6 1/2 -120 (L)

double revenge (3-4)

3/6 eastern kentucky -1 1/2 -120 (W)
3/6 LMU -2 -120 (L)
3/7 Kentucky -7 1/2 -120 (L)
3/7 Fordham -2 1/2 -120 (W)
3/8 Duke -7 1/2 -120 (L)
3/12 Toledo -4 -110 (W)
3/12 uc davis -1 1/2 -120 (L)

 

[WildBillPicks7]

last years results
http://www.madjacksports.com/forum/...-revenge-in-conference-tournaments&highlight=


single revenge




double revenge

So you are saying first game or any game during conf tourney action, Shawn?

If so, then this would be a play?

UW-Mil -2 (Lost last game vs Detroit, 73-54 @ Home)
E Tenn St -4 1/2 now, down from -6 (Lost at home vs Lip 82-80)

:shrug:

 

[shawn555]

Its for teams that either lose the only matchup of the season and are favored or teams that lost both matchups and are favored.

If teams play two times and split the matchups there is no play.

Also its for any game of the conference tourney.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Its for teams that either lose the only matchup of the season and are favored or teams that lost both matchups and are favored.

If teams play two times and split the matchups there is no play.

Also its for any game of the conference tourney.

Makes sense, thanks Shawn! I saw you post this last year and overall I believe it came out ahead using equal units each game.

GL!!

:toast:

 

[ageecee]

so single and double revenge were 20-16 last year?


betting $100a game you would of made $240

 

[shawn555]

so single and double revenge were 20-16 last year?


betting $100a game you would of made $240

And?

 

[Musca]

Shawn...

Shawn...

Have you back tested this further than just last year? If not just looking at last year results I would tend to bet on the single revenge and AGAINST the double revenge?

I personally do not like the "revenge" theory. If they beat you twice then they can beat you a 3rd time. I know people use the angle just my 2 cents...

 

[shawn555]

Have you back tested this further than just last year? If not just looking at last year results I would tend to bet on the single revenge and AGAINST the double revenge?

I personally do not like the "revenge" theory. If they beat you twice then they can beat you a 3rd time. I know people use the angle just my 2 cents...

I don't have the exact numbers anymore lost them in an external hard drive death, but both trends usually win. Last year was the first time in five years that the double revenge had a losing year.

Sooner or later these things fade out and are no longer useful, will see what the double revenges do this year.

This kinda follows in line with old favored unranked at home vs ranked angle, its more about Vegas telling us who the better team is, regardless of previous matchup.

 

[Musca]

Shawn

Shawn

Hey, I am all for it...

The home unranked angle is one I use extensively... just not ATS... I just use it SU.

Just questioning... Good luck and lets kick some ass this tourney time.

 

[dms79]

so single and double revenge were 20-16 last year?


betting $100a game you would of made $240

This, in and of itself, is pretty damn meaningless.

 

[loophole]

i dont do much tracking but a variation on this system i have used in the past is to play the single digit home favorite with revenge off a s/u and ats loss. smaller sample win a better win % i believe.

 

[shawn555]

A couple plays up for Friday, will add womens tomorrow.

 

[Tenpin832]

Thanks for posting,good luck!!!

 

[shawn555]

All plays for today are up for womens and mens.

 

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

All plays for today are up for womens and mens.

Thanks for all the effort and time taken to post these Shawn ! :toast:

 

[shawn555]

Thanks for all the effort and time taken to post these Shawn ! :toast:

No problem.

A nice day today, will have tomorrows plays up in the morning.

 

[Tenpin832]

Personally got Winthrop @ -1.5

Happy I ran across this thread,thanks again and hopefully continued success

 

[Got5onIt]

Thanks for the effort you put into this system. It helped me finish in the black tonight!

 

[Tenpin832]

Nice drunken double post looking forward to tomorrow's plays

 

[shawn555]

Updated for today.