??? for Fletcher

Lightning

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Feb 12, 2002
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Northwest of Philly, Pa
Fletcher,

I know that you play many larger favorites and parlay them as well with your service picks. The year seemed to start out with dogs especially big dogs winning at an unreasonably high %. Lately though, it seems that favorites are dominating.

Based on this, would it be safe to say you started off getting hammered the first week or two but have been highly successful the past few weeks to more than make up for it?

I just think favorites have been winning way too much the past 3 to 4 weeks and something has got to give.

Any thoughts would be appreciated.

Thanks and Good Luck!

Lightning
 

fletcher

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Jun 21, 2000
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can't talk about that here , you can check for yourself bying going to site and checking service record box on left side of page.

good luck.

sorry can not talk more about it but you can look.

good luck.

now for the favs winning more this year mid range ones are but your big pitchers and higher lines have not. so it ="s out. if you were to play against the so called big 3 or 4 in al and nl combind you we be up a nice chunk so far need to look at team rec when those pitchers have started.

everything in baseball will come back to the middle it is the 33% rule in the bigs. you will win 33% of games loose 33% and what you do the last 33% will show if you are going to win. If a team has slanted that some what it will even out for the most part, ex look at hot starts by giants and yanks and cold starts by reds,braves and even tigers have put together 4 in a row which is hard to believe. But it is just a rule of thumb cards in a funk now , bluejays are a streak team. It is not about picking the dogs or fav's you must find a team and know why you like them a mix of both and totals. just because you are + larger money has no out come on game. you need to look at why a team should win and what is going on in their match up with who they are playing. each day is a new day in baseball from a coaching and playing stand point untill you are out of the race. so don't get fooled by big price games or old stats. Say if you are a pitcher and you have waxed a team say with in the week or 2 and they play again. More then not that pitcher will try to do the same thing and work the batters the same as he did win he one, and chances are very good he will not do as good because the pitcher won't change because he thinks it worked before, but batters watch tape and will make adjustments and know how catcher and pitcher were working them. so if catcher does not change what pitcher did last time more then not it will be a different game. batters always adjust first, pitchers do not till they get hit and by the time they change you are in a hole in that game.

It all depends what your looking to gain but you must have a plan that works and stick to it because it is a long run not sprint. so if you have 3 teams you play day in and day out as dogs musy be mid range not -110-120 you can grind out some not lots but stay ahead of game by running a progression with those dogs and should win 1 out of 3 on avg over the year when all is said and done.

having a plan and staying with it is your key, might have to tweak it some but going in blind you will not come out on top.

things will even out they always do.

good luck.
 
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