I broke a few of my standard rules yesterday and paid for it. I was gonna go against Tigers every time it's less than 2-1, but didn't either of the games yesterday. And I don't like it today. Probably again talking myself out of longterm winning strategy by focusing too much on day to day matchup.
Also, one of two rules at Coors is never make a bet at if pitcher has no experiece there. But I did go against Austin and paid for it (side and total). Some guys you figure won't fare well there do, such as HR susceptible- flyball pitcher like Prior (tho his similar-pitching style buddy Schilling can't adjust well)....and the other rule is nobody is ever worth -200 there.
Finally, with all those overs at Toronto--- the rule is now: just take the over is there is any half-assed reason. And the opponent being TX is more than enuf by itself. But no, I talked myself out of it!
<b>Colo -105
Mets -140
under 9 MTL/STL
Phila -164
under 8.5 Seattle/CWS -104</b>
and parlay: Phillies/Yanks/SF (1 unit pays 3.05)
On that under Seatt/CWS---mlb.com sez "The hitters Franklin will face have a composite .184 (9-for-49) batting average against the right-hander, who has pitched better than his record indicates." And we all know about Loaiza...
2-4 yesterday, -2.25 units
that takes it to +0.26 units (62-61-2)....were did my +12 units on day 13 go!?....
preseason MLB pics posted here: 22-10-2 (+10.29 units)
all (but one two unit so far) flat bet 1 unit risk per pic (for example, a +135 pic would pay 1.35 units, a -135 pic would pay 0.74 units).
parlay pics: 0-2
any comments?
good luck everyone!!
Also, one of two rules at Coors is never make a bet at if pitcher has no experiece there. But I did go against Austin and paid for it (side and total). Some guys you figure won't fare well there do, such as HR susceptible- flyball pitcher like Prior (tho his similar-pitching style buddy Schilling can't adjust well)....and the other rule is nobody is ever worth -200 there.
Finally, with all those overs at Toronto--- the rule is now: just take the over is there is any half-assed reason. And the opponent being TX is more than enuf by itself. But no, I talked myself out of it!
<b>Colo -105
Mets -140
under 9 MTL/STL
Phila -164
under 8.5 Seattle/CWS -104</b>
and parlay: Phillies/Yanks/SF (1 unit pays 3.05)
On that under Seatt/CWS---mlb.com sez "The hitters Franklin will face have a composite .184 (9-for-49) batting average against the right-hander, who has pitched better than his record indicates." And we all know about Loaiza...
2-4 yesterday, -2.25 units
that takes it to +0.26 units (62-61-2)....were did my +12 units on day 13 go!?....
preseason MLB pics posted here: 22-10-2 (+10.29 units)
all (but one two unit so far) flat bet 1 unit risk per pic (for example, a +135 pic would pay 1.35 units, a -135 pic would pay 0.74 units).
parlay pics: 0-2
any comments?
good luck everyone!!
