First Round System Plays

[azbob]

I've followed these for a few years..since 1999. Percent indicates winning percent ATS

ON #1 seed 62% (3-1 last year)

UNDER #1 seed 56% (4-0 last year)

ON #15 seed 54% (1-2 last year, was at 60% but, 13-13 since 2005)

UNDER #15 seed 70% (2-2 last year)

ON #3 seed 60% (3-0 last year)

OVER #5 seed 64% (4-0 last year)

ON #10 seed 54% (3-1 last year but, 11-13 previous five years)

UNDER #7 seed 52% (2-2 last year but, 10-14 in previous five years) THIS IS A NO PLAY FOR ME

Also, just an FYI that since 2005, dogs are 62-63 in the first half for NO PLAY.

Good luck and I'll post the 2nd round plays next week as well as update the record for those noted above.

 

[Englishman]

very interesting. thanks.

 

[azbob]

Plays went 5-7 on Thursday as both #1's lose ATS. Seed #7 under won but, that was listed as no play so is not included.

Favs were 11-6-1 ATS in the first half. Based on past performance, I expect the dogs to cover the first half on Friday. Five years in a row, that play has been within one game of being split down the middle (17-15, 15-15, 15-17, 15-16, 15-16)

I'll post the round two system plays on Friday.

 

[Trampled Underfoot]

I know we have had our issues, but I just wanted to give some constructive criticism. Anytime you have a system that doesn't take into consideration the line, it will be a loser long term.

 

[azbob]

2nd Round (Sat-Sun games)

Percentages are ATS

56% all games over = 10-6 in three of the last four years and was 12-4 in the other year

61% dog of four points or less = was 2-3 last year

62% ON the #2 seed = 2-1 last year

58% ON #10 seed = 1-0 last year but, was 1-5 the previous two years

First half over was 11-4 last year

Halftime favorite covered in 54% of games in the last three years but was 5-11 in 2011

good luck

 

[azbob]

Plays went 10-5 on Friday with the #7 seed under going 1-2 (not included in total since it was a no play).

Both #1's covered, as everyone knows two #15 seeds won outright (Detroit was a push for me at 15) and #15 under went 2-1 as did a play on the #10 seed.

Halftime dogs were 7-8 for the day and a disappointing 13-17 for the round.

Overall system plays in the first round were 15-12

 

[azbob]

Plays went 3-6 on Saturday with the overs going 3-4. First half overs were 4-3 and first half dogs were 5-3.

Good luck today.