3-0 last night, 40-32 (+2.1*) YTD
Minnesota +3, 3* to win 2.5* (( line jumped to2.5, bought half point ))
When I first looked at this line I liked Michigan a lot and actually squeezed them into a $50 parlay card. But now, I think Minnesota gets a huge win. (Huge for their program I mean, not a blowout).
Bottom line, Minnesota is better in virtually every stat and has the momentum and home truf/crowd advantage. Yes, they've played weak competition, but if you compare their numbers to what their opponents have been averaging against them, they're still all better than the same differential in Michigan's games.
Minny- 277 rushing yards per game, 5.3 per carry, 59% completions, 10.3 yards per pass attempt, 473 yards per game, 11 yards per point.
Mich-199rush yds per game, 4.9 ypc, 55% comp, 7.2 ypa, 458 ypg, 12.6 yards per point.
Minnesota is also averaging a ridiculous 59.8 percent on third downs. The defense is allowing 13 points against teams averaging 19, while Michigan is a bit better giving up 14 against teams averaging 23.
Michigan has struggled on the road. The Wolves are averaging 1.4 ypc on the road and are giving up a point for every 11 yards. Of course they're also 0-2, both times as faves.
Minny also is forcing more turnovers and comitting fewer than michigan. Bottom line, I think Minnesota has been the better team. They're not just winnin games, theyre killing people, winning by margins of 39, 41, 22, 34, 6 and 25.
People want to talk about how Michigan has played better teams, but who have they beaten? CMU, Notre Dame, Houston and Indiana. This is a tough game to call and could go either way, but I have a feeling Minnesota get a landmark win tonight.
Minnesota +3, 3* to win 2.5* (( line jumped to2.5, bought half point ))
When I first looked at this line I liked Michigan a lot and actually squeezed them into a $50 parlay card. But now, I think Minnesota gets a huge win. (Huge for their program I mean, not a blowout).
Bottom line, Minnesota is better in virtually every stat and has the momentum and home truf/crowd advantage. Yes, they've played weak competition, but if you compare their numbers to what their opponents have been averaging against them, they're still all better than the same differential in Michigan's games.
Minny- 277 rushing yards per game, 5.3 per carry, 59% completions, 10.3 yards per pass attempt, 473 yards per game, 11 yards per point.
Mich-199rush yds per game, 4.9 ypc, 55% comp, 7.2 ypa, 458 ypg, 12.6 yards per point.
Minnesota is also averaging a ridiculous 59.8 percent on third downs. The defense is allowing 13 points against teams averaging 19, while Michigan is a bit better giving up 14 against teams averaging 23.
Michigan has struggled on the road. The Wolves are averaging 1.4 ypc on the road and are giving up a point for every 11 yards. Of course they're also 0-2, both times as faves.
Minny also is forcing more turnovers and comitting fewer than michigan. Bottom line, I think Minnesota has been the better team. They're not just winnin games, theyre killing people, winning by margins of 39, 41, 22, 34, 6 and 25.
People want to talk about how Michigan has played better teams, but who have they beaten? CMU, Notre Dame, Houston and Indiana. This is a tough game to call and could go either way, but I have a feeling Minnesota get a landmark win tonight.
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