Guys I have to hit the road again this week and there is no way that I will be able to do my full writeups. So, I am going to post the lines I hit already. I moved some of the lines when I hit them but there is still some value IMHO.
Remember I play ALL of my dogs on the moneyline too. Usually just 25$ but if it is a smaller moneyline that varies.
Howard pk, -1, -2; Baby Fig is just an offensive powerhouse. This Howard team popped on the scene vs UNLV but it was not a fluke. SCSU coach Pugh said the lost last week to Delaware State was the most disappointing loss of his career. This SCSU team will be motivated but they just dont have the skill set to keep up here. I think it will mimic the Howard vs NCCU game in terms of score but I really see Howard being a class above here. I could see a 23-10 type game. 5*
Columbia +8.5 & +7; No respect for the Lions. Anders HIll is a real QB. Yale was able to go on the road and beat a decent Penn team. But this number is just too big. This is going to be a battle and if Columbia does not win I expect them to stay within this number. Yale does have the statistics but some of those are buoyed by the game vs Lehigh. I think we see Columbia win 24-21 3*
Lehigh -6; I hate Fordham right now. Medlock starting at QB and the running back getting a lot of the carries is actually a kid from my High School Alma Mater; D'Angelo Palladino Ironton, OH. Anyways- This Lehigh team has real issues. Their defense is garbage but the good news is the Fordham offense is a dumpster fire. Kevin Anderson is out, Chase Edmonds is out... The defense will not be able to slow the Lehigh offense. The Fordham offense will need to score 40 to stay in this game and I just dont see it. I stepped out here. I know laying points on the road but- Lehigh is going to come back and win this damn conference and be the playoff representative. I could talk ad nauseum about this Lehigh team. I know them very well. Fordham wins 45-24 3*
Missouri State pk; This is a stepping out play as well. However, please know we are asking a not good team to win. If you analyze the schedules of these 2 teams wow just a pure gauntlet but the missouri state offense is far ahead of this Indiana State offense. Missouri State has a good running game (a hybrid option) and they will score. This is going to be a shootout. 49-35 type game. Missouri State Over 64 Both 3*
UNI +16; Guys I am not seeing UNI team very well. I have them rated lower but they are playing damn good ball. Wehymiller the RB is back and there is a good chance Dunn the RB for NDSU does not play this week. Just a feeling here. UNI has a shot. 2*
Hampton +9; I rate Hampton higher than they are rated because of how well they battled Monmouth. BCU is a solid defense minded MEAC school. I just feel like the Hampton offense will have enough to keep them in this game. 2*
Monmouth +4.5; For me the monmouth offense is the class of the conference. If CSU allowed Savannah State to score 20+ last week then we could see a shootout here. My rankings had this game as a pick'em so I will take the extra points. Monmouth will be able to score. If we can limit turnovers we will win this game. 2.5*
Bucknell +16; Colgate is not good enough to be laying 16 here. There win LW over Holy Cross was bullshit. Holy Cross program is in shambles. Just fired there coach. NO defense and no morale. Bucknell could win this game. 1.5*
Eastern Illinois +4.5; PLay against UT Martin. EIU if they can win out will make the playoffs. I think they win this game. 20-10
DArtmouth -1; Harvard has fallen. Dartmouth did not have the magic last week vs Columbia (as we expected) but they will regain the magic here. Harvard just does not have the firepower. I usually like to fade teams off their first loss so this not the game to step out on. Just a normal play here. 1*
Presbyterian +12.5; Just seems like too many points. I am high on KSU but think Presbyterian defense can keep them in this one. Could be a 20-10 type game.
Idaho State +8.5; I think the Tigers have the offense to stay in this game. Montana State not playing good ball. This could be a shootout.
I would love to play ELON as that offense is for real but without Summers it changes everything. Nova's defense is FBS good. Dominant type defense.
Totals:
Lehigh Under 84.5
RMU Over 25.5
Missouri State O/64
South Dakota O/67
Ten State Under 43.5
Northern Arizona Over 65
FBS:
Boston College +3 & +145; Maybe the obvious play but I have to make the play. BC playing much better and FSU lost Patrick for the year, lost the game to U of L and the fresh QB just cannot throw the back down the field. I expect BC to win this one. 3* and 1.5* Strong play
Georgia Tech +14.5; I know the Tigers have had extra time to prep for the rambling wreck but not sure it will matter. This GT team is solid. I think they can get a couple of long drives to eat clock and stay within this liberal number.
Maryland +4; Just dont think this Hoosiers team should be laying points on the road.
Wyoming +2; This makes no damn sense to me. UNM is not playing any better than Wyoming so why would you ask them to go on the road and win? Craig Bol knows how to circle the wagons and Josh Allen really is better than he is playing. To me, UNM has some real deep shit going on- The allegations of abuse leveled against Davie
Arizona State +3 +100 & +140; USC has no bye week this year and it is starting to take its toll. Team looked tired and slow vs UND. While part of that was UND I think the rest is USC is tired. SC loses.
Tulsa +9.5; Hunch play
Iowa State +6.5; TCU is doing great but they have Texas on deck and this ISU team is playing out of their mind. Dont like Patterson has as a road fave.
Western Kentucky +7.5; WKU was looking ahead last week vs ODU. FAU appears class of the conference as they hung 804 yards on UNT last week. Something about when teams step up with games like that... I look for a little let down. WKU at home catching more than a TD.. I will take. WKU has tweaked some things and now in b2b games they have scored more than 30... I think they can do it here to. Shootout
NC STate +7.5 & +245; UND may be for real but they have a hell of a schedule right now. NCSU has had 10 days to prep for UND and it will show. This one says shootout to me. Really like NCSU and Moneyline here. strong play 3* MOneyline .5*
Totals
Kansas State Under 57.5
Oregon Under 52.5
Texas Under 57
Fresno State Under 57.5
Ole Miss Under 64.5
Oklahoma Under 73
ODU Under 61.5
Toledo Under 59
There you go. I have laid it out. This is one of the stronger weekends I have felt in awhile. A lot of strong plays. Everything is in and I am set. Now I am off to Houston to work for 10 - 14 days. If you have questions feel free to ask. If you want my record please feel free to go back and tally it...
Top plays
Howard and Lehigh
Columbia
Missouri State
Boston College
NCSU
Remember I play ALL of my dogs on the moneyline too. Usually just 25$ but if it is a smaller moneyline that varies.
Howard pk, -1, -2; Baby Fig is just an offensive powerhouse. This Howard team popped on the scene vs UNLV but it was not a fluke. SCSU coach Pugh said the lost last week to Delaware State was the most disappointing loss of his career. This SCSU team will be motivated but they just dont have the skill set to keep up here. I think it will mimic the Howard vs NCCU game in terms of score but I really see Howard being a class above here. I could see a 23-10 type game. 5*
Columbia +8.5 & +7; No respect for the Lions. Anders HIll is a real QB. Yale was able to go on the road and beat a decent Penn team. But this number is just too big. This is going to be a battle and if Columbia does not win I expect them to stay within this number. Yale does have the statistics but some of those are buoyed by the game vs Lehigh. I think we see Columbia win 24-21 3*
Lehigh -6; I hate Fordham right now. Medlock starting at QB and the running back getting a lot of the carries is actually a kid from my High School Alma Mater; D'Angelo Palladino Ironton, OH. Anyways- This Lehigh team has real issues. Their defense is garbage but the good news is the Fordham offense is a dumpster fire. Kevin Anderson is out, Chase Edmonds is out... The defense will not be able to slow the Lehigh offense. The Fordham offense will need to score 40 to stay in this game and I just dont see it. I stepped out here. I know laying points on the road but- Lehigh is going to come back and win this damn conference and be the playoff representative. I could talk ad nauseum about this Lehigh team. I know them very well. Fordham wins 45-24 3*
Missouri State pk; This is a stepping out play as well. However, please know we are asking a not good team to win. If you analyze the schedules of these 2 teams wow just a pure gauntlet but the missouri state offense is far ahead of this Indiana State offense. Missouri State has a good running game (a hybrid option) and they will score. This is going to be a shootout. 49-35 type game. Missouri State Over 64 Both 3*
UNI +16; Guys I am not seeing UNI team very well. I have them rated lower but they are playing damn good ball. Wehymiller the RB is back and there is a good chance Dunn the RB for NDSU does not play this week. Just a feeling here. UNI has a shot. 2*
Hampton +9; I rate Hampton higher than they are rated because of how well they battled Monmouth. BCU is a solid defense minded MEAC school. I just feel like the Hampton offense will have enough to keep them in this game. 2*
Monmouth +4.5; For me the monmouth offense is the class of the conference. If CSU allowed Savannah State to score 20+ last week then we could see a shootout here. My rankings had this game as a pick'em so I will take the extra points. Monmouth will be able to score. If we can limit turnovers we will win this game. 2.5*
Bucknell +16; Colgate is not good enough to be laying 16 here. There win LW over Holy Cross was bullshit. Holy Cross program is in shambles. Just fired there coach. NO defense and no morale. Bucknell could win this game. 1.5*
Eastern Illinois +4.5; PLay against UT Martin. EIU if they can win out will make the playoffs. I think they win this game. 20-10
DArtmouth -1; Harvard has fallen. Dartmouth did not have the magic last week vs Columbia (as we expected) but they will regain the magic here. Harvard just does not have the firepower. I usually like to fade teams off their first loss so this not the game to step out on. Just a normal play here. 1*
Presbyterian +12.5; Just seems like too many points. I am high on KSU but think Presbyterian defense can keep them in this one. Could be a 20-10 type game.
Idaho State +8.5; I think the Tigers have the offense to stay in this game. Montana State not playing good ball. This could be a shootout.
I would love to play ELON as that offense is for real but without Summers it changes everything. Nova's defense is FBS good. Dominant type defense.
Totals:
Lehigh Under 84.5
RMU Over 25.5
Missouri State O/64
South Dakota O/67
Ten State Under 43.5
Northern Arizona Over 65
FBS:
Boston College +3 & +145; Maybe the obvious play but I have to make the play. BC playing much better and FSU lost Patrick for the year, lost the game to U of L and the fresh QB just cannot throw the back down the field. I expect BC to win this one. 3* and 1.5* Strong play
Georgia Tech +14.5; I know the Tigers have had extra time to prep for the rambling wreck but not sure it will matter. This GT team is solid. I think they can get a couple of long drives to eat clock and stay within this liberal number.
Maryland +4; Just dont think this Hoosiers team should be laying points on the road.
Wyoming +2; This makes no damn sense to me. UNM is not playing any better than Wyoming so why would you ask them to go on the road and win? Craig Bol knows how to circle the wagons and Josh Allen really is better than he is playing. To me, UNM has some real deep shit going on- The allegations of abuse leveled against Davie
Arizona State +3 +100 & +140; USC has no bye week this year and it is starting to take its toll. Team looked tired and slow vs UND. While part of that was UND I think the rest is USC is tired. SC loses.
Tulsa +9.5; Hunch play
Iowa State +6.5; TCU is doing great but they have Texas on deck and this ISU team is playing out of their mind. Dont like Patterson has as a road fave.
Western Kentucky +7.5; WKU was looking ahead last week vs ODU. FAU appears class of the conference as they hung 804 yards on UNT last week. Something about when teams step up with games like that... I look for a little let down. WKU at home catching more than a TD.. I will take. WKU has tweaked some things and now in b2b games they have scored more than 30... I think they can do it here to. Shootout
NC STate +7.5 & +245; UND may be for real but they have a hell of a schedule right now. NCSU has had 10 days to prep for UND and it will show. This one says shootout to me. Really like NCSU and Moneyline here. strong play 3* MOneyline .5*
Totals
Kansas State Under 57.5
Oregon Under 52.5
Texas Under 57
Fresno State Under 57.5
Ole Miss Under 64.5
Oklahoma Under 73
ODU Under 61.5
Toledo Under 59
There you go. I have laid it out. This is one of the stronger weekends I have felt in awhile. A lot of strong plays. Everything is in and I am set. Now I am off to Houston to work for 10 - 14 days. If you have questions feel free to ask. If you want my record please feel free to go back and tally it...
Top plays
Howard and Lehigh
Columbia
Missouri State
Boston College
NCSU
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