Fri games

[gsp]

I don't think we will see the ump crews that we saw in the first two games. Up to this point the strike zone has been consistant in all four series. This will be the perfect spot to widen the zone just a little and that will be all it takes to make the pitcher's look better than most are expecting. A wider zone will benifit Bos and NYY from a pitching standpoint. Both Arroyo and Brown will be helped more than Escobar and Silva. A lot has been made of how well Ana has hit Arroyo this year but in both games he had Marsh and Kellogg behind the plate and they can make good pitchers look like they should still be in the minors. Bos won one of those games and the bp gave away the other. In a low scoring game I will still go with Bos' hitting.

Even with a wider strike zone I think Brown will still be a disadvantage. The difference in this game will be Minn's speed. I'm not sure we'll see the wider zone in this game but I feel pretty sure Minn will put more people on base and speed kills in any sport. If they use a wider zone that means less home runs and this also plays in Minn favor. Not sure how to play the total but like Minn.

Going with

Bos - 160
u 9' (got 10 last night)
Minn + 140

A high scoring game fav Bos even more.

Good luck everyone

 

[Sam]

The Under is 20-10 (67%) with an average if just 7.97 runs/game when Runge is behind home plate.

 

[gsp]

I just saw that Sam but I'm not sure I'm buying it. In the past they changed crew when they changed parks. Still a good spot to widen the sz with most of the money going on the over and Runge has used a wide zone all year.

 

[Sam]

but escobar claims he will NOT nibble at the corners, that he is coming right after the hitters, if he does that, it might go over in the first couple innings. now if he does that or not is a diff story.

 

[watrdogg]

good luck buddy!!

 

[Sam]

GL GSP

 

[s.e.c guru]

the over under is 10- not 9-

 

[gsp]

When I posted earlier it was 9'. I got it at 10 last night and I see it's back to as much as 10' some places. That's due to all the money going on the over which doesn't bother me.

 

[boilermaker]

My local had the total at 11. Good Luck GSP

 

[trolln4walii]

GL tonight gsp With you calling the under doesn't matter if it's 11, 10, or 2

 

[gsp]

I believe 2 would be a little low.

 

[azjeff]

well the over strikes again 7-2 overs to date!! this is REALLY starting to get old!! has to even out sometime right??? I really like the under in the dodger game tomorrow whats your thoughts GSP?? 5:05pm in dodger stadium ..isnt that a tough place to see the ball at that time of day?