Now 6-0 on sides. Before I get to tonight's game this might be worth mentioning. If you've been following my posts during the play-offs you've seen me using the word mis-leading concerning the pitching match-ups in Colo road games. I'm kicking my butt for not thinking of this myself. Last night I got a chance to watch the game. It's only the second game I've seen all year but that's beside the point. One of the announcer's commented that any pitcher that plays for Colo had to be satisfied with inflated numbers because of the altitude in Colo. That's the reason I kept coming to the conclusion that they looked better on the road than at home. That also means that the pitchers that go to Colo might not look as good as their stats. Now for tonight
It didn't take long for me to realize that I don't want any serious money on this game. Both pitchers seem to handle both strike zones equally as well but I have to give a slight edge to Sabathia. That's hard to do because I've been a Beckett fan since the Fla days. Sabathia is ave 7 innings but only giving up 2 runs over the last 3 months. His worst game was his last one which he won 12-3. He walked more than he stuck out for the first time in that period and gave up 2 hrs which is half as many as his total was up to that point. 3 runs is the most he has given up on the road and he has only given up 4 once since the first of July. If he had gotten any run support before the middle of Aug, Cle might be the fav in this game. He is 7-0 in his last 7. On the other hand, Beckett might be coming off his best game of the year. A 9 inning, 4 hit, shutout. He don't walk anyone (almost) but he has given up almost double the hrs as Sabathia. As good as he is, he can be hit on his bad days and has given up 5 twice at home. Bos is counting on him to go at least 7 and maybe more. If he don't, they might be in trouble. I reserve the right not to play this game.
Not much cappin to do on the Colo/Ari game. I expect the same strike zone as last night with more hits. Ari hasn't been able to hit Jimenez even tho he seems to be hittable while Davis is 1-1 but hasn't faced the Colo hitters since May. In that game he went 7 innings but hasn't been able to do that since the middle of Aug. Adv to Colo hitters. Should come down to a battle of the bps and you know who I think wins that. Adv to Colo and maybe the over.
It didn't take long for me to realize that I don't want any serious money on this game. Both pitchers seem to handle both strike zones equally as well but I have to give a slight edge to Sabathia. That's hard to do because I've been a Beckett fan since the Fla days. Sabathia is ave 7 innings but only giving up 2 runs over the last 3 months. His worst game was his last one which he won 12-3. He walked more than he stuck out for the first time in that period and gave up 2 hrs which is half as many as his total was up to that point. 3 runs is the most he has given up on the road and he has only given up 4 once since the first of July. If he had gotten any run support before the middle of Aug, Cle might be the fav in this game. He is 7-0 in his last 7. On the other hand, Beckett might be coming off his best game of the year. A 9 inning, 4 hit, shutout. He don't walk anyone (almost) but he has given up almost double the hrs as Sabathia. As good as he is, he can be hit on his bad days and has given up 5 twice at home. Bos is counting on him to go at least 7 and maybe more. If he don't, they might be in trouble. I reserve the right not to play this game.
Not much cappin to do on the Colo/Ari game. I expect the same strike zone as last night with more hits. Ari hasn't been able to hit Jimenez even tho he seems to be hittable while Davis is 1-1 but hasn't faced the Colo hitters since May. In that game he went 7 innings but hasn't been able to do that since the middle of Aug. Adv to Colo hitters. Should come down to a battle of the bps and you know who I think wins that. Adv to Colo and maybe the over.
