- Feb 12, 2006
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Alright, I am not betting online on cbk until march madness, and I mean that this time.. lol... but I will be doing a 4 game parlay on pro.line, and since I am a degenerate, and I had nothing else to do at this hour (can't party need to wake up early)... I decided to make a little write-up for each game that I like... gl to all today...
South Carolina -4.5
The 14-10 Vanderbilt Commodores take a trip to the 14-12 South Carolina Fighting Game Cocks home. Though Road/Home records are completely different, Vanderbilt is below .500 with a 4-5 record on the road this season while South Carolina are a solid 9-4 @ home. These teams have one matchup this year, and that was just over a month ago where the Game Cocks went to Vanderbilt and were able to pull out a tight 66-64 victory in overtime... I think that South Carolina gets it done a little bit easier this Saturday. Vanderbilt is outscoring their opponents on average by 5 points/game, but on the road surprisingly their opponents are beating them on average by 3 points (they are a totally different team when they don't have their home crowd supporting them... South Carolina on the other hand are outscoring their opponents on average by 4 points again, but they are winning on average by 11 points @ home... That is a 14 point difference (Vanderbilt -3, South Carolina +11)... The following matchups that I will acknowledge are games where Vanderbilt played the team on the road and South Carolina played the same team @ home....Vanderbilt lost by 3 @ Alabama while South Carolina beat them @ home by 11...Vanderbilt lost by 7 @ Tennessee while South Carolina also lost to them by 7 @ home...Vanderbilt won by 5 @ Kentucky while South Carolina lost to them @ home by 12... As you can see in most of the cases Vanderbilt lost @ the teams building, while South Carolina won @ homevs. the team, of course there was an exception to the rule, and I am sure this is not completely relevant as teams play differently every night, but it gives you a good idea how the teams played vs. similiar opponents in similiar situations...Both these teams can shoot the ball, both top 80 in field goal percentage and 3 point percentage but what sets them apart is their defenses... Terrell vs. Wallace will be a very interesting matchup, but Wallace of South Carolina has two inches over J. Terrell.. the other matchups are pretty equal other then who ever will be facing Vanderbilts 5'11 guard, Alex Gordan... No offense to the guy but who ever he is matched with will have a good 4-6 inches over him.. No matter how high he can jump, he shouldn't be much of a factor in this...(He is averaging just under 6 points per game!) South Carolina is a very good defensive team, allowing only 63 points per game, and they have had a very tough schedule, having to face a few top 25 teams....What first caught my eye was how South Carolina had a worse record but yet they are favoured.. So I looked further into it, as you all know home court advantage is very important in college basketball, and this is the main reason why South Carolina is favoured.... South Carolina to win by 8 points in this game...
Prediction: South Carolina 74 --- Vanderbilt 66
Georgia Tech -3.5
Alright... As painful as it is to bet against my favourite team (Wake Forest Demon Deacons) well I
have to admit..... they SUCK! lol... I keep telling myself, they are fine without Chris Paul, but the
only teams they can beat are teams like Princeton and Charleston Southern, and hell, they
are not exactly "powerhouse" teams.. LOL... heck they only have 2 wins in their last 10 games
and are 2-11 in conference play... Sure Wake Forest can beat teams in the SWAC and the IVY
League, but when they have to play top conferences like their own (ACC) they are no match...
Wake Forest is 8-17 ATS and a miserable 2-6 on the road, while Georgia Tech is 12-9 ATS, and
9-5 @ home S.U this season... Wake Forest do have some solid players in Justin Gray, Eric
Williams and Trent Strickland.. but they are all ball hogs... It is actually kind of sad, Justin Gray
leads the team in assists with 3.8 per game, but after him Harvey Hale leads with just over 2
assists per game.. That isn't Steve Nash material, thats for sure... Their second problem is
odd man rushes... They turn over the ball it seems like on every other possesion, they average
just under 17 turnovers per game... Yes, I know that is less then Georgia Tech, but it may just
be me, but it seems as though they turn over the ball at the most inoppertuned times... ex.
at the end of the game when they are down only a few etc.. Plus keep in mind these 17
turnovers per game include all the games vs. the crappy teams.. I am not saying Georgia Tech
hasn't played crappy teams, because they have, but Wake Forest has had a much easier
schedule.... I like Georgia Tech to get it done today at home... Wake Forest has nothing to
play for as they can't make it to March Madness, neither can Georgia Tech, but GTech will
still play for pride, and to give a good show for their friends,class mates, parents, teachers,
and all of their other fans @ the game... Georgia Tech should pull away in the second half...
Georgia Tech should come out with a 10 point win....
Prediction: Georgia Tech 75 --- Wake Forest 65
Notre Dame -4.5
Marquette is 18-8, 14-6-1 ATS and they are beating their opponents on average by 6 points per
game, and have won their last two games... They are playing a 13-11 Notre Dame team..
Maquette should be the favourite right? Well.. their not! lol... I forgot to mention Marquettes
flaws... they are a struggling road team (have you noticed the trend in all my plays)... lol...the
Marquette Golden Eagles, although are 18-8, are a crappy 2-6 on the road this season (4-4 ATS)
...get this, while Marquette is winning by 6 points per game, on the road they are losing by 7
points per game...the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on the other hand are an impressive 10-4 @ home,
and are 14-8 ATS overall on the season...At home Notre Dame is winning fairly easily, averaging 12
more points then their opponents.... The public is on Maruette, like I figured... as of right now, 58%
of the public is on Maquette, so fittingly 42% are on Notre Dame, lol... How come Notre Dame,
regardless of the sport, always seems to have a star player with the last name Quinn.. lol...
Brady Quinn in Football, and now Chris Quinn who is having the best season of his 3 year's with
Notre Dame... Chris is leading the team in points (with 18.7 per game), and in assists with
(6.3 per game).... The Marquette Golden Eagles are a very fast team, but the main reason why they
are fast is because, well, they are small.. lol...This is more of a negative thing when playing an
agressive team like Notre Dame.. Their leading rebounder is Steve Novak (also their leading scorer),
who at a height of 6'10 is averaging 5.7 rebounds per game.. 3 of their 5 starters are under 6'4, with
one of their guards standing 5'10 "TALL"... Notre Dames main problem is their depth.. They have a
few great starters, but if they get in foul trouble.. Then their skrewed, as their bench is as weak as
an armless midget....I like Notre Dame to play well @ home on Saturday...9 point win....
Prediction: Notre Dame 80 --- Marquette 71
Virginia Tech -1.5
Alright, I am going to keep this short as I am very tired and I am going to busy all day tommorrow
(until 5ish) and I need my "beauty" sleep, lol.... This line opened as a pick, and as of now 59% of
the public is on Florida St. yet the line has moved from PK, to Virginia Tech -1.5.. SAY WHAT?
Is what I thought at first, lol, well not exactly as I see this type of line movement every day, but
you get the point.. haha...This is another horrible road team, very good home team scenario...
Florida State has a 17-7 record this season, yet somehow they are 3-5 on the road... Virginia
Tech is a par .500 team (13-13) but are 9-6 @ home... It is amazing how big of a factor home
court advantage really is...Florida state are beating their opponents on average by 10 points this
season, but then on the road they are losing by 1 point per game.... Same sort of thing with VTECH
winning by 4 point average overall, but 8 point average @ home... I could go on and on with meaningless
ranting but I think I would much rather go to bed... LOL... Virginia Tech with a 6 point win...
Prediction: Virginia Tech 70 --- Florida State 64
Good luck if you play these games, or if you fade these games.. let's all make money this weekend!!!!
If you don't agree with something I said, please point it out in a nice way, because I have spent a lot
of time puting this together...
BOL
PittViper
South Carolina -4.5
The 14-10 Vanderbilt Commodores take a trip to the 14-12 South Carolina Fighting Game Cocks home. Though Road/Home records are completely different, Vanderbilt is below .500 with a 4-5 record on the road this season while South Carolina are a solid 9-4 @ home. These teams have one matchup this year, and that was just over a month ago where the Game Cocks went to Vanderbilt and were able to pull out a tight 66-64 victory in overtime... I think that South Carolina gets it done a little bit easier this Saturday. Vanderbilt is outscoring their opponents on average by 5 points/game, but on the road surprisingly their opponents are beating them on average by 3 points (they are a totally different team when they don't have their home crowd supporting them... South Carolina on the other hand are outscoring their opponents on average by 4 points again, but they are winning on average by 11 points @ home... That is a 14 point difference (Vanderbilt -3, South Carolina +11)... The following matchups that I will acknowledge are games where Vanderbilt played the team on the road and South Carolina played the same team @ home....Vanderbilt lost by 3 @ Alabama while South Carolina beat them @ home by 11...Vanderbilt lost by 7 @ Tennessee while South Carolina also lost to them by 7 @ home...Vanderbilt won by 5 @ Kentucky while South Carolina lost to them @ home by 12... As you can see in most of the cases Vanderbilt lost @ the teams building, while South Carolina won @ homevs. the team, of course there was an exception to the rule, and I am sure this is not completely relevant as teams play differently every night, but it gives you a good idea how the teams played vs. similiar opponents in similiar situations...Both these teams can shoot the ball, both top 80 in field goal percentage and 3 point percentage but what sets them apart is their defenses... Terrell vs. Wallace will be a very interesting matchup, but Wallace of South Carolina has two inches over J. Terrell.. the other matchups are pretty equal other then who ever will be facing Vanderbilts 5'11 guard, Alex Gordan... No offense to the guy but who ever he is matched with will have a good 4-6 inches over him.. No matter how high he can jump, he shouldn't be much of a factor in this...(He is averaging just under 6 points per game!) South Carolina is a very good defensive team, allowing only 63 points per game, and they have had a very tough schedule, having to face a few top 25 teams....What first caught my eye was how South Carolina had a worse record but yet they are favoured.. So I looked further into it, as you all know home court advantage is very important in college basketball, and this is the main reason why South Carolina is favoured.... South Carolina to win by 8 points in this game...
Prediction: South Carolina 74 --- Vanderbilt 66
Georgia Tech -3.5
Alright... As painful as it is to bet against my favourite team (Wake Forest Demon Deacons) well I
have to admit..... they SUCK! lol... I keep telling myself, they are fine without Chris Paul, but the
only teams they can beat are teams like Princeton and Charleston Southern, and hell, they
are not exactly "powerhouse" teams.. LOL... heck they only have 2 wins in their last 10 games
and are 2-11 in conference play... Sure Wake Forest can beat teams in the SWAC and the IVY
League, but when they have to play top conferences like their own (ACC) they are no match...
Wake Forest is 8-17 ATS and a miserable 2-6 on the road, while Georgia Tech is 12-9 ATS, and
9-5 @ home S.U this season... Wake Forest do have some solid players in Justin Gray, Eric
Williams and Trent Strickland.. but they are all ball hogs... It is actually kind of sad, Justin Gray
leads the team in assists with 3.8 per game, but after him Harvey Hale leads with just over 2
assists per game.. That isn't Steve Nash material, thats for sure... Their second problem is
odd man rushes... They turn over the ball it seems like on every other possesion, they average
just under 17 turnovers per game... Yes, I know that is less then Georgia Tech, but it may just
be me, but it seems as though they turn over the ball at the most inoppertuned times... ex.
at the end of the game when they are down only a few etc.. Plus keep in mind these 17
turnovers per game include all the games vs. the crappy teams.. I am not saying Georgia Tech
hasn't played crappy teams, because they have, but Wake Forest has had a much easier
schedule.... I like Georgia Tech to get it done today at home... Wake Forest has nothing to
play for as they can't make it to March Madness, neither can Georgia Tech, but GTech will
still play for pride, and to give a good show for their friends,class mates, parents, teachers,
and all of their other fans @ the game... Georgia Tech should pull away in the second half...
Georgia Tech should come out with a 10 point win....
Prediction: Georgia Tech 75 --- Wake Forest 65
Notre Dame -4.5
Marquette is 18-8, 14-6-1 ATS and they are beating their opponents on average by 6 points per
game, and have won their last two games... They are playing a 13-11 Notre Dame team..
Maquette should be the favourite right? Well.. their not! lol... I forgot to mention Marquettes
flaws... they are a struggling road team (have you noticed the trend in all my plays)... lol...the
Marquette Golden Eagles, although are 18-8, are a crappy 2-6 on the road this season (4-4 ATS)
...get this, while Marquette is winning by 6 points per game, on the road they are losing by 7
points per game...the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on the other hand are an impressive 10-4 @ home,
and are 14-8 ATS overall on the season...At home Notre Dame is winning fairly easily, averaging 12
more points then their opponents.... The public is on Maruette, like I figured... as of right now, 58%
of the public is on Maquette, so fittingly 42% are on Notre Dame, lol... How come Notre Dame,
regardless of the sport, always seems to have a star player with the last name Quinn.. lol...
Brady Quinn in Football, and now Chris Quinn who is having the best season of his 3 year's with
Notre Dame... Chris is leading the team in points (with 18.7 per game), and in assists with
(6.3 per game).... The Marquette Golden Eagles are a very fast team, but the main reason why they
are fast is because, well, they are small.. lol...This is more of a negative thing when playing an
agressive team like Notre Dame.. Their leading rebounder is Steve Novak (also their leading scorer),
who at a height of 6'10 is averaging 5.7 rebounds per game.. 3 of their 5 starters are under 6'4, with
one of their guards standing 5'10 "TALL"... Notre Dames main problem is their depth.. They have a
few great starters, but if they get in foul trouble.. Then their skrewed, as their bench is as weak as
an armless midget....I like Notre Dame to play well @ home on Saturday...9 point win....
Prediction: Notre Dame 80 --- Marquette 71
Virginia Tech -1.5
Alright, I am going to keep this short as I am very tired and I am going to busy all day tommorrow
(until 5ish) and I need my "beauty" sleep, lol.... This line opened as a pick, and as of now 59% of
the public is on Florida St. yet the line has moved from PK, to Virginia Tech -1.5.. SAY WHAT?
Is what I thought at first, lol, well not exactly as I see this type of line movement every day, but
you get the point.. haha...This is another horrible road team, very good home team scenario...
Florida State has a 17-7 record this season, yet somehow they are 3-5 on the road... Virginia
Tech is a par .500 team (13-13) but are 9-6 @ home... It is amazing how big of a factor home
court advantage really is...Florida state are beating their opponents on average by 10 points this
season, but then on the road they are losing by 1 point per game.... Same sort of thing with VTECH
winning by 4 point average overall, but 8 point average @ home... I could go on and on with meaningless
ranting but I think I would much rather go to bed... LOL... Virginia Tech with a 6 point win...
Prediction: Virginia Tech 70 --- Florida State 64
Good luck if you play these games, or if you fade these games.. let's all make money this weekend!!!!
If you don't agree with something I said, please point it out in a nice way, because I have spent a lot
of time puting this together...
BOL
PittViper
