First Day back

MrChristo

The Zapper
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2001
4,414
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Sexlexia...
2004: 22-16-2

Will be treading a bit lightly today but see some good reasons to play:

Indi -6
Bucks -7
Detroit @ NYK under 180.5

and LOVE Kings -11

Will be back with some reasons shortly.

Good Luck all :cool:
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2001
4,414
5
0
Sexlexia...
Boston are 4th worst in the league for 3 pt % allowed...their perimeter defense is terrible (Ricky Davis!) and the Kings will take full advantage.
League: 21-12 (Av. win 15.7) home 10+ fav off 10- ats winas away 4- fav. [Sac]
4-0 (Av. win 24.5!!) if opp. off a 20+ SU loss.
3-0 (Av. win 24.7!!) if opp off upset loss.

League: 0-17 SU (Av. loss 15.1) away 10+ dof off any 20+ ats away loss. [Bost]

Indi -6:
League: 20-16-2 (Av. win 10.2) home 5+ fav off 10+ ats win as away 5+ fav. [Indi]
11-5-1 (Av. win 13.4)if opp off an ats win. (2-1 this season)

League: 52-70-2 (Av. loss 8.6) away 5+ dog off 10- ats win as home 5+ fav. [NO]
10-23 (Av. loss 8.2) if opp off 10+ ats win.
4-10 (Av. loss 9.9) if the 10+ ats win was as 5+ fav.

Indi: 19-9 this season when total 170-180
16-5 v. winning teams
NO: 2-12 this season when total 170-180
6-12 v. div.

Det @ NYK under 180.5

No real trends here (Actually some pretty strong trends that favour the over), but don't see either of these teams reaching 90 tonight.
The last meeting in NY totalled 157 in OT!!! I realise this was before the trade, and Marbury/Hardaway have definately brought more scoring, but Houston is out, and Okur is out for Det. These 2 players went 14-25 combined for 34 points. Detroit know that to get back on the winning track they have to do it with their defense.

Had a change of heart on Milwaukee. Not playing them. The whole trade and lack of defense thing is scaring me off, but here are the trends I was looking at if anyone's interested.

League: 11-21-2 (Av. loss 10.4) away 5+ dog off 15+ ats loss as home 4- fav. [Orl]
6-13 (Av. loss 10.8) if opp off ats loss.
1-7-2 (Av. loss 12.6) if opp were last dogs.
1-5 (Av. loss 14.8) if opp lost ats as dogs.
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2001
4,414
5
0
Sexlexia...
Just for fun...

Just for fun...

Parlaying:
Indi -6
Sac -11
NYK/Det under 180.5
Milwauke ML
Houston ML

Comes in at a bit over 10.00 ;)
 
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