Football is here (at least preseason) and soon it will be here for real. As I head into the season I was looking at some of my angles for handicapping because I review them every year to see if I should change things up.
This is a post I put up every year and every year I get great feedback that helps newbies as well as the grizzled veterans.
I look forward to the feedback:
So I ask this---what are some of the things that you use to handicap football?
For instance, many pro handicappers use per stats--do you? If so what do you use and how do you use them? Some people I asked use pure math and just averages based on deviations. They can go crazy with numbers but swear by it. If so what stats do you think are the best?
Others use stats as a guide and match up stats like yards per pass etc.
Math
Many people use math and formulas to predict results, stat geeks do you agree?
What about consensus?
Some folks I know swear by it and use it almost exclusively. Others think its bunk and controlled by the site that offers the information.
Newspapers(Blogs/team sites)? DO you read the daily news on the teams you bet on? Or think its mostly hype? since the local press love their hometown team.
Services? Do you just hate the leg work so look for free service plays or use them like a consensus and fade them?
What about trends? Some say you can make them say whatever you want by picking the ones that suit your need so they are junk, while others use them in every day handicapping.
Line movement? This one to me is the most interesting. Some will say they follow the line because sharps beat it up in the first couple days and they want to follow the sharps. Others say the public move the line and so getting on it late or agianst it, in this case, is the way to go.
Finally, is there anything I missed that you use? Or any angles I forgot like systems?
Let's hear what you think.
Sneaks:0008
This is a post I put up every year and every year I get great feedback that helps newbies as well as the grizzled veterans.
I look forward to the feedback:
So I ask this---what are some of the things that you use to handicap football?
For instance, many pro handicappers use per stats--do you? If so what do you use and how do you use them? Some people I asked use pure math and just averages based on deviations. They can go crazy with numbers but swear by it. If so what stats do you think are the best?
Others use stats as a guide and match up stats like yards per pass etc.
Math
Many people use math and formulas to predict results, stat geeks do you agree?
What about consensus?
Some folks I know swear by it and use it almost exclusively. Others think its bunk and controlled by the site that offers the information.
Newspapers(Blogs/team sites)? DO you read the daily news on the teams you bet on? Or think its mostly hype? since the local press love their hometown team.
Services? Do you just hate the leg work so look for free service plays or use them like a consensus and fade them?
What about trends? Some say you can make them say whatever you want by picking the ones that suit your need so they are junk, while others use them in every day handicapping.
Line movement? This one to me is the most interesting. Some will say they follow the line because sharps beat it up in the first couple days and they want to follow the sharps. Others say the public move the line and so getting on it late or agianst it, in this case, is the way to go.
Finally, is there anything I missed that you use? Or any angles I forgot like systems?
Let's hear what you think.
Sneaks:0008
