First Post - some background about me

David John

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Apr 9, 2002
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Man,

We're losing tons of plays because of ridiculousness tonight. SAC has been on fire.. they must have shot 75-80% that quarter. Of course this means they will shoot 30% in the 4th Q and we'll lose the bet.
 

MasterTX

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Apr 9, 2002
811
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DJ

I just played too many plays today, my fault.

11 total plays, looks like we are going to finish 5-6 but still positive because 4/5 (2x) plays should win. Anything positive is ok for me, I need to work on getting the wins up now.
 

David John

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Apr 9, 2002
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Sweet jesus that was a close finish. You did pretty well today, man, but unfortunately no matter how good you are, you are never immune to shitty luck (aka downswings). I learned this the hard way but you get used to it.
 

David John

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 9, 2002
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Also, I've gotta disagree with you about playing less plays. I figure that any play that fits your system's criteria should hit at least 55%. ANY play that you think has at least a 53% chance of winning, you should always play, no questions asked. Even if you only go 11-9 on your worst plays, you are still kicking ass long term.

As long as you're not chasing, which it doesn't look like you are, then there's nothing wrong with playing a lot of games.
 
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