- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
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I was not completely surprised to see the Mavs collapse at the end of the last game. They were bound to slip mentally at some point in this series, and it happened in the fourth quarter last night. They were too comfortable with their dominant position. Now that Miami won a game, they should come out sharp and strong. And don't forget that the Heat are 11-15 ATS at home vs. teams with winning records, while the Mavs are 17-9 ATS away vs. teams with winning records.
The key to beating the Heat is defense, so I'll be playing the under. Miami is 6-16 SU at home when they score less than 100 points, and the Mavs have proved that they can hold good offensive teams to low-scoring games.
The Mavs are a playoff-spread-covering machine. And until they give me a reason to bet against them, I'll take them every game.
MAVS +3 (-105) 4 units
UNDER 189 (-105) 2 units
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE
The key to beating the Heat is defense, so I'll be playing the under. Miami is 6-16 SU at home when they score less than 100 points, and the Mavs have proved that they can hold good offensive teams to low-scoring games.
The Mavs are a playoff-spread-covering machine. And until they give me a reason to bet against them, I'll take them every game.
MAVS +3 (-105) 4 units
UNDER 189 (-105) 2 units
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE
