Houston +8 @ KC - The Chiefs are 0-2, and are down to about their 12th & 13th WR's. I mean, these guys are VERY banged up on offence. And thus far they've shown NO defence at all. Worse than last year, in fact. And for this they get favored by 8? EIGHT?? I know the Texans aren't all that hot, and the Chiefs will be "desperate" 
...but this seems like a hell of a lot of points for a winless team that's on crutches on O, and can't stop anyone on D, to be laying. CAROLINA scored 28 on these guys. Carolina doesn't score 28 over two games usually.
Chicago +9 @ Minnesota - Wow, really? Vikes off a short week. Bears have (I think) some defence this year. Bears have gone Under 7 straight dome games. So if there's a chance the score can be kept within reason, 9 pts should be fairly valuable. I'm not expecting Chi to win B2B on the division road, but I think -6 or -7 would be a more reasonable line. Of course, Minny will be viewed as "desperate" again. I'm not so sure.
Jacksonville +6 @ Tennessee - Call them lucky, call them what you want. But I am starting to believe in the Jags defence. Any time you can hold the Broncos to 6 points you must be doing something right. On the flipside, the Titans just had their BIG BIG game against Indy. Are they mentally ready for this group of unknowns? I have to admit, I'd have liked this game a lot more had Tenn actually won vs Indy, but I am still pretty tempted to keep running with Jax until that luck (or whatever it is) runs out. Tenn's largest margin of victory @ home to Jax in the past 4 years is 9 pts. They usually win, but they don't seem to kill them.
San Fran +10? @ Seattle - Ok, the 'Hawks did it. They withstood the crazy travel to start the season and won both road games a million miles from home. And they are finally rewarded with a home game. Seems to me this might be a good spot for them to get sloppy? At least enough that they don't cover the TD + FG + line. Smells like overlook to me. Shaun Alexander may not be 100% either. SF's 0-2, but have been outscored by a total of FIVE points losing those two games. Another close defeat for the 9ers?
Monday: Washington -1 vs Dallas - Personally I think this is great value. The Skins stunk it up on the road last week, but they are (in my opinion) the better team all-around. To be laying less than a FG to this seriously offensively-challenged Cowboy team looks quite nice. Granted I *AM* something of a Washington fan...but I think we see the Skins of Week 1, not the Skins of Week 2, in this game.
Re: the Philly game. Something stinks here. Everyone knows Detroit is not that good, right? I am still not sure what to make of that -4? line, but did make a couple arguments for Det in MrChristo's thread, FWIW.
...but this seems like a hell of a lot of points for a winless team that's on crutches on O, and can't stop anyone on D, to be laying. CAROLINA scored 28 on these guys. Carolina doesn't score 28 over two games usually.Chicago +9 @ Minnesota - Wow, really? Vikes off a short week. Bears have (I think) some defence this year. Bears have gone Under 7 straight dome games. So if there's a chance the score can be kept within reason, 9 pts should be fairly valuable. I'm not expecting Chi to win B2B on the division road, but I think -6 or -7 would be a more reasonable line. Of course, Minny will be viewed as "desperate"
again. I'm not so sure.Jacksonville +6 @ Tennessee - Call them lucky, call them what you want. But I am starting to believe in the Jags defence. Any time you can hold the Broncos to 6 points you must be doing something right. On the flipside, the Titans just had their BIG BIG game against Indy. Are they mentally ready for this group of unknowns? I have to admit, I'd have liked this game a lot more had Tenn actually won vs Indy, but I am still pretty tempted to keep running with Jax until that luck (or whatever it is) runs out. Tenn's largest margin of victory @ home to Jax in the past 4 years is 9 pts. They usually win, but they don't seem to kill them.
San Fran +10? @ Seattle - Ok, the 'Hawks did it. They withstood the crazy travel to start the season and won both road games a million miles from home. And they are finally rewarded with a home game. Seems to me this might be a good spot for them to get sloppy? At least enough that they don't cover the TD + FG + line. Smells like overlook to me. Shaun Alexander may not be 100% either. SF's 0-2, but have been outscored by a total of FIVE points losing those two games. Another close defeat for the 9ers?
Monday: Washington -1 vs Dallas - Personally I think this is great value. The Skins stunk it up on the road last week, but they are (in my opinion) the better team all-around. To be laying less than a FG to this seriously offensively-challenged Cowboy team looks quite nice. Granted I *AM* something of a Washington fan...but I think we see the Skins of Week 1, not the Skins of Week 2, in this game.
Re: the Philly game. Something stinks here. Everyone knows Detroit is not that good, right? I am still not sure what to make of that -4? line, but did make a couple arguments for Det in MrChristo's thread, FWIW.
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