Thanks ddubs- Dog playing is the way to go imo. .500 on picks but positive overall.....not a bad way to go. I have had this beaten into my head by those who drink from the same kool-aid
Here are some write ups for today's activities. As always, independent wagering decisions are encouraged.
Buffalo -1/2 +127
Montreal Pk +172 -- Nice price against a team that can't score in what should be a low scoring game. Jersey's PP is 8% on the year, Montreal is double that at 16%. Jersey does though have the significant edge in PK. I just see this as a close game, so taking the plus
Colorado Pk +130 -- In a close matchup like this, only way to go is to take the plus money. Avs have won 2 in a row. Yes the Avs are playing a 3 in 4 tonite and back to back, but they just got off 5 games in a row at home before last nite's game, so fatigue shouldn't be a factor. Roy goes tonite for the Avs in net as he had last nite's game off. Blake is a ? tonite for the Avs, he left last nite's game 30 secs in.
Carolina Pk +115 -- Phily lost their 4th leading scorer Justin Williams to a shoulder injury, he won't play tonite. Phily has scored 2 goals in their last 3 games and are 0-2-1 over that span. Meanwhile, Carolina is playing great hockey with only 2 losses in their last 10 games, 1 of them in OT to this Flyers teams. So revenge also on Canes minds tonite. Carolina has held opponents to 2 goals or less in 7 straight games, and their goalie Weekes has a .940 Save Percentage which is 2nd in the NHL amongst goalies. Going with the homedog
Atlanta Pk +130 -- Phoenix has some injury problems right now, their best defenceman Numinen won't play again tonite, and Savage has also been added to the injury list and he won't play tonite. Phoenix has only won 3 of their last 10 games and have lost 3 in a row. Meanwhile, Atlanta is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games and have won 3 in a row. They have the edge in special teams, and their PK is 91% over it's last 5 games and 89% at home this year. Again going with the homedog with the better current form.
Sanjose Pk +110 -- Strictly a feeling on my part on this game tonite. Brad Stuart ended his holdout and is expected to return to the Sharks lineup tonite. He's their best defenceman and will give the team a big lift and alleviate alot of the pressure that defence has been under. Sanjose is winless in 4 and has only 2 wins in their last 9 games. They Need this game badly tonite as they are in a tough 3 in 4 spot tomorrow in Florida. Special teams last 5 games actually favour SJ, and Tampa has lost 4 of their last 6 games. People think Tampa might have the big goaltending edge in this game, but Khabibulin's save percentage is only slightly bettter than that of Nabokov's
Washington/Over 5.5 +128 -- Washington is without Witt on defence and we saw how they struggled without him against Dallas when Washington gave up 6 goals. Mostly a play on this total based on price, my feeling is both goalies in this game have been playing a bit over their heads so far this year. Daze also expected to return to the Hawks lineup which gives them a lift offensively.
Edmonton Pk +110 -- Revenge game for the Oilers who lost to the blues at home a few weeks back. Oilers are playing 1st game home off a 6 game trip, last year 1st game back off long trips of 4+ games or longer, Edmonton went 3-1. Stlouis's PK has slipped to 78% on the season which isn't very good at all. Edm's PK is 86% at home this year. Blues have the edge in PP. Blues have lost 2 of 3 since winning 9 in a row, gonna fade them tonite as a road favorite.
No bad luck!