First and Ten - - Twenty Ten

L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,389
206
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
2010 NFL YTD: 0-0 (+0.00*)

2009 NFL Regular Season: 57-45 (+8.40*)
2009-2010 NFL Post Season: 7-6 (-0.80*)

2010 NCAA YTD: 3-4 (-2.20*)
Top Plays (included above): 0-1 (-1.80*)


I've been tracking 5 NFL opening week picks on my radar for weeks, and have consistently seen what I've been expecting to see to keep me on those picks. So the real questions become whether to make them ** Top Plays **, and what to do about all the other plays I seem to be liking.


New Orleans(-4') over Minnesota (1.5*) ** Top Play **
- - Minnesota tonight is far removed from the soaring squad that paid a visit here last January, that is a fact, and I have an opinion they won't get back to that echelon come next January. Also IMO, New Orleans is not so far removed from where they were back then, if much at all, and I score the multiple intangible angles as being squarely with the host tonight as well.


- - Hanginaround:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ARiiO_41Id8


GL

******************************

Don't believe everything you think.

******************************

0101lombardi_office_1968.jpg
 
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,389
206
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
2010 NFL YTD: 1-0 (+1.50*)

2010 NCAA YTD: 9-6 (+1.60*)
Top Plays (included above): 1-1 (-0.30*)


Houston(+1') over Indianapolis (1.5*) ** Top Play **
- - The Jim Caldwell led Colts are primed and poised for one thing, a rude start to their season, but with only one playoff team from last year to face in their first six games, Indy could sustain an illusion, and then eventually assume a more compelling and familiar identity. As it is, the opponent for today is actually the right team in the right spot to reveal the Colts as being a long way from one of the 2010 NFL's seasons best teams . . . The never-as-yet-tough-by-a-long-shot Texans don't even have to be tougher than Indy in this game (although it would certainly help), they just have to be the hungrier team, and then not be self-destructive in translating that hunger into their best football. I have no doubt Houston is the hungrier team down to the laces in their shoes, and I'll also be putting a few dollars of this wager on an alternate line of Houston(-3')(+175) . . . If Houston isn't up to the task, I can't think of an instance in years where rather than anger or disgust or indifference at my cash being down the drain, I'll instead be lauhing hard for days at the thought of the pain and embarrassment being felt by a team that couldn't shoot straight.


Cleveland(+3) over Tampa Bay (1.5*) ** Top Play **
- - The infusion of a palpable and proven culture of doing things a right way, an expectation of good things that will manifest itself in resilience to bad things, a two way embrace between QB Delhomme and his fresh start, and better quality depth in today's Florida sauna (with a bad throwing thumb for QB Freeman) are on one side of the ledger for a live dawg.



FWIW, back to the Houston/Indy game, taken from another site . . .

Week 1 - LY Super Bowl Loser: 2-9 SU 1-9-1 ATS last 11 years

Week 1 - LY Super Bowl Winner: 10-0 SU 7-2-1 ATS last 10 years (now 11-0)



GL
 
Last edited:
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,389
206
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
2010 NFL YTD: 4-3 (+1.15*)

2010 NCAA YTD: 9-6 (+1.60*)
Top Plays (included above): 2-2 (-0.45*)


Dallas(-8)(-115) over Chicago (2*) ** Top Play **
- - Give me a spot where the better team (i.e., a deserved favorite) heads home off some sort of crushing defeat (the more scrutinized and discussed the better for sticking in their collective craw), still hungry and healthy and focused, but with their young season imperiled with becoming a season of regrets . . . Send in an opponent that clearly has issues but just shit horseshoes out of their asses to stifle any equivalent sense of urgency . . . I know from experience, not just theory, that I'm getting a palpable and splendid situational advantage that permeates both squads, and more often than not (including this time), I believe I'm catching a deflated number from the linesmaker as well . . . I seriously question any scary ability of the Bears to replicate Washington's success exploiting weaknesses in the Dallas OL, and I think the bigger or at least equal concerns lie with the Bears and the soft back end of their defense. More importantly, IMO the real mismatch on the board is a pissed off Dallas defense (that has done its job) making matters uncomfortable for Mr. Cutler behind his suspect OL. . . . Breakdowns by Dallas have certainly killed their point production of late, but even that concern is hardly the dynamic that I see controlling the tempo of this contest from start to finish.


GL
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Bet on MyBookie
Top